Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-04

last 10-29 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

78% 12% -$34

Politics

15% 0% -$8

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	+20	$18	86¢	$17	$0	10-17 17:53
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+20	$4	26¢	$5	+$1	10-28 23:18
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	+20	$3	14¢	$3	+$0	10-17 17:53
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+3	$2	57¢	$2	$0	10-26 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
arcc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 27 2026 0pt49	5	$40	40	40	+0	No	$0	10-17 11:21
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-17 11:18
Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 15:15
Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 15:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 08:03
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 09:03
Scorigami in Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 14:14
tw quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 29 2026 1pt04	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-17 11:22
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 08:03
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 08:02
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 15:29
over 40m committed to the 1w public sale	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 11:23
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 05:49
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 15:29
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 10:06
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 12:06
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 15:47
csgp quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 27 2026 0pt34	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	10-17 15:24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 17:53
Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 16:51
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	10-17 11:55
will ppi yoy be 6pt0 in october	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 17:30
will chinas cpi increase by between 0pt7 and 0pt8 over the 12 month period ending in october 2026	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-17 14:53
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	2	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-17 13:50
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 11:18
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	10-11 01:38
vz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 26 2026 1pt31	2	$17	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-17 11:20
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	3	$17	14	7	+7	open	—	10-17 05:49
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	2	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	10-20 08:03
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	1	$17	20	0	+20	Yes	+$3	10-10 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:26:47	Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0e9073…
10-29 06:26:35	Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x6d94dd…
10-28 23:18:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x58f82f…
10-28 22:05:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 15%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x32df52…
10-28 17:19:44	Will Peggy Flanagan run 3 to 6 points behind Amy Klobuchar?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xcc4a55…
10-26 17:21:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xcc1871…
10-26 16:05:03	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x675d86…
10-26 10:12:17	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7076e4…
10-25 15:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xea6ba7…
10-25 15:29:59	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x0bfff8…
10-25 15:29:36	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x08e0e7…
10-25 15:29:18	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x0e9cbd…
10-25 09:15:56	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xebd70f…
10-25 04:13:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0190ee…
10-25 02:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb2aba8…
10-24 12:59:02	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf7bd82…
10-24 05:00:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x6da5ee…
10-24 04:59:57	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x2c58d7…
10-24 03:47:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x005a14…
10-22 11:08:27	Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3f14b4…
10-21 03:17:17	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xe30af1…
10-20 14:15:48	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x1c10d2…
10-20 14:15:26	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x187182…
10-20 14:14:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x72532d…
10-20 14:14:41	Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xfa1301…
10-20 14:14:09	Scorigami in Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x35b080…
10-20 14:13:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x4d35fe…
10-20 12:56:24	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x03aeb6…
10-20 12:55:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x785ee0…
10-20 12:53:24	Scorigami in Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xf24043…
10-20 12:31:21	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xafbc9d…
10-20 12:13:17	Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc2abbb…
10-20 11:55:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x58af7d…
10-20 10:06:48	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x7294af…
10-20 10:06:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x128642…
10-20 10:06:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5564bd…
10-20 10:04:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x36aee2…
10-20 09:54:08	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9e1da9…
10-20 09:43:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x232275…
10-20 09:03:44	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x0228f6…
10-20 09:03:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xc00141…
10-20 09:03:19	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x1f8b75…
10-20 08:51:07	Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa6e2ce…
10-20 08:43:05	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6a1a0c…
10-20 08:34:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x891a57…
10-20 08:11:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x25aab8…
10-20 08:06:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd94cb9…
10-20 08:04:11	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0x544335…
10-20 08:04:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x7c5552…
10-20 08:03:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xa856bd…
10-20 08:03:26	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xbb00cb…
10-20 08:03:14	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	18	47¢	$8	0xa32525…
10-20 08:03:02	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x33ad18…
10-20 08:02:41	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xb4124a…
10-20 08:02:29	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Gengar?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x8483ec…
10-20 08:00:28	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x2676dd…
10-20 06:35:46	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$3	0x57fabe…
10-20 05:50:35	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbd2368…
10-20 05:46:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x83f10d…
10-20 05:37:06	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Gengar?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x75a986…
10-20 04:37:08	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc90b68…
10-20 03:38:32	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x3bc225…
10-20 02:00:53	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xa1c246…
10-18 15:15:21	Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xccb248…
10-18 15:13:17	Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x45bc9a…
10-18 15:12:53	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xd5dfdb…
10-18 15:12:33	Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x1ff345…
10-17 17:53:59	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x55686d…
10-17 17:53:54	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb487e6…
10-17 17:30:42	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2169ef…
10-17 17:30:06	will ppi yoy be 6pt0 in october	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc75f7d…
10-17 17:30:03	will ppi yoy be 6pt0 in october	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc7d9e4…
10-17 17:30:03	will ppi yoy be 6pt0 in october	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8a6d3f…
10-17 17:05:41	nyc mayor of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 20 39	No	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xe1da17…
10-17 17:05:41	nyc mayor of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 20 39	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x350649…
10-17 16:59:50	Will "A Place in Hell" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9305a4…
10-17 16:59:33	Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x777c76…
10-17 16:59:17	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x035e1e…
10-17 16:59:02	will micron q1 dram revenue be above 46b	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x3285f1…
10-17 16:51:18	Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc97939…
10-17 16:51:15	Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa99573…
10-17 16:44:33	Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x39ffe9…
10-17 16:30:30	Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x8de22e…
10-17 16:17:09	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x8b8af9…
10-17 15:47:11	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcdfb76…
10-17 15:47:08	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd7816d…
10-17 15:47:08	Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbd3d2f…
10-17 15:25:33	osborn flips ricketts for nebraska senate by november 2	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x674530…
10-17 15:24:15	csgp quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 27 2026 0pt34	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x4ab7f7…
10-17 15:24:14	csgp quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 27 2026 0pt34	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x26286c…
10-17 15:06:48	will micron q1 dram revenue be above 46b	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x698257…
10-17 14:53:24	will chinas cpi increase by between 0pt7 and 0pt8 over the 12 month period ending in october 2026	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xff1051…
10-17 14:53:21	will chinas cpi increase by between 0pt7 and 0pt8 over the 12 month period ending in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf76825…
10-17 13:59:08	Will "A Place in Hell" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe6896d…
10-17 13:58:00	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf7227e…
10-17 13:54:17	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x98ffe6…
10-17 13:53:17	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x66af15…
10-17 13:52:57	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x7916e6…
10-17 13:50:03	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x611c67…
10-17 13:50:00	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xf43236…