Mad-Mycoplasma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,274

lifetime

Volume

$59.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 08-05 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% $-3

Other

42% 60% +$25

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	52	$1.8K	1,096	1,169	-73	open	—	06-15 08:00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	44	$1.2K	769	769	+0	open	—	06-21 06:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	20	$1.2K	737	737	+0	open	—	07-12 17:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	35	$1.1K	654	733	-79	open	—	06-15 06:31
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	21	$1.1K	603	761	-158	open	—	06-28 20:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	12	$984	724	724	+0	open	—	07-10 17:44
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	23	$955	582	603	-21	open	—	06-24 17:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	24	$927	707	477	+230	open	—	06-14 22:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$744	451	454	-3	open	—	06-25 11:30
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	13	$703	449	519	-70	open	—	06-04 02:30
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	14	$642	381	414	-32	open	—	06-13 11:30
will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	11	$617	405	405	+0	open	—	06-21 09:03
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	13	$575	385	385	+0	open	—	06-21 06:25
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	45	$540	275	362	-87	open	—	06-19 01:38
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	37	$526	298	298	+0	open	—	06-28 20:17
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	22	$519	340	293	+46	open	—	06-21 17:30
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	18	$510	335	335	+0	open	—	06-16 09:41
will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	37	$485	324	324	+0	open	—	06-21 06:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	3	$478	180	416	-236	open	—	05-31 15:30
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	8	$463	307	307	+0	open	—	06-11 15:33
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	13	$438	266	261	+5	open	—	06-19 22:33
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	45	$421	318	318	+0	open	—	06-21 06:23
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	9	$416	267	267	+0	open	—	06-17 14:38
will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	16	$416	268	268	+0	open	—	07-26 08:12
will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	6	$412	227	227	+0	open	—	07-05 19:37
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	9	$409	245	245	-0	open	—	06-14 20:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	7	$381	211	211	+0	open	—	06-08 16:30
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	10	$377	248	248	+0	open	—	07-25 11:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$362	212	212	+0	open	—	04-03 06:46
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	15	$348	213	213	+0	open	—	07-26 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 21:13:28	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	87	95¢	$83	0xc52c47…
08-12 21:13:22	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	187	92¢	$173	0x3d2247…
08-12 21:13:16	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	SELL	86	91¢	$78	0xc62697…
08-12 21:13:10	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0xd088de…
08-12 21:12:55	Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	90	68¢	$62	0x07ea82…
08-12 21:12:49	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	86	97¢	$83	0xddd7cb…
08-05 13:32:29	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x7312b8…
08-05 13:32:20	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x0a3262…
08-05 13:25:51	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x6fa317…
08-04 13:24:21	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	76	83¢	$63	0x3a11cd…
08-04 12:15:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xa11350…
08-04 11:58:57	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9c23ac…
08-04 11:14:57	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xbf4574…
08-04 11:11:48	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x336471…
08-04 11:10:44	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xf92165…
08-04 11:07:41	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x282ac6…
08-04 10:56:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xacb568…
08-04 10:55:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x811d14…
08-04 10:47:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xee771d…
08-04 10:46:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xb3ae42…
08-04 10:45:23	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x3ab157…
08-04 10:40:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x3c9c2f…
08-04 10:39:26	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x456083…
08-04 10:37:18	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe17d12…
08-04 10:31:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xbfc5a6…
08-04 10:16:23	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x77deb7…
08-04 10:15:21	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x4216d4…
08-04 09:56:26	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x12a7dd…
08-04 09:43:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0bd29d…
08-04 09:42:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xeb8b4f…
08-04 09:41:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xda5322…
08-04 09:40:26	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x5b934d…
08-04 09:34:00	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0fec9a…
08-04 09:29:48	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x1c364e…
08-04 09:28:42	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xd8c3ab…
08-04 09:27:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xddd731…
08-04 09:26:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xebd9fa…
08-04 09:25:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x7162dc…
08-04 01:03:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	96	77¢	$74	0x3aa86f…
08-03 23:00:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	98	75¢	$74	0x7441f9…
08-03 18:32:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xc92372…
08-03 18:01:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	69	76¢	$52	0xfb64f1…
08-02 21:42:03	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0x3c2a43…
08-02 08:02:15	Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xe91ee8…
08-02 07:07:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	85	73¢	$62	0xc276cd…
08-02 00:35:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	93	80¢	$75	0xa9d76d…
08-01 23:44:29	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	86	87¢	$75	0xca55b4…
08-01 04:30:39	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	156	80¢	$125	0xfd0cf3…
07-30 02:29:17	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x69d796…
07-27 23:08:27	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd8cc07…
07-27 23:08:27	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xa3342e…
07-27 18:30:09	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x655f6f…
07-27 18:28:33	us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	No	SELL	85	86¢	$73	0x43b2ff…
07-26 22:06:37	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	31	83¢	$25	0x36fc2d…
07-26 21:41:36	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x0a899a…
07-26 19:51:06	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa27bfe…
07-26 08:12:18	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	76	90¢	$68	0xf757aa…
07-26 07:58:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xc9f4f7…
07-26 06:19:28	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x06f807…
07-26 04:22:37	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xa4eb71…
07-25 11:07:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xad1710…
07-25 09:06:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	76	86¢	$65	0xbe52a1…
07-24 20:53:06	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xc6ad1a…
07-24 20:41:36	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xa44cb4…
07-24 20:41:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x2ac4a0…
07-24 16:30:43	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf187ba…
07-24 15:13:01	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	74	92¢	$68	0x524a0e…
07-24 12:50:03	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x2e1838…
07-23 19:17:57	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x38c004…
07-23 19:14:49	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	68	88¢	$59	0x769071…
07-22 16:14:19	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0x2fbf19…
07-22 12:38:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x6c3d22…
07-22 09:28:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x1253f3…
07-22 07:39:39	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x9248ca…
07-22 06:58:15	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8ce1ab…
07-22 06:23:10	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfab436…
07-22 03:34:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x29d9f7…
07-22 00:37:28	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	67	87¢	$58	0x729eb1…
07-22 00:06:21	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	43	87¢	$38	0xc82b39…
07-21 23:20:31	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	85	86¢	$73	0xa62e1d…
07-21 17:48:42	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	47	86¢	$41	0x3c87a3…
07-21 16:12:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0xf96167…
07-21 15:46:22	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x7fed1f…
07-21 15:40:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0xefa170…
07-21 13:40:06	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	43	87¢	$37	0x8007c6…
07-21 03:40:09	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x754757…
07-20 23:29:49	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x9313a8…
07-20 19:38:48	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xa36ed6…
07-20 15:52:45	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x3960d5…
07-20 14:44:42	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5c56d6…
07-20 14:06:52	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x905c53…
07-20 07:24:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	42	87¢	$36	0x04d40b…
07-19 23:21:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf5fedf…
07-19 22:38:04	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xe02b14…
07-19 20:30:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x99b81e…
07-17 16:01:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x99267c…
07-17 11:00:57	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	27	83¢	$23	0x4b7063…
07-16 22:40:14	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7e666e…
07-16 21:32:56	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x420ba3…
07-16 18:34:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0x18d4b9…