Same-Armpit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

217

Trades

998

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-19 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

71% — —

Crypto

29% 49% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 29c	3	$116	68	68	+0	open	—	04-09 07:53
highest temperature in chongqing on april 9 2026 27c	1	$66	108	0	+108	open	—	04-09 08:00
highest temperature in wuhan on april 8 2026 23c	2	$58	31	30	+0	open	—	04-08 09:12
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	04-08 05:59
highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 27c	2	$54	34	34	+0	open	—	04-10 07:28
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 21 2026 32c	2	$50	31	30	+1	open	—	04-21 13:26
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 22c	4	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	04-13 07:43
highest temperature in beijing on april 19 2026 23c	4	$39	30	30	+0	open	—	04-19 04:39
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 15c	2	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	04-20 16:28
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 28c	3	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 08:14
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 31c	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	04-23 01:32
highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 27c	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 12:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 27c	2	$27	59	56	+2	open	—	04-09 04:20
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 25c	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 10:53
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 29c	2	$22	30	30	+0	open	—	04-19 05:29
highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 24c	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 07:41
highest temperature in wuhan on april 10 2026 26c	3	$21	30	30	+0	open	—	04-10 05:19
highest temperature in chongqing on april 15 2026 21c	2	$21	17	16	+1	open	—	04-15 11:46
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 04:52
highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 19c	4	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	04-14 06:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 19c	6	$19	30	30	+0	open	—	04-13 02:30
highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 26c	7	$19	90	0	+90	open	—	04-10 04:59
highest temperature in jeddah on april 20 2026 34c	7	$19	30	30	+0	open	—	04-20 10:57
highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 20c	6	$17	50	49	+1	open	—	04-14 04:07
highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 24c	2	$17	42	40	+2	open	—	04-23 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 25?	4	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 26?	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 07:31
highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 23c	1	$15	40	0	+40	open	—	04-20 05:07
highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 22c	1	$14	40	0	+40	open	—	04-20 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 02:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5dce80…
05-18 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf040f6…
05-18 14:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xce4511…
05-18 13:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x595ac0…
05-18 13:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5bd7c0…
05-18 13:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x07b6d1…
05-18 13:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xee0031…
05-18 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x99805a…
05-18 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x18c6c4…
05-18 12:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x87151d…
05-18 12:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x25c848…
05-18 07:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xa25388…
05-18 07:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd0e28a…
05-18 06:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x7cf9cc…
05-18 06:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2001f6…
05-18 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1a343c…
05-18 05:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7fdfe6…
05-18 05:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x3bb2e3…
05-18 05:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x347460…
05-18 04:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x4f8421…
05-18 04:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x149b54…
05-18 04:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x16fb6f…
05-18 04:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x25ee3c…
05-18 04:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xc2eb36…
05-18 04:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3704dc…
05-18 04:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5f405e…
05-18 04:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x257295…
05-18 03:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3187e3…
05-18 03:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x213e29…
05-17 14:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7c2373…
05-17 14:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa0fe5b…
05-17 14:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4066a4…
05-17 13:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x72e3b8…
05-17 13:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa72163…
05-17 13:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5e56a0…
05-17 13:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcff298…
05-17 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf36706…
05-17 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xe384b3…
05-17 13:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x664ea2…
05-17 13:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x80166c…
05-17 13:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x773822…
05-17 13:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x183cc6…
05-17 13:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x120a9e…
05-17 13:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe6cd01…
05-17 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x4c1144…
05-17 12:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x255699…
05-17 06:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xde45f3…
05-17 06:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xeebdb9…
05-17 05:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x922e0d…
05-17 05:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x71e715…
05-17 05:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xfae5de…
05-17 05:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe6db36…
05-17 05:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbf1067…
05-17 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x5713eb…
05-17 05:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xf1ed7d…
05-17 05:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8b7a93…
05-17 05:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x75fc01…
05-17 04:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9f6cf5…
05-17 04:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x119244…
05-17 04:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa794ac…
05-17 04:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3340e1…
05-17 04:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x33df3c…
05-17 04:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9f60c5…
05-17 04:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x71e8ba…
05-16 15:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xb3eeb4…
05-16 15:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8d0e1e…
05-16 14:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5b38f4…
05-16 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xde40e6…
05-16 12:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf7db3a…
05-16 11:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8ab35a…
05-16 11:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x699ac2…
05-16 11:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x22e15f…
05-16 11:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xab7779…
05-16 11:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xae1313…
05-16 11:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x532241…
05-16 11:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd965dd…
05-16 11:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc3b55a…
05-16 11:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe4e5c1…
05-16 11:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe38933…
05-16 11:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6016dc…
05-16 10:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xcf9f7b…
05-16 10:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xa3ac8b…
05-16 10:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x818ec3…
05-16 10:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x425335…
05-16 09:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdf0e7d…
05-16 09:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9964ff…
05-16 09:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x9fc1c7…
05-16 09:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x484928…
05-16 09:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x392e46…
05-16 07:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7acf57…
05-16 07:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x84b407…
05-16 07:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x750216…
05-16 07:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9c4e4c…
05-16 06:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x63853a…
05-16 06:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3cca7d…
05-16 06:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x3590f7…
05-16 06:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa5ef58…
05-16 06:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe88561…
05-16 05:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbac491…
05-16 05:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x04b27e…