Defenseless-Asterisk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$3.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-11 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

21% 0% $-3

Sports

18% 100% +$3

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+9	$4	16¢	$1	$-3	06-08 06:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on march 20 2026	3	$224	128	128	+0	open	—	03-20 21:01
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	9	$110	165	165	+0	open	—	06-08 05:26
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	6	$104	213	107	+107	open	—	03-28 20:24
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	2	$88	59	59	+0	open	—	04-28 19:55
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$84	56	55	+1	open	—	04-08 21:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$72	54	54	+0	open	—	03-03 16:15
spx up or down on march 24 2026	5	$70	51	51	+0	open	—	03-24 20:32
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$69	49	28	+21	open	—	01-21 10:15
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$66	42	42	+0	open	—	03-18 22:18
cl up or down on march 9 2026	3	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	03-09 18:47
spx up or down on march 19 2026	3	$54	37	37	+0	open	—	03-19 20:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$52	279	112	+168	open	—	05-26 05:36
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	01-20 21:41
cl up or down on march 4 2026	2	$45	24	24	+0	open	—	03-05 08:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	1	$42	124	0	+124	open	—	05-23 09:09
atp zverev sinner 2026 03 27 match total 21pt5	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	03-28 03:36
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	01-20 10:54
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-20 10:41
nhl col wsh 2026 03 22	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	03-22 20:24
cl up or down on march 6 2026	2	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	03-06 22:08
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$39	25	25	+0	open	—	03-18 19:49
mlb det sd 2026 03 28	2	$36	24	24	+0	open	—	03-29 04:19
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	04-19 15:28
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 match total 36pt5	1	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	06-07 12:44
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	2	$28	19	18	+0	open	—	04-01 04:54
atp martine busta 2026 03 27 match total 21pt5	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	03-27 16:17
atp draxl krueger 2026 03 28 match total 21pt5	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-28 21:51
nhl det buf 2026 03 27 total 5pt5	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-28 03:36
atp kovacev sakamot 2026 03 18 match total 22pt5	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-20 21:00
spx up or down on march 18 2026	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	03-18 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 22:49:07	googl up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7e5174…
06-11 22:48:04	tsla up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6dc9b5…
06-11 22:46:58	mlb sea bal 2026 06 11 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x36c804…
06-11 22:35:21	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb1e80e…
06-11 20:36:30	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x168dd2…
06-11 18:39:43	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf4bfa5…
06-10 21:57:55	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 215pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94128f…
06-10 21:28:07	mlb stl nym 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x72817e…
06-10 21:24:09	mlb lad pit 2026 06 10 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xf49fe3…
06-10 19:07:51	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x27f3d4…
06-10 18:24:46	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xce7645…
06-09 22:07:52	mlb chc col 2026 06 09 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x5917d9…
06-09 22:05:36	mlb hou laa 2026 06 09 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x389b61…
06-08 21:10:19	mlb phi tor 2026 06 08 spread away 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x5ccb5a…
06-08 21:09:18	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x48e1a0…
06-08 12:53:27	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xba9cf8…
06-08 12:51:43	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xf966d6…
06-08 12:51:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xebf607…
06-08 06:33:03	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x564bf4…
06-08 06:20:36	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x41505b…
06-08 06:20:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x9c915b…
06-08 05:27:33	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x9b8595…
06-08 05:26:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xf206d4…
06-08 02:58:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe059f4…
06-07 22:08:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0xea3af8…
06-07 20:30:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x48604e…
06-07 20:04:33	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x910fb2…
06-07 19:43:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x972377…
06-07 19:12:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	56	53¢	$29	0xd48130…
06-07 18:55:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x71363c…
06-07 18:45:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	62	34¢	$21	0xca2c99…
06-07 12:44:18	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 match total 36pt5	Over	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xd25203…
06-04 18:53:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9daf20…
05-30 09:48:25	Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x6befbf…
05-29 21:10:50	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf2840f…
05-28 20:35:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x73493c…
