Excited-Disarmament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

7,447

Trades

12,301

lifetime

Volume

$161.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-29 00:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 63% -$1,532

Other

42% 58% -$537

Sports

0% 55% +$5

Tech

0% 60% -$1

Politics

0% 71% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Games Total: O/U 3.5	5	$2.1K	1,287	1,287	+0	Over	+$181	10-17 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	8	$1.4K	1,388	1,388	+0	Down	+$28	10-20 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$1.1K	755	755	+0	Up	+$106	10-20 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$960	1,005	892	+112	Down	-$40	10-20 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$938	938	826	+113	Down	-$62	10-20 16:53
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	5	$848	448	448	+0	T1	+$48	10-26 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	6	$839	689	689	+0	Up	+$39	10-20 17:28
lol fox1 we 2026 10 17 game2	2	$738	440	440	+0	BNK FEARX	+$140	10-17 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$735	1,228	1,228	+0	Up	-$65	10-20 17:07
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$726	427	427	+0	Gen.G	+$126	10-23 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	5	$657	490	490	+0	Up	+$57	10-19 00:32
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$629	330	330	+0	G2 Esports	+$29	10-24 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$618	832	448	+385	Up	+$18	10-20 16:55
lol gam t1 2026 07 16 game2	3	$607	310	310	+0	T1	+$7	07-16 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 00:30 UTC	5	$602	707	707	+0	Up	-$198	07-16 00:34
lol mvk fur 2026 10 17 game handicap home 2pt5	2	$586	1,364	1,364	+0	MVK Esports	-$14	10-17 16:49
lol hle1 jdg 2026 07 16	5	$563	313	313	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$63	07-16 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$558	401	401	+0	Up	-$42	10-17 18:13
lol blg t1 2026 07 16	6	$555	329	329	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$15	07-16 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$533	543	543	+0	Down	-$67	10-20 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$529	339	339	+0	Down	+$129	10-20 16:38
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winner	3	$521	376	376	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$230	09-09 11:34
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	7	$509	345	345	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$9	09-09 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$507	654	542	+111	Down	+$18	10-20 17:02
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 game4	5	$504	326	326	+0	G2 Esports	+$32	07-03 12:37
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	3	$501	274	274	+0	MVK Esports	+$47	10-16 01:12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$498	543	543	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$98	10-25 18:30
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner	3	$495	255	255	+0	Top Esports	+$15	09-17 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 22:35 UTC	4	$482	548	548	+0	Up	+$82	07-06 22:38
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)	3	$479	279	279	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$79	09-13 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:11:49	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x13960c…
10-29 00:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x764d4f…
10-29 00:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	39	16¢	$6	0xebf8a3…
10-29 00:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x0fec37…
10-29 00:03:59	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x847f64…
10-28 00:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xda0ee6…
10-28 00:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x25b1d8…
10-28 00:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2eb52c…
10-27 17:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x7115a4…
10-27 12:14:41	Valorant: Wolves Esports vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Wolves Esports	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3dc3d9…
10-27 03:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa1a731…
10-27 01:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0xc5f80c…
10-27 01:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xab6ba0…
10-27 00:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3eb635…
10-27 00:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xb13170…
10-27 00:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xd4ba22…
10-27 00:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0xb5dc7d…
10-27 00:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x4f9b77…
10-27 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xe19e14…
10-27 00:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xb79170…
10-26 18:09:39	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x795c1a…
10-26 18:07:12	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x0f0a2c…
10-26 18:06:57	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	SELL	448	100¢	$448	0x9a5f60…
10-26 17:38:36	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x733e8d…
10-26 17:38:09	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xf6dace…
10-26 17:37:56	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xf61cde…
10-26 17:37:35	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xc92143…
10-25 18:52:59	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb8c29f…
10-25 18:48:50	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0x6d53b4…
10-25 18:38:14	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0xd05ab9…
10-25 18:30:24	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x02c3f3…
10-25 18:17:03	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x03d2c6…
10-25 17:58:21	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0d9b8f…
10-25 17:34:11	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x136cb6…
10-25 17:26:39	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	370	34¢	$126	0xf362f2…
10-25 17:14:30	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xec6d9b…
10-25 09:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	213	40¢	$85	0xc42954…
10-25 09:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	213	23¢	$50	0xc32ec4…
10-25 09:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	120	92¢	$110	0x9ad553…
10-25 09:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x4ba44e…
10-25 09:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	370	27¢	$99	0xdccf0b…
10-25 09:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x5f4ab2…
10-25 09:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x1df313…
10-25 09:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0xb809de…
10-25 09:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	167	46¢	$77	0x84ced9…
10-25 09:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x7b1c3a…
10-25 08:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	229	28¢	$64	0x0b73ef…
10-25 08:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	229	22¢	$50	0x1ba6a9…
10-25 06:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x3479dd…
10-25 06:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x1fa43e…
10-25 06:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf00df1…
10-25 05:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x20128f…
10-25 05:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x84b80f…
10-25 05:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	186	28¢	$52	0x99b548…
10-25 05:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xb4a8ba…
10-25 05:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x8b7210…
10-25 03:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	71	89¢	$63	0xd77c68…
10-25 03:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xdf2cba…
10-24 20:34:29	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x912317…
10-24 20:27:14	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6b75e5…
10-24 20:26:24	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x91b176…
10-24 20:25:54	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xe68472…
10-24 20:06:35	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0xf4e5bd…
10-24 19:24:08	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x997b5b…
10-24 17:47:05	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x91b892…
10-24 17:40:17	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x02ee1f…
10-24 14:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x7c9cc4…
10-24 14:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x06892e…
10-24 14:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xdc25d9…
10-24 14:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x562a4c…
10-24 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x798885…
10-24 14:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	116	46¢	$53	0x61377f…
10-24 14:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x406090…
10-24 02:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x58ff60…
10-24 02:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	85	64¢	$54	0xa6aaa3…
10-24 02:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x99fbc2…
10-24 02:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x6afcc7…
10-23 18:39:50	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x44f1c2…
10-23 17:55:17	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	427	100¢	$426	0x3d9cf8…
10-23 17:42:12	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xd52754…
10-23 17:41:48	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0xc929a2…
10-20 18:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	294	62¢	$182	0xef01de…
10-20 17:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x189180…
10-20 17:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x15f99b…
10-20 17:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xacb3e4…
10-20 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	588	7¢	$41	0x4c64ad…
10-20 17:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0xb6b90c…
10-20 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x466cd8…
10-20 17:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	172	80¢	$137	0x12dc1b…
10-20 17:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x78e88a…
10-20 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	720	45¢	$322	0xf673a8…
10-20 17:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	720	42¢	$300	0xbffad2…
10-20 17:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	233	6¢	$14	0x87cc7a…
10-20 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x4ace7f…
10-20 17:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	185	2¢	$4	0x372ad2…
10-20 17:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xba9e20…
10-20 17:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	147	75¢	$110	0x636a47…
10-20 17:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x63ff03…
10-20 17:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	377	64¢	$242	0x6483bb…
10-20 17:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xda725f…