Tired-Screwup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$335

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

2,363

Trades

3,896

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-30 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

55% 51% -$263

Crypto

45% 75% -$69

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:25 UTC	20	$61	150	64	+86	Down	-$5	04-15 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?	5	$54	47	39	+8	Yes	-$1	08-06 20:11
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	12	$53	57	57	+0	Down	-$42	09-30 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:25 UTC	13	$49	79	0	+79	Up	+$29	06-10 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?	10	$47	53	43	+10	Yes	-$9	08-25 16:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 27?	2	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	08-27 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 26?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	08-27 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24?	10	$39	41	29	+12	No	-$3	09-24 21:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 17:35 UTC	8	$35	46	0	+46	Down	+$11	09-27 17:39
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?	2	$35	33	33	+0	Yes	+$30	07-07 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 27?	2	$34	24	24	+0	Yes	+$14	08-27 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 24?	7	$34	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	09-24 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC	3	$32	41	17	+24	Up	+$25	07-25 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 27?	1	$30	34	0	+34	No	-$30	08-27 08:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:30 UTC	3	$28	16	16	+0	Up	-$1	07-27 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	4	$26	44	44	+0	No	-$4	08-29 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?	11	$25	29	29	+0	No	-$5	09-18 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	08-27 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 25?	4	$25	28	28	+0	No	-$5	08-25 00:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:30 UTC	7	$25	40	18	+22	Up	-$4	04-15 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 7?	7	$24	36	36	+0	No	-$2	07-07 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?	4	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	09-20 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:45 UTC	2	$24	24	0	+24	Down	+$0	04-20 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 25?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	08-25 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$23	15	10	+5	Up	+$0	08-31 00:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$23	68	68	+0	Yes	-$3	07-09 16:45
cs2 vit 9z 2026 08 29 map handicap away 1pt5	4	$22	29	29	+0	Vitality	-$5	08-29 09:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:30 UTC	4	$22	15	10	+5	Up	+$2	08-30 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 27?	2	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	+$12	08-27 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 1?	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	09-01 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 17:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x7bce6b…
09-30 17:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x26c88e…
09-30 17:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd9409b…
09-30 17:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xce5778…
09-30 17:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcfd30e…
09-30 17:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe02e03…
09-30 17:09:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	57	10¢	$6	0x5238df…
09-30 17:09:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc55075…
09-30 17:09:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3f40bd…
09-30 17:09:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2ef20c…
09-30 17:09:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf4856c…
09-30 17:09:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xedf7a2…
09-30 17:09:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdee37a…
09-30 17:09:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf2ecd2…
09-30 17:09:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb5f4fa…
09-30 17:09:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x89d1a5…
09-30 17:09:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x68c3f0…
09-30 17:09:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x46a235…
09-30 15:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xda7e2b…
09-30 15:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9261ef…
09-30 14:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x76cec9…
09-30 14:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x9336e3…
09-30 14:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xbdf176…
09-30 13:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x8a29db…
09-30 13:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbd20bd…
09-30 13:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xfa626c…
09-30 13:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1f2ccd…
09-30 13:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4e2bb3…
09-30 13:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x632017…
09-30 07:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfdeba7…
09-30 07:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb3c5ee…
09-30 07:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 30?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x6d3473…
09-30 06:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8caecf…
09-30 06:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0294ac…
09-30 06:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x73a77c…
09-30 06:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x473ea4…
09-30 06:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x3e4070…
09-30 06:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0xcdec93…
09-30 05:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf51af8…
09-30 05:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x7f1f5f…
09-30 05:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x607fd6…
09-30 05:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x75617f…
09-30 05:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd891a8…
09-30 05:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x15a36d…
09-30 05:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xfd9ad4…
09-30 05:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x32978e…
09-30 05:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x8b09c6…
09-29 21:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x760b5d…
09-29 21:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xaf3d77…
09-29 21:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6b0050…
09-29 21:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa8350c…
09-29 21:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0e9bd9…
09-29 21:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd259bf…
09-29 20:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 29?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xb6cecc…
09-29 18:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0c1ac5…
09-29 18:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x89c206…
09-29 18:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x95bf46…
09-29 18:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x2b1187…
09-29 18:07:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 29?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x015ef5…
09-29 18:07:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x47b5f2…
09-29 14:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfe1211…
09-29 14:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8f3302…
09-29 14:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xd88b8c…
09-29 14:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x57396e…
09-29 14:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x78f37f…
09-29 14:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f462f…
09-29 13:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe3ac16…
09-29 13:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaa620c…
09-29 11:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x1fdc19…
09-29 11:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6acdb4…
09-29 11:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4da977…
09-29 11:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xc1a923…
09-29 09:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x64039f…
09-29 09:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xb747db…
09-29 09:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x90ef89…
09-29 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xad4301…
09-29 09:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2303c2…
09-29 06:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x46dd70…
09-29 06:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xba859f…
09-29 06:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x2a8b58…
09-29 06:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 29?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x5e806b…
09-29 05:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2f6c9c…
09-29 05:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa49ae1…
09-28 18:32:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc036c6…
09-28 17:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xbc003d…
09-28 17:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xc0e3f6…
09-28 17:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x415c66…
09-28 17:10:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6150ee…
09-28 17:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 28?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xac0c22…
09-28 17:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 28?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xdaf686…
09-28 17:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x496169…
09-28 17:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x177607…
09-28 17:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1e7a0c…
09-28 16:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b7e58…
09-28 16:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xebe486…
09-28 15:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x02828d…
09-28 14:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xdec039…
09-28 14:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7251a7…
09-28 14:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xcc86d0…
09-28 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xf78f91…