Green-Arthur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$918

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

359

Trades

861

lifetime

Volume

$9.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 09-21 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

65% 34% +$43

Politics

32% 30% -$702

Sports

3% 0% -$262

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	8	$1.3K	685	685	+0	Yes	+$65	09-21 09:15
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	4	$1.0K	635	635	+0	Yes	+$224	09-21 20:15
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	4	$414	240	240	+0	No	+$25	09-21 12:30
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	7	$312	800	800	+0	No	-$221	09-20 18:14
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$288	200	200	+0	Yes	+$40	06-08 18:15
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$228	500	500	+0	Yes	-$202	09-21 04:46
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$210	500	0	+500	No	-$210	09-13 17:26
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	1	$207	500	0	+500	No	-$207	09-18 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	10	$174	100	100	+0	No	+$26	06-06 17:58
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$103	100	100	+0	Yes	-$61	05-28 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	2	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	05-21 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	3	$85	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	05-27 09:43
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$83	500	500	+0	No	-$44	09-21 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	3	$66	56	56	+0	Yes	+$46	05-29 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on May 27?	5	$64	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	05-27 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on May 21?	5	$64	35	35	+0	No	+$6	05-21 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 21?	2	$63	35	35	+0	No	+$7	05-21 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	4	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	05-21 14:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	2	$59	40	40	+0	Yes	+$21	05-29 02:37
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$58	300	0	+300	No	-$58	06-08 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 28?	5	$57	38	38	+0	Yes	+$19	05-29 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?	4	$56	100	50	+50	No	-$15	05-29 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	7	$54	80	0	+80	No	+$26	06-06 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?	8	$54	36	36	+0	No	+$5	05-21 20:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 26?	9	$54	43	43	+0	Yes	+$32	05-26 16:32
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$52	200	0	+200	No	-$52	05-26 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?	2	$52	50	50	+0	No	+$14	06-01 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 29?	2	$51	40	40	+0	Yes	+$29	05-29 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	3	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$10	06-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 22?	8	$43	55	24	+31	Yes	+$18	05-22 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 20:15:19	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	600	98¢	$589	0x4cf944…
09-21 19:16:24	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9b659b…
09-21 19:13:25	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xa2e720…
09-21 12:30:12	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	230	91¢	$210	0x609fd2…
09-21 12:30:12	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x3820fa…
09-21 09:15:09	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	396	97¢	$384	0xc3cb15…
09-21 08:32:53	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	289	97¢	$280	0x84ac76…
09-21 04:46:57	Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$19	0xecfa52…
09-21 04:46:43	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	500	3¢	$13	0x05ba8d…
09-20 18:14:40	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	357	2¢	$6	0x7f1a0d…
09-20 18:13:28	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	182	81¢	$147	0x935bd0…
09-20 18:13:28	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	58	81¢	$47	0x31baef…
09-20 14:08:51	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	372	8¢	$28	0xbaa9e1…
09-20 13:50:12	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x9c9cab…
09-20 13:44:54	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xc92b22…
09-20 06:21:12	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0xbf2e28…
09-20 05:36:57	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	136	33¢	$45	0x72dedd…
09-20 05:35:13	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	610	33¢	$203	0xf77b3d…
09-18 15:22:52	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0044e9…
09-18 15:22:09	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x240e98…
09-18 10:14:54	will yabloko win at least one seat in the next russian state duma election	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$63	0x63bb21…
09-18 10:11:34	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xe653d4…
09-18 10:11:34	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	212	88¢	$188	0x274242…
09-18 10:08:07	Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	BUY	635	63¢	$400	0xe3bd83…
09-18 09:57:37	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	500	41¢	$207	0x02f239…
09-18 09:49:04	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	291	88¢	$256	0xef9b06…
09-18 09:46:40	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0xf031b9…
09-18 09:40:19	Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	81	48¢	$39	0xa4e74d…
09-18 09:37:15	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	170	86¢	$147	0x6f48c4…
09-13 17:26:39	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x63386f…
06-08 18:15:55	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$58	0xa3ad34…
06-08 18:15:45	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x4b0049…
06-08 18:15:31	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x697b4b…
06-08 18:15:30	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x7a8b8b…
06-08 18:15:22	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x17be0e…
06-08 18:15:21	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x5d5bfd…
06-08 18:15:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0xbdf10b…
06-08 18:15:10	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	53	82¢	$44	0xd0b736…
06-06 17:59:30	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1be5ea…
06-06 17:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf5ec04…
06-06 10:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x891d0c…
06-06 10:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x950515…
06-06 10:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x648c77…
06-06 09:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xe30ac3…
06-06 09:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xa031d9…
06-06 09:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc736b7…
06-06 09:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd03c3a…
06-06 09:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xd46989…
06-06 09:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc92a5e…
06-06 09:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x687c4b…
06-06 09:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x1e80fb…
06-06 09:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x6d7a0d…
06-06 09:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x16ffe8…
06-06 09:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x2a44da…
06-06 09:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcae574…
06-06 09:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xbd057b…
06-06 09:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x333b9b…
06-06 09:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xca0ced…
06-06 09:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8e6364…
06-06 09:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3fc203…
06-06 09:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x77a624…
06-06 09:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x93ea93…
06-06 09:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x5dcb04…
06-06 09:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x526303…
06-06 09:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1be7c8…
06-06 08:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x0e31de…
06-06 08:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7713fe…
06-06 08:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1a4953…
06-06 08:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x08195b…
06-06 05:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x81006f…
06-06 05:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x641cac…
06-06 05:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x20c001…
06-06 05:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$9	0xd78305…
06-06 05:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x10844d…
06-06 03:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xff8e5b…
06-06 03:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xee6149…
06-06 03:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xed8516…
06-06 03:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x60c207…
06-06 03:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xeb6a28…
06-06 03:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x61d07b…
06-06 03:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x3de46c…
06-06 03:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x597377…
06-06 03:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0x57c828…
06-06 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x86ec49…
06-06 02:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x7413f1…
06-06 02:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7d4d96…
06-06 02:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x8c557e…
06-06 02:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xb5d048…
06-05 15:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xe7521c…
06-05 15:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x37e8c2…
06-05 15:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbda02f…
06-05 15:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xad4bef…
06-05 15:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xeb2e42…
06-05 15:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xf0eaba…
06-05 15:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa9d6e9…
06-05 15:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xb07f8e…
06-05 15:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xf5b6c4…
06-05 15:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x9a6a0a…
06-05 15:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x201b10…
06-05 15:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0xe8e34e…