Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$374

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

139

Trades

505

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$86

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

64% 46% -$265

Politics

35% 25% -$154

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% 100% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+34	$30	96¢	$33	+$3	10-09 16:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+25	$20	80¢	$20	$0	10-21 13:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	+17	$15	100¢	$17	+$2	10-09 16:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	+18	$15	88¢	$16	+$1	10-09 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	16	$1.7K	5,086	5,086	+0	No	-$36	03-10 08:18
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	23	$1.4K	1,825	1,825	+0	Yes	-$15	03-04 10:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	16	$1.1K	1,071	1,071	+0	Yes	-$29	03-02 18:12
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$1.0K	1,256	1,256	+0	Yes	-$8	03-11 14:15
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	2	$1000	909	909	+0	No	$0	07-05 12:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 3?	2	$801	402	402	+0	No	+$1	05-04 05:38
will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	62	$736	2,051	2,264	-213	No	-$7	03-11 14:03
epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	3	$675	900	900	+0	Yes	-$9	03-01 07:23
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	6	$626	722	722	+0	No	-$15	03-11 15:25
will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	55	$616	925	1,025	-100	Yes	+$3	03-11 14:53
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	12	$551	1,312	1,312	+0	No	-$15	03-11 13:04
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	2	$544	345	345	+0	No	+$144	03-11 20:06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 30?	1	$500	507	0	+507	No	+$7	04-30 15:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 4?	1	$490	497	0	+497	No	+$7	05-04 05:39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 1?	2	$454	458	0	+458	No	+$4	05-01 17:36
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	8	$452	430	540	-110	No	-$60	03-02 20:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$416	650	650	+0	No	-$3	03-06 16:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 7?	1	$403	413	0	+413	No	+$10	05-07 18:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 7?	1	$403	407	0	+407	No	+$4	05-07 18:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 2?	1	$400	407	0	+407	No	+$7	05-02 17:02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$395	465	465	+0	open	—	07-05 07:02
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$375	278	278	+0	Yes	+$175	06-20 21:59
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	6	$374	405	405	+0	Yes	-$10	03-17 17:07
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	7	$363	234	234	+0	Down	-$20	03-01 02:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$356	470	470	+0	Yes	-$1	03-11 09:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 2?	1	$350	352	0	+352	No	+$2	05-02 16:53
ucl bvb int 2026 01 28 bvb	1	$332	1,038	0	+1,038	No	-$332	01-27 23:34
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	17	$332	258	433	-175	Yes	+$71	03-10 13:46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 29?	1	$300	312	0	+312	No	+$12	04-29 07:33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$300	306	0	+306	No	+$6	04-27 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 13:29:09	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xa2c458…
10-21 13:25:05	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x028b9c…
10-21 13:24:24	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x1f1357…
10-21 13:23:42	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x4f5b4c…
10-11 17:23:57	dota2 ty ts8 2026 10 11	Team Yandex	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x76fe3f…
10-11 05:01:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x64021f…
10-11 04:57:47	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x578e08…
10-09 16:12:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0b5b9e…
10-09 16:10:35	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x21a6f2…
10-09 16:09:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xe55098…
10-09 16:08:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7bdd23…
10-09 16:02:09	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x873d56…
10-09 16:01:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x5c6eeb…
10-09 15:58:27	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0011f3…
10-04 18:53:47	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x331665…
10-04 18:53:04	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xfff75c…
09-20 13:50:48	Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 2 - 1 SV 07 Elversberg?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xaea673…
09-20 13:50:00	Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 1 - 1 SV 07 Elversberg?	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x98be94…
07-05 12:16:50	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	909	55¢	$500	0xab6c8b…
07-05 07:02:37	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	465	42¢	$195	0x56a206…
07-05 07:01:53	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x9733fd…
07-05 06:59:47	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x0a2483…
06-20 21:59:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	278	99¢	$275	0xdac658…
06-20 20:41:14	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x10e1bc…
05-07 18:47:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 7?	No	BUY	407	99¢	$403	0x5c1fea…
05-07 18:47:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 7?	No	BUY	413	97¢	$403	0xa37d2b…
05-05 07:29:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 5?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xfcbc3d…
05-04 05:39:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 4?	No	BUY	497	99¢	$490	0xde7442…
05-04 05:38:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 3?	No	SELL	402	100¢	$401	0x313bc7…
05-04 05:37:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 4?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xe8b3ab…
05-03 15:38:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 3?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$300	0x4554ba…
05-03 15:37:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 3?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x7c9ff4…
