Long-Evaporation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-19 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Sports

39% 33% -$2

Politics

26% 0% -$17

Crypto

22% 99% +$1

Other

13% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.9K	931	931	+0	No	-$1	02-27 09:58
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.8K	928	928	+0	No	-$1	02-27 11:13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.8K	962	962	+0	No	-$1	02-27 12:00
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.8K	988	988	+0	No	-$16	02-27 12:43
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.8K	967	967	+0	No	+$0	02-27 13:10
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$1.8K	908	908	+0	No	-$1	02-27 21:08
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	2	$1.8K	903	903	+0	No	-$1	02-27 21:26
xrp above 1pt4 on february 27	1	$903	904	0	+904	No	+$1	02-27 16:02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 19?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-19 08:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-10 08:03
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 5?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-05 07:38
bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	07-28 11:01
xrp above 1pt2 on july 22 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-22 08:27
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 16?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-16 10:26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 10?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-10 09:46
ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-02 08:26
bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-25 10:58
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-18 10:29
xrp above 0pt8 on june 8 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-08 09:40
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-30 10:52
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 7?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-07 10:35
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-21 11:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 14?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-14 13:05
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 27?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-27 13:30
xrp above 1pt4 on april 23	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-23 15:08
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 5?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-05 12:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 19	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-19 14:37
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 6	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-06 14:00
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 4	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-04 13:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-26 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 08:11:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd50fcc…
08-10 08:03:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd342d8…
08-05 07:38:45	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x981e35…
07-28 11:01:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xe41e83…
07-22 08:27:54	xrp above 1pt2 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2588c3…
07-16 10:26:10	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5acb04…
07-10 09:46:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bbb3d…
07-02 08:26:01	ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f88ff…
06-25 10:58:20	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6beceb…
06-18 10:29:38	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6ce1f…
06-08 09:40:55	xrp above 0pt8 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8498ab…
06-07 10:35:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x960265…
05-30 10:52:40	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65a68d…
05-21 11:52:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x697736…
05-14 13:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf97273…
05-05 12:11:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x366fe8…
04-27 13:30:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa10f6e…
04-23 15:08:20	xrp above 1pt4 on april 23	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x084fae…
04-19 14:37:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bae21…
04-06 14:00:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 6	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ff34a…
04-04 13:38:31	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 4	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50897b…
03-26 15:42:05	bitcoin above 68k on march 26	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e2186…
03-20 15:21:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 20	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcecc53…
03-19 15:45:53	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on march 19	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb7932…
03-18 15:46:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa13820…
03-17 15:10:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 17	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x341d30…
03-16 15:09:47	xrp above 1pt4 on march 16	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5aa0dd…
03-14 14:58:49	solana above 90 on march 14	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x690597…
03-13 14:59:41	ethereum above 2300 on march 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7f23d…
03-12 15:18:37	ethereum above 2000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06a997…
03-11 15:14:43	bitcoin above 68k on march 11	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x940afa…
03-10 15:00:25	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcde8c4…
03-09 15:20:33	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on march 9	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84d7ce…
03-07 15:54:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ea277…
03-06 16:10:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e89e6…
03-05 15:58:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e5af9…
03-04 16:08:29	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7ad4c…
03-03 16:00:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6233c1…
03-02 15:23:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 2	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcab5a4…
03-01 16:20:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 1	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x802f47…
02-27 21:26:29	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	903	100¢	$901	0xf8543e…
02-27 21:08:45	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	903	100¢	$902	0x885e8b…
02-27 21:08:07	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	908	99¢	$902	0x85b95b…
02-27 20:30:49	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	908	99¢	$903	0xf4995d…
02-27 16:02:21	xrp above 1pt4 on february 27	No	BUY	904	100¢	$903	0xbbd252…
02-27 13:10:29	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	967	94¢	$907	0x7bec6a…
02-27 12:44:59	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	967	94¢	$907	0x9cd769…
02-27 12:43:15	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	988	92¢	$907	0x9c639d…
02-27 12:01:21	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	988	93¢	$923	0x6ea935…
02-27 12:00:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	962	96¢	$923	0x83480b…
02-27 11:14:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	962	96¢	$924	0xd3475a…
02-27 11:13:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	928	100¢	$924	0xb14e00…
02-27 10:53:43	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	928	100¢	$925	0xc747d2…
02-27 09:58:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	931	99¢	$926	0x0db0ec…
02-27 09:26:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	931	100¢	$927	0xd2811a…
02-26 16:10:20	xrp above 1pt5 on february 26	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdc6edd…
02-25 16:05:12	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on february 25	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe95c9b…
02-24 15:37:18	xrp above 1pt3 on february 24	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x17fe2c…
02-23 16:52:26	bitcoin above 64k on february 23	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xea305e…
02-22 16:03:50	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on february 22	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x041126…
02-20 15:35:10	xrp above 1pt3 on february 20	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa321ea…
02-19 15:52:08	xrp above 1pt5 on february 19	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xad3717…
02-18 16:12:56	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on february 18	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2775ed…
02-17 16:14:11	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on february 17	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x07e42c…
02-16 15:40:03	xrp above 1pt6 on february 16	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e26b6…
02-15 16:51:17	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 15	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa573b2…
02-14 15:51:27	bitcoin above 72k on february 14	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x14df3b…
02-13 16:26:23	xrp above 1pt3 on february 13	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7d3093…
02-12 16:27:11	xrp above 1pt2 on february 12	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4a8a31…
02-11 15:37:17	xrp above 1pt1 on february 11	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeb4cde…
02-10 16:08:33	solana above 90 on february 10	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x842bbc…
02-09 15:30:29	xrp above 1pt3 on february 9	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x01dd1a…
02-08 16:36:13	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on february 8	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x17d8c5…
02-06 16:34:13	xrp above 1pt4 on february 6	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfac0be…
02-05 16:16:01	xrp above 1pt4 on february 5	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xecf128…
02-04 16:45:41	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on february 4	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5e5641…
02-03 16:03:48	xrp above 1pt7 on february 3	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc32e29…
02-02 15:44:56	xrp above 1pt5 on february 2	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x431828…
02-01 16:31:36	xrp above 1pt7 on february 1	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcaef80…
01-31 15:51:28	xrp above 1pt5 on january 31	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x72d7ce…
01-30 16:09:38	xrp above 1pt6 on january 30	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x239e8e…
01-29 16:47:10	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on january 29	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc97508…
01-28 16:20:10	xrp above 2 on january 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9202ed…