Imperturbable-Arcade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$285

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

105

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$6.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-24 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 46% +$310

Other

1% 40% -$11

Sports

0% 0% -$14

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:15 UTC	2	$316	213	209	+3	Up	+$88	03-02 02:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:45 UTC	2	$306	208	205	+3	Down	+$98	03-02 02:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 14:45 UTC	4	$291	200	200	+0	Up	+$91	03-01 14:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:15 UTC	2	$274	184	181	+3	Up	+$77	03-02 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	8	$248	251	96	+154	Down	-$102	05-18 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	7	$203	125	125	+0	Down	+$3	05-18 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	7	$182	155	112	+42	Down	-$18	05-19 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	5	$156	87	87	+0	Up	+$6	05-18 07:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$148	99	99	+0	Down	+$48	05-18 07:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC	1	$112	202	0	+202	Down	+$90	03-01 16:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC	1	$112	213	0	+213	Down	+$101	03-01 16:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC	1	$111	211	0	+211	Down	+$100	03-01 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 16:30 UTC	1	$110	212	0	+212	Down	+$102	03-01 16:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:45 UTC	1	$106	212	0	+212	Down	+$106	03-02 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$106	109	109	+0	Up	+$6	05-19 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$101	54	54	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	5	$98	78	59	+20	Up	+$38	05-18 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3	$97	68	68	+0	Down	-$3	05-19 02:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$97	62	62	+0	Up	-$3	05-18 08:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$91	60	60	+0	Down	+$28	05-18 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$90	60	60	+0	Up	+$29	05-18 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$90	60	60	+0	Down	+$29	05-18 08:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$89	60	60	+0	Up	+$29	05-19 02:15
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	7	$88	58	58	+0	Down	+$28	05-18 09:58
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	5	$88	58	58	+0	Up	+$28	05-18 08:55
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$87	58	58	+0	Up	+$27	05-18 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	3	$87	58	58	+0	Up	+$27	05-18 08:56
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$87	58	58	+0	Up	+$27	05-19 05:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$86	57	57	+0	Up	+$26	05-19 05:40
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	3	$86	58	58	+0	Up	+$26	05-19 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd3804b…
08-27 12:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbaeb36…
08-27 12:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa3585a…
08-27 12:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1928b0…
08-27 12:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x91c2d8…
07-16 13:17:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x913a73…
07-07 09:28:01	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xecd2e6…
07-07 09:27:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x7a313d…
07-07 07:29:37	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa040c4…
06-10 14:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x0b36b2…
05-30 03:11:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe615e9…
05-19 16:45:11	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tommy Paul	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf726f2…
05-19 16:44:33	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6b6d41…
05-19 05:43:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x388f63…
05-19 05:43:10	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc16254…
05-19 05:43:01	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x4b0f3a…
05-19 05:42:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe0075e…
05-19 05:42:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xed0936…
05-19 05:42:15	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x19a3c6…
05-19 05:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x293c72…
05-19 05:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfddc19…
05-19 05:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb55cf8…
05-19 05:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb9d92e…
05-19 05:40:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xde8b3c…
05-19 05:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x337b28…
05-19 05:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfbb023…
05-19 05:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc04af7…
05-19 05:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x8ff619…
05-19 05:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xc0df25…
05-19 05:39:45	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	58	97¢	$57	0xe12eee…
05-19 05:39:27	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x90c85b…
05-19 05:38:59	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xb066ef…
05-19 05:25:05	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x504542…
05-19 05:24:59	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xf86e53…
05-19 05:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe4a4a0…
05-19 05:24:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0xadb4f0…
05-19 05:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2b8647…
05-19 05:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4a9c8f…
05-19 05:22:32	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x99c3fa…
05-19 05:22:29	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x6e5173…
05-19 05:17:35	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0x7ca1c6…
05-19 05:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x8830fc…
05-19 05:16:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x230b0a…
05-19 05:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	65	90¢	$59	0x962cd9…
05-19 05:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x7a77fa…
05-19 03:43:10	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x7b5a0b…
05-19 03:42:51	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x485833…
05-19 03:31:16	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x9369c6…
05-19 03:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xfedc57…
05-19 03:29:45	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0ab45a…
05-19 03:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xfd9fdc…
05-19 03:14:16	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7a6c08…
05-19 03:14:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x7395ad…
05-19 03:13:51	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x1eca65…
05-19 03:13:15	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd5d8c9…
05-19 03:13:11	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4f05b1…
05-19 03:12:59	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x8b7126…
05-19 03:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7f7271…
05-19 03:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7357b0…
05-19 03:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x391062…
05-19 03:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1cd942…
05-19 03:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x01f718…
05-19 03:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0xf094a0…
05-19 02:58:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x304c52…
05-19 02:58:08	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xc5f182…
05-19 02:57:42	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x45b5e3…
05-19 02:57:38	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x571bb2…
05-19 02:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xeeaa86…
05-19 02:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0x48452e…
05-19 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x395142…
05-19 02:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb72711…
05-19 02:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x3f72d7…
05-19 02:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xdd8d67…
05-19 02:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xb16df9…
05-19 02:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5ead1d…
05-19 02:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xafa36b…
05-19 02:43:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf5d85c…
05-19 02:43:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7ed090…
05-19 02:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	68	70¢	$47	0xba1e16…
05-19 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x698a82…
05-19 02:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xb26bde…
05-19 02:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	36	80¢	$29	0xe42922…
05-19 02:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb2fa26…
05-19 02:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe422d2…
05-19 02:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x3b1d7e…
05-19 02:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	63	51¢	$32	0x202e06…
05-19 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0x136fa8…
05-19 02:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	52¢	$24	0x46c509…
05-19 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf0f91d…
05-19 02:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xb7f9dc…
05-19 02:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0x1b6070…
05-19 02:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6d0bc3…
05-19 02:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0x4ad001…
05-19 02:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xd11d3f…
05-19 02:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	42	66¢	$27	0xc491bb…
05-19 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xd06907…
05-19 01:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0c5dc7…
05-19 01:58:29	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x760a05…
05-19 01:58:26	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8c2f77…
05-19 01:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8725b0…