05-28 20:21:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x58e39d…
05-27 11:19:50	Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	Mariano Navone	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x90dace…
05-27 11:16:55	Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong	Jesper de Jong	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x588dd3…
05-26 22:07:07	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd4e895…
05-26 22:04:47	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xaed3d1…
05-26 05:36:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0x1d62e0…
05-26 05:28:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0x97955e…
05-23 09:09:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	124	34¢	$42	0xbd2a03…
05-23 09:08:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x4432ac…
05-23 09:02:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	112	26¢	$29	0x6ed717…
05-22 22:55:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x01279a…
05-22 19:36:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0xc5639a…
05-21 00:05:39	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7c00d1…
05-21 00:01:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xdd3513…
05-20 22:24:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x0fc555…
05-18 22:30:27	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xca4cf6…
05-10 05:10:31	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf14086…
05-09 21:17:09	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb862fe…
05-05 17:31:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1f5923…
05-05 17:29:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x3f46e5…
04-28 19:55:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x084f52…
04-28 18:34:52	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0xed3cac…
04-23 19:42:34	nhl col lak 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Kings	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x8db1a3…
04-23 19:36:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xc88c57…
04-19 15:28:02	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x1557e9…
04-18 22:11:34	nba hou lal 2026 04 18 spread away 4pt5	Rockets	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xdc6f07…
04-13 21:22:07	nhl nyr fla 2026 04 13 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xa1a1cb…
04-13 21:19:29	nhl sj nsh 2026 04 13	Predators	BUY	32	58¢	$18	0x55784c…
04-12 21:25:21	nhl van ana 2026 04 12 spread home 1pt5	Ducks	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x884ff2…
04-12 21:21:57	nba nop min 2026 04 12 total 232pt5	Over	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x494806…
04-12 18:18:47	rus zen kra 2026 04 12 zen	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc1f509…
04-12 13:04:51	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xaffa8c…
04-12 12:13:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7fff55…
04-12 12:07:31	bl2 elv s04 2026 04 12 elv	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xced1b1…
04-12 11:39:03	bl2 elv s04 2026 04 12 elv	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xc99022…
04-11 22:02:29	nhl las col 2026 04 11	Golden Knights	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x99e963…
04-11 19:01:59	nhl wsh pit 2026 04 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf0de83…
04-10 20:17:17	nba det cha 2026 04 10 total 222pt5	Over	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x41ab87…
04-10 11:06:57	wta ostapen ruse 2026 04 10 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xf4cbc2…
04-10 08:31:49	atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xa02c49…
04-09 22:26:01	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3e50f9…
04-09 22:24:05	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x81318f…
04-08 21:48:13	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x274bf1…
04-08 21:46:59	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x7ba364…
04-08 18:17:51	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xe73fe9…
04-08 18:16:43	atp musetti vachero 2026 04 08 match total 21pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb2f712…
04-08 13:03:11	atp musetti vachero 2026 04 08 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc4a163…
04-08 13:00:47	wta ruse yastrem 2026 04 08 match total 21pt5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x90e1a4…
04-08 10:03:57	wta ruse yastrem 2026 04 08 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x559509…
04-07 21:59:13	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Rockets	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xc5588b…
04-07 20:55:41	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x05c14d…
04-07 20:55:01	atp basavar draxl 2026 04 07	Nishesh Basavareddy	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5a2ed8…
04-07 20:34:25	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf9d2dc…
04-07 19:16:09	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x36232b…
04-07 17:40:09	atp basavar draxl 2026 04 07	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x531a48…
04-07 12:03:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x88c6c9…
04-06 13:41:59	atp shapova blockx 2026 04 06 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x5037c7…
04-05 09:58:29	atp alexmar brancac 2026 04 05	Alex Martinez	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x98c906…
04-03 18:20:01	wta jovic kalinsk 2026 04 03	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x5a3ba9…
04-03 10:43:15	atp dzumhur zandsch 2026 04 02	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xff9dbc…
04-03 09:39:55	atp dzumhur zandsch 2026 04 02 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x36c82f…
04-03 09:38:57	atp carabel assche 2026 04 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x608170…
04-02 14:47:31	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9e41ed…
04-01 21:59:57	nhl stl lak 2026 04 01	Kings	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfdac0d…