Sardonic-Leadership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

193

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$920

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-14 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 54% -$40

Other

13% 9% -$10

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 23 11am et	7	$35	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	01-23 16:48
bitcoin up or down january 23 6am et	5	$32	25	20	+5	Up	-$2	01-23 12:19
bitcoin up or down january 23 1am et	4	$32	20	15	+5	Down	-$2	01-23 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:15 UTC	6	$26	29	29	+0	Down	+$6	03-08 06:21
bitcoin up or down january 23 2am et	11	$26	25	25	+0	Up	-$1	01-23 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC	2	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$15	03-07 15:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 14:30 UTC	9	$21	15	15	+0	Down	-$1	01-23 14:37
bitcoin up or down january 23 7am et	9	$19	20	10	+10	Up	+$1	01-23 13:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	12	$18	22	18	+4	No	-$2	07-02 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:55 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	03-07 15:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?	4	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	07-01 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:05 UTC	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	03-07 22:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:00 UTC	4	$13	19	10	+9	Up	-$10	01-23 17:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:00 UTC	3	$12	5	15	-10	Down	+$1	01-23 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 04:51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?	4	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:00 UTC	4	$10	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	03-07 07:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:05 UTC	3	$10	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	03-07 10:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:20 UTC	3	$10	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	03-07 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-17 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC	3	$10	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	06-30 18:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:15 UTC	1	$10	33	0	+33	Up	-$10	01-23 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 05:50 UTC	4	$9	10	5	+5	Up	+$1	03-08 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:30 UTC	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$0	03-07 08:31
bitcoin up or down january 23 8am et	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	01-23 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 05:15 UTC	2	$9	13	0	+13	Down	-$1	01-23 05:20
bitcoin up or down january 22 11pm et	3	$8	11	5	+6	Up	$0	01-23 04:50
bitcoin up or down march 7 12pm et	4	$8	15	5	+10	Up	-$3	03-07 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$8	12	12	+0	Up	-$1	05-17 04:44
bitcoin up or down january 23 5am et	5	$8	21	5	+16	Up	+$0	01-23 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x874849…
07-14 11:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x5f1dd5…
07-14 11:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 15?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xdb4945…
07-14 11:50:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xadb8dc…
07-14 11:49:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x3f8c61…
07-14 11:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x33fda6…
07-14 11:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe22675…
07-14 10:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa7069b…
07-14 10:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfe9836…
07-14 10:01:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1dde0d…
07-14 09:35:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0a2183…
07-03 04:55:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe20ef1…
07-03 04:53:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xed15c2…
07-03 04:53:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x8c5a0c…
07-02 14:48:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x169316…
07-02 14:46:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x85f3b1…
07-02 14:37:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x82cf9c…
07-02 14:05:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x120d49…
07-02 14:05:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x278cbf…
07-02 14:02:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xb08f96…
07-02 14:01:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xb2a7d5…
07-02 14:00:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x5a5936…
07-02 05:56:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4bdb6b…
07-02 05:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2e00e2…
07-02 04:39:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa0ae64…
07-02 04:30:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x8f80f0…
07-02 04:29:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x63061a…
07-02 04:26:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa609b9…
07-02 04:23:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd26b76…
07-02 04:21:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4318a0…
07-02 04:21:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xb54b38…
07-01 16:51:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x882497…
07-01 16:49:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x00cd57…
07-01 16:46:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcb3c4c…
07-01 16:43:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb3d8ce…
07-01 16:40:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x4559ae…
07-01 16:36:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x49e60a…
07-01 16:34:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xa79610…
07-01 16:34:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbf9f19…
07-01 16:28:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x615f96…
07-01 16:26:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x709cfe…
07-01 16:24:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x2eaad8…
07-01 16:24:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd06f53…
07-01 16:24:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6d8e30…
07-01 16:05:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x1528ce…
07-01 05:26:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1af022…
07-01 05:21:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x01d642…
07-01 05:16:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xef39a8…
07-01 05:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0x8c5c3a…
07-01 03:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe89105…
07-01 03:57:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x49b68b…
07-01 03:56:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9855ed…
07-01 03:56:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdf3ddf…
07-01 03:53:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf64a6a…
07-01 03:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f677d…
07-01 03:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x839f56…
07-01 03:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe3d721…
07-01 03:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1b949a…
07-01 03:19:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaded5f…
07-01 03:16:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x21b142…
07-01 03:07:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x96fecc…
07-01 03:03:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe30bed…
07-01 02:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe45226…
07-01 02:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xe97bf7…
07-01 02:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfbb426…
06-30 22:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd63734…
06-30 22:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfb667…
06-30 22:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6ad843…
06-30 20:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7e5aed…
06-30 18:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x575e30…
06-30 18:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x3e96ab…
06-30 18:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf58a33…
06-30 18:45:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc3991…
06-30 18:30:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x38d8de…
06-30 18:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x731877…
06-30 18:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaa4498…
06-30 17:56:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8760c5…
06-30 17:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf00c07…
06-30 17:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1b2444…
06-30 17:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x61d65e…
06-30 17:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xc1034d…
06-30 17:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x6d3db2…
06-30 17:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc84025…
06-30 17:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x4b6d71…
06-30 16:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x40f1e4…
06-30 15:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd7c16f…
06-30 15:28:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x180595…
06-30 15:28:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x828a85…
06-30 15:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xcfe3c4…
06-30 15:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5ea65…
06-30 15:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x381e33…
06-30 15:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9e1b29…
06-30 15:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8e1d74…
06-30 15:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x69da2a…
06-30 14:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xa6b724…
06-30 14:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x1e9306…
06-30 14:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x9aab7c…
06-30 14:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x848ac4…
06-30 14:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x50eb2c…
06-30 14:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 1?	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x67eb62…