Square-Incision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

221

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-16 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

48% 66% -$80

Crypto

44% 74% -$77

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$38

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$199	128	128	+0	Yes	+$0	03-08 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:45 UTC	7	$138	149	65	+83	Down	-$4	03-09 19:49
val pr1 nrg 2026 03 09	4	$105	108	108	+0	NRG	-$15	03-09 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:25 UTC	3	$103	148	15	+133	Down	-$94	03-09 21:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?	2	$95	170	170	+0	No	-$17	06-14 13:29
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	2	$91	71	71	+0	LOUD	+$21	05-03 23:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:05 UTC	4	$69	67	67	+0	Down	-$15	03-09 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:25 UTC	2	$68	46	46	+1	Up	+$8	03-09 19:26
will bitcoin dip to 66500 on march 8	1	$68	125	0	+125	Yes	-$68	03-08 20:48
val gm ag1 2026 03 08	2	$65	35	35	+0	All Gamers	+$5	03-08 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:55 UTC	2	$61	36	35	+0	Up	+$9	03-09 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?	1	$58	171	0	+171	No	-$58	06-16 04:23
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$50	88	0	+88	Yes	+$38	05-30 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?	2	$45	49	49	+0	Yes	+$5	06-05 04:00
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	2	$44	33	33	+0	Karmine Corp	+$4	06-06 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	2	$44	34	34	+0	Yes	+$4	05-21 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:50 UTC	2	$43	41	40	+1	Up	+$3	03-09 18:51
bitcoin above 72k on march 10	2	$40	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-10 11:16
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	2	$39	39	39	+0	No	-$1	05-08 12:43
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	3	$39	25	25	+0	Karmine Corp	+$11	04-26 23:44
val pr1 vit 2026 06 15	1	$38	60	0	+60	Paper Rex	+$22	06-14 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?	2	$37	34	34	+0	Yes	+$7	05-17 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:25 UTC	3	$35	88	23	+66	Up	+$40	03-09 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	4	$33	128	128	+0	No	-$17	06-10 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	2	$33	24	24	+0	No	+$3	05-23 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	2	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 22:35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$32	19	19	+0	9z	+$6	05-09 16:36
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	1	$30	115	0	+115	No	-$30	06-13 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:45 UTC	1	$30	42	0	+42	Down	+$12	03-09 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:40 UTC	1	$30	63	0	+63	Down	-$30	03-09 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 04:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	171	34¢	$58	0x993edc…
06-14 13:31:27	val pr1 vit 2026 06 15	Paper Rex	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0xf795d0…
06-14 13:29:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?	Yes	SELL	170	23¢	$39	0x197dc5…
06-13 09:35:34	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	Yes	BUY	170	33¢	$56	0x277293…
06-13 09:30:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x5d1977…
06-12 04:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x29d14a…
06-11 18:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x95b999…
06-11 04:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcd688d…
06-11 01:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x3f81cf…
06-10 21:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x181a2c…
06-10 13:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x28cb00…
06-10 13:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9b4af3…
06-10 05:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0xc8ab79…
06-10 05:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4fcb9c…
06-10 05:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb6191c…
06-10 01:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x7db46b…
06-10 01:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0xc18911…
06-09 19:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xeae13d…
06-09 12:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6caa35…
06-09 05:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$7	0xf12f7f…
06-08 19:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x79cccb…
06-08 11:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x374705…
06-08 04:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x685f4b…
06-08 04:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x31b3d4…
06-07 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x476472…
06-07 04:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xd47d1e…
06-07 04:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4be5da…
06-07 04:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf5233c…
06-06 19:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x119ea2…
06-06 16:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xea17fb…
06-06 16:09:55	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Karmine Corp	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0xac2be2…
06-06 05:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x74cd65…
06-05 18:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x340c07…
06-05 04:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0xc93ca4…
06-04 20:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0xc9d9ff…
06-04 05:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x171ef1…
06-04 04:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe91e7a…
06-04 03:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x4489d3…
06-03 21:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x46b7c4…
06-03 21:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x31e001…
06-03 16:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf6aa3d…
06-03 12:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xa29bf8…
06-03 05:49:10	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa00726…
06-02 19:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc4286f…
06-02 06:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1dc475…
06-02 04:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbcd4d0…
06-02 02:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2f356b…
06-02 02:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x09d068…
06-01 21:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3ae28e…
06-01 21:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9b822e…
06-01 04:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0x8a1be3…
06-01 03:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	19	76¢	$15	0x9dd5b2…
06-01 01:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xf8eb68…
06-01 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xfad8a7…
05-31 21:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1b94c3…
05-31 21:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xff7dd9…
05-31 06:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf17a41…
05-30 12:20:14	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x174f65…
05-30 10:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7c49fc…
05-30 10:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0xd97df9…
05-30 06:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x272ef4…
05-28 21:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0xcd2aec…
05-28 11:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xfcdf56…
05-28 10:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xb7ec0c…
05-28 04:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x128db8…
05-27 19:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0xd66339…
05-27 13:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x5e1659…
05-26 19:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3e323c…
05-26 13:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xf57611…
05-26 09:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x1967d3…
05-25 22:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x2e8a98…
05-25 19:43:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0xe355a2…
05-25 15:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xe3e0f4…
05-25 15:33:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xf9c3c7…
05-25 15:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x52dbdf…
05-25 10:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x6616c2…
05-24 22:54:40	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x6440f8…
05-24 22:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x02cd1a…
05-24 14:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x52ce0d…
05-23 21:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x308c23…
05-23 18:39:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x729c46…
05-23 15:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x3ec93c…
05-23 14:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x703544…
05-23 13:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0x55cd30…
05-23 10:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x75ef70…
05-23 06:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xb8c60a…
05-22 18:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6de0f7…
05-22 09:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x109a21…
05-21 19:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfe920c…
05-21 13:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0x8ed185…
05-21 13:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x849b18…
05-21 07:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x71e55b…
05-21 07:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x6e04b7…
05-21 07:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0xcfd615…
05-20 17:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x775bdc…
05-20 13:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xb9cce5…
05-20 04:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd72e56…
05-20 01:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x6e44ff…
05-19 20:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2594bc…
05-17 20:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x9897d0…