Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

78% 80% -$2

Politics

18% 83% -$97

Crypto

4% 100% +$6

Sports

0% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+165	$70	8¢	$14	-$56	09-14 21:00
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+50	$25	12¢	$6	-$19	09-04 10:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	7	$381	352	1,069	-717	No	+$89	01-03 06:27
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$291	582	0	+582	Yes	-$291	01-03 07:00
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	10	$158	126	126	+0	Yes	+$12	01-05 11:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$142	338	338	+0	Yes	-$113	02-28 19:42
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	8	$135	200	1,311	-1,111	No	+$103	01-03 18:36
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$122	127	0	+127	No	+$5	02-26 06:21
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	5	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	10-22 16:27
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	8	$70	165	0	+165	open	—	09-14 21:00
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	1	$64	70	0	+70	Yes	+$6	09-10 10:10
Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?	3	$45	50	0	+50	Yes	+$5	09-03 22:02
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	3	$45	4	54	-51	No	+$39	01-08 02:17
will russia enter zaliznychne by february 28	1	$30	72	0	+72	Yes	+$42	01-29 11:06
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	2	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	09-04 10:37
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?	1	$22	67	0	+67	open	—	10-21 17:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	04-05 07:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	03-29 05:52
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	03-13 21:10
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	01-04 16:14
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$9	20	0	+20	Yes	+$11	09-04 09:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-27 10:39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	03-13 20:43
will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	03-13 20:30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	03-13 20:43
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$0	0	4	-4	No	+$0	09-03 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:27:17	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x70b8f2…
10-21 17:44:18	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	33¢	$22	0x52e09a…
09-14 21:00:46	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xd5f602…
09-14 21:00:34	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xc7de52…
09-14 20:46:04	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcb9c69…
09-14 20:45:52	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xe078d1…
09-14 20:36:12	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdcbb60…
09-14 20:35:58	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x42520d…
09-14 20:28:09	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x237af7…
09-10 11:07:28	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2a4ad6…
09-10 10:10:46	LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0xba4d81…
09-04 13:56:51	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xffbee2…
09-04 11:37:18	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa6ed36…
09-04 10:37:39	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xda5be0…
09-04 10:31:49	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x937848…
09-04 09:25:00	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x15b83a…
09-04 07:39:42	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x5689a5…
09-03 22:02:25	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?	Yes	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x2157a0…
09-03 21:23:13	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xf0b26d…
09-03 21:23:04	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xc230f7…
09-03 14:46:21	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0x172366…
09-03 08:55:54	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xc0d8f8…
08-27 10:39:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a3acf…
04-05 07:34:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbfecb8…
03-29 05:52:32	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x230b0a…
03-13 21:10:35	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf4e050…
03-13 20:43:45	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa2bc28…
03-13 20:43:31	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x77b62e…
03-13 20:30:27	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc47843…
02-28 19:42:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	338	4¢	$14	0xf84103…
02-28 19:17:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	338	38¢	$127	0x058aa0…
02-26 06:21:54	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x9b5b6d…
02-26 06:16:38	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xa8b3bc…
02-26 06:16:38	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xa42f22…
02-26 06:16:00	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8345b3…
01-29 11:06:24	will russia enter zaliznychne by february 28	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0xc61f4b…
01-08 02:17:35	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	Yes	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x5af303…
01-05 11:26:11	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xc5380f…
01-05 11:24:51	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	SELL	68	71¢	$48	0x610476…
01-04 23:06:03	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	SELL	54	63¢	$34	0x5ab15d…
01-04 17:04:31	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x58f778…
01-04 17:01:43	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xa520f6…
01-04 17:00:15	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xf8c76a…
01-04 16:14:07	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x85c2fa…
01-04 16:10:37	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x5a06b7…
01-04 15:28:39	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe7dc24…
01-04 14:01:03	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x37805f…
01-04 13:59:43	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xe92f5f…
01-04 13:36:29	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x8a6f6d…
01-04 03:38:35	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5ece49…
01-03 18:36:53	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	825	10¢	$82	0xd510ae…
01-03 07:00:21	maduro out by january 31 2026 318	No	BUY	582	50¢	$291	0x34588d…
01-03 06:27:13	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	Yes	SELL	1,069	22¢	$235	0x6deb66…
01-01 17:38:41	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x0c7944…
01-01 16:18:13	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x7a4eb1…
01-01 14:16:33	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0xa995a2…
01-01 13:56:15	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x647113…
01-01 12:06:11	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xed38fb…
01-01 11:25:15	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	86	7¢	$6	0x50167e…
01-01 11:24:49	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xe24113…
01-01 11:24:25	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xe57c2f…
01-01 06:23:57	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	Yes	BUY	143	40¢	$57	0xa30cbf…
01-01 05:25:27	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	Yes	BUY	67	42¢	$28	0xbb4c0f…
01-01 04:24:07	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	Yes	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x042241…
01-01 01:59:17	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	Yes	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x2fa124…
01-01 01:23:07	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe6f739…
01-01 00:47:23	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	Yes	BUY	77	43¢	$33	0xb9397d…