Golden-Mistake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$394

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

4,842

Trades

117,248

lifetime

Volume

$158.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-13 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

79% 39% +$1,074

Crypto

20% 22% -$675

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	05-14 13:45
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-14 14:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 15c	574	$1.0K	1,162	1,131	+31	Yes	+$16	03-09 17:56
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 15c	405	$983	798	791	+7	Yes	+$19	03-23 16:53
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 9c	368	$936	777	761	+16	Yes	+$13	03-25 17:51
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 12c	343	$915	738	738	+0	Yes	+$19	03-17 15:31
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 16c	342	$839	743	734	+9	Yes	+$7	04-06 17:58
highest temperature in paris on april 5 2026 15c	263	$823	561	559	+2	Yes	+$9	04-05 17:39
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 12c	257	$703	515	514	+1	Yes	+$10	03-19 13:26
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 10c	260	$703	542	532	+10	Yes	+$11	03-26 17:07
highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 16c	386	$695	801	796	+5	Yes	+$17	03-19 16:21
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 6c	334	$683	757	704	+53	Yes	+$2	03-11 12:28
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 14c	421	$660	911	856	+55	No	+$8	03-09 14:24
highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 15c	278	$652	618	608	+10	Yes	+$19	03-17 16:10
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 16c	431	$644	923	911	+12	No	+$14	03-09 15:42
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	433	$643	989	985	+4	Yes	+$23	03-24 13:19
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 18c	302	$627	650	637	+13	No	+$5	04-06 17:14
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 12c	316	$621	725	698	+27	No	+$7	03-11 12:24
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 12c	314	$618	662	663	-0	Yes	-$4	03-12 15:39
highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 14c	346	$616	706	697	+8	No	+$1	03-24 14:46
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 13c	219	$610	475	460	+15	No	-$7	04-05 12:51
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 12c	294	$601	664	636	+29	No	+$8	03-12 07:26
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 13c	383	$591	860	830	+31	No	+$8	03-09 14:24
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 7c	317	$569	699	668	+31	No	+$3	03-11 08:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 15corhigher	362	$555	795	780	+15	No	$0	03-24 05:21
highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 17c	330	$554	719	709	+10	No	+$3	03-19 16:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	306	$548	661	649	+12	Yes	-$11	03-12 06:22
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 18c	251	$534	511	510	+1	Yes	+$12	03-18 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	318	$533	650	629	+21	No	-$2	05-16 03:49
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 15c	389	$522	865	851	+14	No	-$4	04-06 14:50
highest temperature in london on march 10 2026 14c	249	$519	564	541	+23	Yes	-$11	03-10 14:51
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 14c	242	$516	556	533	+23	No	+$5	03-11 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 19:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x63393a…
06-13 19:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd14b71…
06-13 19:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xccda9e…
06-13 19:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x87b98b…
06-13 18:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa9027f…
06-13 18:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9d7042…
06-13 18:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe9aeb2…
06-13 18:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1c2cca…
06-13 18:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x030eb8…
06-13 18:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x58b97e…
06-13 18:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8b344c…
06-13 18:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa68efc…
06-13 18:40:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc48a5d…
06-13 18:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1061a4…
06-13 18:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8d682c…
06-13 18:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x71da46…
06-13 18:38:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa54db3…
06-13 18:38:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd9937d…
06-13 18:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xac5ef6…
06-13 18:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x329501…
06-13 18:38:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1b8c96…
06-13 18:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x156abd…
06-13 18:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1ce275…
06-13 18:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xf38f05…
06-13 18:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xd3cecb…
06-13 18:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1cb3b8…
06-13 18:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xedf2a6…
06-13 18:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x69bb8c…
06-13 18:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7ddb24…
06-13 18:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd2f53b…
06-13 18:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x59ed26…
06-13 18:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5ca611…
06-13 18:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5f88b5…
06-13 18:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x3f9e1f…
06-13 18:36:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xd8f257…
06-13 18:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd479a8…
06-13 18:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe757a6…
06-13 18:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x38cb63…
06-13 18:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe6e99a…
06-13 18:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6b2204…
06-13 18:33:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xe46d23…
06-13 18:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8f34de…
06-13 18:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x77f66c…
06-13 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x2334cd…
06-13 18:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7972fd…
06-13 18:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe411d5…
06-13 18:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5352a7…
06-13 18:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0f9700…
06-13 18:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc5e219…
06-13 18:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x735172…
06-13 18:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xad0e36…
06-13 18:12:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x17c4c1…
06-13 18:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2c65c0…
06-13 18:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe47fcd…
06-13 18:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc19ef3…
06-13 18:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x53dc66…
06-13 18:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1c37fe…
06-13 18:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x08adef…
06-13 18:11:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xad7774…
06-13 18:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x244914…
06-13 18:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf6ae9b…
06-13 18:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcfea05…
06-13 18:10:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd267a7…
06-13 18:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd9c340…
06-13 18:10:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x801ad9…
06-13 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x951587…
06-13 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbd2788…
06-13 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x8f02a5…
06-13 18:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62d487…
06-13 18:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x29a55b…
06-13 18:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4b30c6…
06-13 18:06:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe88064…
06-13 18:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x977492…
06-13 18:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x54f116…
06-13 18:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd83646…
06-13 18:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xade07a…
06-13 18:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x90c842…
06-13 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x35a613…
06-13 18:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x0cf529…
06-13 18:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0f23e1…
06-13 18:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x391317…
06-13 18:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x85f7f8…
06-13 18:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x12e2f6…
06-13 18:02:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe03864…
06-13 18:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa8b19f…
06-13 18:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6272cd…
06-13 18:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd4b77f…
06-13 18:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x901315…
06-13 18:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xafc517…
06-13 18:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x913bad…
06-13 18:01:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbfaa78…
06-13 18:01:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb76776…
06-13 18:01:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x20eab6…
06-13 18:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xac8817…
06-13 18:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6293a9…
06-13 18:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5653f9…
06-13 18:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x04f38a…
06-13 18:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x40c44f…
06-13 18:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4c0bbc…
06-13 18:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcb28fd…