05-02 17:02:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 2?	No	BUY	407	98¢	$400	0x0b6b34…
05-02 16:53:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 2?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$350	0x6ad13d…
05-01 17:36:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 1?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd7b017…
05-01 17:30:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 1?	No	BUY	256	99¢	$254	0x16add8…
04-30 15:20:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 30?	No	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x7fa0e0…
04-30 05:51:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 30?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x892fe8…
04-29 15:25:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 29?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0x77854b…
04-29 07:33:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 29?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xdaa5ef…
04-29 07:31:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 29?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xaec071…
04-27 06:06:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 27?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x81379d…
04-18 16:59:18	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	294	71¢	$208	0xeae0e8…
04-03 14:20:07	highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x7012e3…
04-03 11:38:27	highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xf84063…
04-03 06:50:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	102	88¢	$90	0x647d7d…
04-03 06:49:43	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x066f67…
03-22 12:56:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x0c7020…
03-22 03:08:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x2264d0…
03-22 03:08:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x418f8f…
03-22 03:07:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x7b80bb…
03-17 17:07:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x54e01e…
03-17 17:05:51	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x7f3d1f…
03-17 15:24:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x10c63c…
03-17 14:19:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0x4a1fb5…
03-17 14:13:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x45b7b4…
03-17 14:12:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5a5ddb…
03-17 14:06:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x92d045…
03-16 20:15:09	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x6c1be0…
03-16 19:28:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x9120db…
03-16 19:28:27	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	81	59¢	$48	0x9422d8…
03-16 19:22:09	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	81	59¢	$48	0x8617a8…
03-16 19:02:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x1854eb…
03-16 18:03:21	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x8ce877…
03-16 18:03:15	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	63	75¢	$48	0xe04096…
03-16 17:50:23	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xfee95f…
03-16 17:45:23	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xffb443…
03-16 17:44:53	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8f1869…
03-16 17:44:53	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x69879b…
03-16 17:41:41	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4f56c0…
03-16 17:39:39	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x572d3a…
03-16 14:47:31	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	80	21¢	$17	0x067f6b…
03-16 11:05:55	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x93e409…
03-16 10:13:27	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xc04691…
03-15 19:58:33	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x460561…
03-15 16:55:27	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x32fc30…
03-15 16:50:09	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x6f8c74…
03-15 15:29:29	ere fey exc 2026 03 15 exc	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xf989d8…
03-15 14:13:13	ere fey exc 2026 03 15 exc	No	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x262cd6…
03-15 14:05:39	lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xcf1e18…
03-15 14:05:31	epl liv tot 2026 03 15 liv	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x05d16e…
03-15 14:00:23	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 spread home 1pt5	Aston Villa FC	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x54fdd1…
03-15 13:18:25	sea com rom 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x24c6cd…
03-15 13:15:45	fl1 hac lyo 2026 03 15 lyo	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xffc03b…
03-15 13:13:51	sea sas bol 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x47fc5a…
03-15 13:05:57	lal mal esp 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x1c7505…
03-11 20:06:13	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	No	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x3f1876…
03-11 18:53:19	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	No	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x997190…
03-11 18:12:41	will trump say kamala or harris this week march 15	Yes	SELL	51	43¢	$22	0xd9e9ba…
03-11 18:02:53	will trump say kamala or harris this week march 15	Yes	BUY	49	47¢	$23	0xec7fe3…
03-11 17:00:41	will trump say kamala or harris this week march 15	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x096b96…
03-11 16:33:51	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	400	10¢	$40	0xeb7086…
03-11 16:33:11	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	400	11¢	$44	0x1b8c30…
03-11 15:34:51	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 100 119	No	SELL	51	69¢	$35	0x6e9d0b…
03-11 15:34:25	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 100 119	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0xc31739…
03-11 15:34:19	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 100 119	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x29c7d7…
03-11 15:25:33	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	201	57¢	$115	0x9cb441…
03-11 15:24:57	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	201	63¢	$127	0x19d1c8…
03-11 14:54:03	will trumps approval rating be less than 41pt0 on march 13 2026 221	No	SELL	51	56¢	$29	0xd1de50…
03-11 14:53:43	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xb1b1f2…