Mad-Mycoplasma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,208

lifetime

Volume

$58.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$130

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-22 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 50% $-3

Other

42% 60% +$25

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-131	$-113	100¢	$-130	$-17	06-21 06:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	52	$1.8K	1,096	1,169	-73	open	—	06-15 08:00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	44	$1.2K	769	769	+0	open	—	06-21 06:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	20	$1.2K	737	737	+0	open	—	07-12 17:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	35	$1.1K	654	733	-79	open	—	06-15 06:31
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	21	$1.1K	603	761	-158	open	—	06-28 20:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	12	$984	724	724	+0	open	—	07-10 17:44
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	23	$955	582	603	-21	open	—	06-24 17:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	24	$927	707	477	+230	open	—	06-14 22:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$744	451	454	-3	open	—	06-25 11:30
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	13	$703	449	519	-70	open	—	06-04 02:30
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	14	$642	381	414	-32	open	—	06-13 11:30
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	11	$617	405	405	+0	open	—	06-21 09:03
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	13	$575	385	385	+0	open	—	06-21 06:25
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	45	$540	275	362	-87	open	—	06-19 01:38
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	37	$526	298	298	+0	open	—	06-28 20:17
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	22	$519	340	293	+46	open	—	06-21 17:30
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	18	$510	335	335	+0	open	—	06-16 09:41
will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	37	$485	324	324	+0	open	—	06-21 06:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	3	$478	180	416	-236	open	—	05-31 15:30
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	8	$463	307	307	+0	open	—	06-11 15:33
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	13	$438	266	261	+5	open	—	06-19 22:33
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	45	$421	318	318	+0	open	—	06-21 06:23
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	9	$416	267	267	+0	open	—	06-17 14:38
will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	6	$412	227	227	+0	open	—	07-05 19:37
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	9	$409	245	245	-0	open	—	06-14 20:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	7	$381	211	211	+0	open	—	06-08 16:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$362	212	212	+0	open	—	04-03 06:46
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	7	$348	293	146	+146	open	—	06-14 14:33
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	12	$345	213	183	+29	open	—	07-21 03:40
will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	13	$340	268	184	+84	open	—	07-22 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 16:14:19	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0x2fbf19…
07-22 12:38:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x6c3d22…
07-22 09:28:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x1253f3…
07-22 07:39:39	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x9248ca…
07-22 06:58:15	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8ce1ab…
07-22 06:23:10	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfab436…
07-22 03:34:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x29d9f7…
07-22 00:37:28	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	67	87¢	$58	0x729eb1…
07-22 00:06:21	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	43	87¢	$38	0xc82b39…
07-21 23:20:31	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	85	86¢	$73	0xa62e1d…
07-21 17:48:42	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	47	86¢	$41	0x3c87a3…
07-21 16:12:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0xf96167…
07-21 15:46:22	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x7fed1f…
07-21 15:40:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0xefa170…
07-21 13:40:06	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	43	87¢	$37	0x8007c6…
07-21 03:40:09	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x754757…
07-20 23:29:49	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x9313a8…
07-20 19:38:48	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xa36ed6…
07-20 15:52:45	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x3960d5…
07-20 14:44:42	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5c56d6…
07-20 14:06:52	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x905c53…
07-20 07:24:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	42	87¢	$36	0x04d40b…
07-19 23:21:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf5fedf…
07-19 22:38:04	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xe02b14…
07-19 20:30:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x99b81e…
07-17 16:01:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x99267c…
07-17 11:00:57	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	27	83¢	$23	0x4b7063…
07-16 22:40:14	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7e666e…
07-16 21:32:56	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x420ba3…
07-16 18:34:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0x18d4b9…
07-16 16:50:46	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x22699d…
07-15 18:01:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0xe7802f…
07-15 13:24:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	47	80¢	$38	0xc65c53…
07-15 05:59:41	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x4d77c0…
07-15 05:21:07	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	46	64¢	$29	0x5436be…
07-15 02:40:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0x597adc…
07-15 00:17:26	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x75c75f…
07-14 23:48:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0x705437…
07-14 21:18:59	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	74	91¢	$68	0x60fbb5…
07-14 20:30:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0x91e5b8…
07-14 19:59:44	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd6467e…
07-14 18:42:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x84cf70…
07-14 18:40:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x322437…
07-14 18:39:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0xb162c8…
07-14 18:30:44	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x1f9f0f…
07-14 15:30:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	43	75¢	$32	0x1c119a…
07-14 14:35:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0x3f7b1b…
07-14 08:54:14	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x10063e…
07-14 02:55:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	SELL	155	83¢	$128	0x67cc3d…
07-13 20:14:19	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x276c85…
07-13 19:40:25	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xc743db…
07-13 17:35:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	71	61¢	$43	0x4438b4…
07-13 13:00:05	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	36	87¢	$31	0x4a9136…
07-13 13:00:05	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x2acb3d…
07-13 08:20:40	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x7f4227…
07-13 06:02:26	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	81	87¢	$71	0x3dc4c7…
07-12 17:48:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x71d436…
07-12 13:47:46	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xdacf83…
07-12 04:01:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0x3aa17e…
07-12 01:40:31	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	140	61¢	$85	0x003073…
07-12 00:04:23	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	81	85¢	$69	0xcc7d70…
07-11 22:26:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	71	76¢	$54	0xecc935…
07-11 12:33:10	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	56	85¢	$47	0xd6e17c…
07-10 22:10:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0x0071f0…
07-10 21:31:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x6b93c9…
07-10 17:44:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	89	82¢	$73	0xf5eddc…
07-10 17:40:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x6f6c52…
07-10 16:15:16	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	46	82¢	$38	0x00d1e9…
07-10 15:30:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	98	77¢	$76	0x90f55a…
07-10 14:35:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xe4a6b2…
07-10 14:34:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x4af1b8…
07-10 14:34:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x14a17e…
07-10 07:42:26	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x6751f9…
07-10 07:42:17	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x35acd1…
07-10 06:03:55	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0x433959…
07-10 00:02:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x989f98…
07-09 23:45:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	35	79¢	$28	0x2e0a1f…
07-09 20:31:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	49	76¢	$38	0xf53ee8…
07-09 11:37:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	38	75¢	$28	0x1d7362…
07-09 10:56:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xf152ea…
07-09 07:42:50	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	49	45¢	$22	0x82a7e6…
07-08 18:12:41	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	49	56¢	$28	0x41ae88…
07-08 16:24:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x67c1d6…
07-08 08:25:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15	No	BUY	44	72¢	$32	0x182333…
07-08 07:39:16	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x5befff…
07-07 21:30:44	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0x5e322d…
07-07 19:30:49	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x56a811…
07-07 14:04:23	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	47	76¢	$36	0x5bdc72…
07-07 11:21:50	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x441d78…
07-07 08:37:50	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xbf586f…
07-07 07:43:19	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x36bd18…
07-07 05:02:14	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x37e38c…
07-07 04:11:40	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe77962…
07-07 03:12:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xbd935c…
07-07 02:57:16	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x5782fd…
07-07 00:34:01	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	54	64¢	$35	0x7faa7d…
07-07 00:32:50	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x167323…
07-07 00:29:02	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x51a59a…
07-07 00:28:49	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x2e98e3…
07-06 17:31:07	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x5cdd1f…