Jolly-Form-Timer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$567

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

1,177

Trades

1,593

lifetime

Volume

$9.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-29 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 34% -$519

Other

13% 38% +$23

Politics

12% 44% +$20

Tech

4% 60% -$92

Sports

2% 50% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:45 UTC	40	$572	400	400	+0	Down	+$172	06-25 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:05 UTC	1	$356	732	0	+732	Down	-$356	06-26 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:35 UTC	5	$257	185	185	+0	Down	+$87	06-24 17:37
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	4	$205	111	111	+0	No	-$1	09-11 17:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	08-22 07:25
Will there be 6 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	2	$190	98	98	+0	No	+$5	08-26 15:46
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	2	$188	100	100	+0	No	+$10	08-25 19:19
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$187	100	100	+0	No	+$3	08-17 14:15
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	2	$186	100	100	+0	No	+$12	08-22 07:38
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	2	$184	100	100	+0	No	+$2	09-04 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:45 UTC	9	$149	104	104	+0	Down	+$45	06-23 17:49
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	2	$141	75	75	+0	No	+$2	09-03 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:55 UTC	1	$135	270	0	+270	Up	-$135	06-26 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:30 UTC	7	$129	90	90	+0	Up	+$40	06-24 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$121	252	0	+252	Down	-$121	09-18 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:10 UTC	2	$121	80	80	+0	Down	+$38	06-22 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 15:00 UTC	6	$114	80	80	+0	Down	+$34	06-25 15:02
will gpt 6 be released by september 15 2026	5	$104	216	116	+100	Yes	-$102	09-04 16:24
Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$5	08-25 19:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$91	100	0	+100	No	+$9	08-10 18:21
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$89	100	0	+100	No	+$11	08-26 15:48
Iran leadership change by September 30?	3	$86	45	45	+0	No	+$1	08-25 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 16:30 UTC	9	$86	60	60	+0	Down	+$26	06-24 16:34
next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	1	$84	100	0	+100	No	+$16	08-22 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?	3	$82	197	46	+151	Up	-$4	04-26 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 12:00 UTC	10	$81	180	0	+180	Down	-$81	06-25 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$72	156	0	+156	Up	+$84	09-18 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$71	118	0	+118	Up	+$47	09-18 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:45 UTC	1	$66	130	0	+130	Down	-$66	06-26 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:35 UTC	4	$64	45	45	+0	Down	+$19	06-25 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:05:20	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x4262ae…
10-29 10:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3b5292…
10-29 10:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xb21301…
10-29 09:55:10	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x725ceb…
10-29 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x081806…
10-29 09:30:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x933323…
10-02 02:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3967ba…
10-01 20:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1a6961…
09-30 00:10:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7605f4…
09-30 00:05:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb4b359…
09-30 00:00:08	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3100a0…
09-29 23:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x215062…
09-29 23:40:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe96b70…
09-29 23:30:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3bb929…
09-29 23:25:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x053f5b…
09-29 23:20:08	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc17ba2…
09-29 23:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa625a3…
09-29 22:35:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe1398f…
09-29 22:30:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4cdd67…
09-29 22:25:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc03223…
09-29 22:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x99a37e…
09-29 21:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7e53fb…
09-29 21:30:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7b830c…
09-29 21:15:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa1cbd6…
09-29 21:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9ba83b…
09-29 21:05:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x18dfcb…
09-29 20:55:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xee55d2…
09-29 20:55:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7be4fe…
09-29 20:50:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x27d5bf…
09-29 20:45:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x341b85…
09-29 20:25:06	Solana Up or Down - September 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x638f10…
09-29 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3230a8…
09-29 20:10:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaeb4f5…
09-29 19:55:06	Solana Up or Down - September 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4383e8…
09-29 19:45:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb8981f…
09-29 19:25:08	BNB Up or Down - September 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f1a9d…
09-29 19:05:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4add38…
09-29 19:00:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf52ee0…
09-29 18:55:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xee328a…
09-29 18:50:06	Solana Up or Down - September 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4471e1…
09-29 18:45:08	Solana Up or Down - September 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x84e3d1…
09-29 16:00:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfd20fe…
09-29 16:00:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8ad721…
09-29 16:00:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3eb4cc…
09-29 15:55:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe7cf3d…
09-29 15:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaac4ea…
09-29 15:45:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd5e645…
09-29 15:45:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaeafb9…
09-29 15:45:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7f7b08…
09-29 15:45:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x70da67…
09-29 15:45:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6e9215…
09-29 15:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2deb6c…
09-29 15:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd6ecc0…
09-29 15:20:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3ff9d0…
09-29 15:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa3a857…
09-29 15:10:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1553ff…
09-29 15:10:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0f0156…
09-29 15:10:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0e7840…
09-29 15:05:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xe8410e…
09-29 15:05:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd98b05…
09-29 15:05:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc9ab60…
09-29 15:05:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7eb566…
09-29 15:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2b9cff…
09-29 15:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb9b0b4…
09-29 15:00:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6f6821…
09-29 15:00:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1d37cf…
09-29 15:00:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0cd8d6…
09-29 14:50:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9068c5…
09-29 14:50:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5e5a5a…
09-29 14:50:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0e8085…
09-29 14:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8e04cd…
09-29 14:45:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x40004d…
09-29 14:40:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf80b4b…
09-29 14:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfa4ee7…
09-29 14:35:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xce359c…
09-29 14:35:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x38184d…
09-29 14:30:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa6578…
09-29 14:15:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x456715…
09-29 13:55:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c30ed…
09-29 13:50:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xca8239…
09-29 13:50:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb0153c…
09-29 13:50:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6ce88b…
09-29 13:50:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x16eb8c…
09-29 13:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x841600…
09-29 13:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4e63fa…
09-29 13:05:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc491b1…
09-29 13:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x734ec6…
09-29 13:05:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1a3a57…
09-29 12:55:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8bfd5d…
09-29 12:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x68b35b…
09-29 12:55:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ed5e4…
09-29 12:55:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x37c819…
09-29 12:50:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8d80d2…
09-29 12:45:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x758b63…
09-29 12:40:05	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd1cbc7…
09-29 12:40:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb42154…
09-29 12:40:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x65acef…
09-29 12:40:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3a9699…
09-29 12:40:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2b2e0e…
09-29 12:35:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdb3348…