Weird-Champagne-Bill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$221

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

417

Trades

626

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-03 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

76% 24% -$124

Crypto

22% 45% -$50

Politics

1% 0% -$25

Sports

1% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?	2	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	+$57	09-13 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	2	$41	57	57	+0	No	+$1	05-13 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:15 UTC	2	$39	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	07-09 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?	5	$37	41	41	+0	No	+$2	06-15 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	7	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	07-03 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	2	$25	125	0	+125	No	-$25	09-22 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 14?	2	$25	147	0	+147	No	-$25	09-14 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:30 UTC	9	$24	50	0	+50	Down	-$9	07-09 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?	2	$21	556	0	+556	No	-$21	05-16 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 22:20 UTC	2	$20	40	0	+40	Up	$0	07-09 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 4?	4	$20	219	0	+219	No	-$20	10-03 22:31
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	Minnesota Twins	-$20	05-14 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2?	3	$20	97	0	+97	No	-$20	10-01 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?	1	$20	31	0	+31	Yes	+$11	05-14 13:19
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	1	$20	645	0	+645	No	-$20	05-11 20:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 13?	1	$20	257	0	+257	No	-$20	05-12 17:49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	1	$20	59	0	+59	Legacy	+$39	05-13 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	-$20	05-15 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	1	$20	449	0	+449	No	-$20	05-16 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	1	$20	39	0	+39	No	-$20	05-14 13:19
starmer out by june 22 2026	4	$20	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	06-21 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?	1	$19	894	0	+894	No	-$19	05-13 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	06-15 10:44
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 10?	14	$18	26	0	+26	No	+$8	10-10 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?	1	$15	293	0	+293	No	-$15	05-12 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1?	3	$15	578	0	+578	No	-$15	09-30 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	3	$15	64	0	+64	Yes	+$49	09-29 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	3	$15	459	0	+459	No	-$15	09-28 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	5	$14	264	0	+264	No	-$14	10-13 19:54
itf esteve labrana 2026 08 06	3	$13	8	7	+2	Josefina Estevez	+$1	08-07 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x739541…
11-02 17:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa79a3b…
11-02 16:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9cc336…
11-02 16:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7394cb…
11-01 17:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x56c300…
11-01 16:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3f2186…
11-01 16:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc04b8b…
11-01 04:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x31a4cc…
10-31 17:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe8b277…
10-31 17:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x196565…
10-31 04:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x07106e…
10-30 17:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf3f4f8…
10-30 04:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x577a30…
10-29 22:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2aa622…
10-28 17:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2472fa…
10-28 00:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x58ce4d…
10-26 17:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd6a93f…
10-26 00:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xef059b…
10-25 23:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x86f502…
10-25 23:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb791b9…
10-24 19:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x58419e…
10-24 19:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x7f450b…
10-24 17:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9647c2…
10-24 16:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6da144…
10-24 16:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x637540…
10-24 16:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb4bda7…
10-23 17:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x68b7a0…
10-22 18:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x73a2cf…
10-22 17:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x739ba2…
10-22 16:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1e89f4…
10-22 16:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x867a1b…
10-21 17:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb54192…
10-19 16:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6b0c86…
10-19 16:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbf32cc…
10-18 16:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbd8538…
10-18 16:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x797bba…
10-17 09:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xb31bb9…
10-17 09:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7ddf37…
10-17 06:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc91bee…
10-17 06:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x67d125…
10-17 05:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0f324e…
10-17 05:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdc0063…
10-16 06:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8def00…
10-16 06:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x24f0cf…
10-16 04:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe3bdbb…
10-16 03:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc62f73…
10-15 04:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb7faa9…
10-15 04:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7ffe33…
10-15 04:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa78e1a…
10-15 01:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x106a5c…
10-15 01:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xebc8d1…
10-14 17:45:16	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6f9b92…
10-14 16:30:58	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6b1d32…
10-14 13:15:20	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x55b56d…
10-14 12:30:48	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on October 15?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1e020c…
10-14 12:30:33	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on October 15?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcff332…
10-14 12:30:24	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1cb24e…
10-14 12:15:49	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3f93be…
10-14 12:00:38	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 15?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbf37a4…
10-14 12:00:32	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 15?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9a1b08…
10-14 05:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x9a863b…
10-13 22:00:33	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8c7631…
10-13 21:45:40	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc1dca2…
10-13 19:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xd2158b…
10-13 18:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xd3e58a…
10-13 14:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x02a15c…
10-13 13:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x436064…
10-13 13:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xb31708…
10-13 06:00:27	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 13?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x511ad3…
10-13 05:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x001be8…
10-13 05:18:09	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcdf156…
10-13 05:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x07a100…
10-13 05:13:09	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe51699…
10-13 04:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9cf28d…
10-13 04:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1eda51…
10-13 04:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe0ed5d…
10-13 03:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf0e40d…
10-13 03:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb409d4…
10-13 02:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x14bd31…
10-13 02:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbab9e5…
10-13 01:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa2a6a8…
10-13 01:43:09	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x88b4fe…
10-13 01:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x6040e4…
10-13 00:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x33d052…
10-13 00:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7aa319…
10-13 00:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x826b71…
10-12 23:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x774739…
10-12 23:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x239df6…
10-12 22:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5cfcf0…
10-12 21:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc5c724…
10-12 21:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x309bb7…
10-12 19:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0ed5c2…
10-12 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xdef311…
10-12 16:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xbd8f6b…
10-12 15:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x07b052…
10-12 15:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7aeb10…
10-12 14:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd82b5a…
10-12 14:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbb7a34…
10-12 13:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xedebfd…
10-12 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x853027…