Chilly-Wear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,621

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 08-12 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% — —

Politics

14% 50% $-11

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	9	$1.7K	1,535	1,535	+0	open	—	02-24 22:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	87	$797	25,471	26,993	-1,522	open	—	06-25 04:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	88	$646	13,475	13,475	+0	open	—	06-28 22:47
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	12	$585	701	701	+0	open	—	03-17 20:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	33	$555	14,286	14,286	+0	open	—	03-26 13:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	73	$495	12,175	7,882	+4,293	open	—	07-25 17:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	87	$445	16,845	12,753	+4,092	open	—	07-24 05:03
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	7	$444	398	398	+0	open	—	03-17 20:15
elc bir mid 2026 03 02 mid	8	$286	239	239	+0	open	—	03-02 20:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	61	$279	30,307	0	+30,307	open	—	03-03 22:09
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 wol	10	$232	319	319	+0	open	—	03-03 22:07
epl bri ars 2026 03 04 ars	4	$218	138	138	+0	open	—	03-04 22:46
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	27	$207	4,258	3,703	+556	open	—	08-12 17:18
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	3	$198	162	162	+0	open	—	03-10 21:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$191	227	227	+0	open	—	03-15 01:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$186	477	477	+0	Yes	$-14	03-11 07:14
epl lee sun 2026 03 03 lee	7	$181	217	217	+0	open	—	03-03 21:05
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 gal	9	$180	791	264	+528	open	—	02-25 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	12	$180	714	864	-150	open	—	06-01 06:13
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	9	$166	171	82	+89	open	—	03-04 14:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	46	$162	26,508	7,729	+18,779	open	—	06-01 05:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	9	$161	1,225	1,225	+0	Yes	+$3	05-02 07:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	46	$159	15,147	16,147	-1,000	open	—	05-31 13:22
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	3	$151	230	200	+29	open	—	03-10 21:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$151	410	410	+0	open	—	06-29 11:49
fif usa bel 2026 03 28 bel	4	$150	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 20:16
ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 lev2	2	$150	277	0	+277	open	—	02-24 08:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$149	1,103	1,103	+0	open	—	08-10 02:57
fif sco jpn 2026 03 28 jpn	4	$147	166	166	+0	open	—	03-28 18:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	47	$146	19,254	3,553	+15,701	open	—	06-01 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:18:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x89994e…
08-12 06:14:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	927	1¢	$10	0x0ca154…
08-11 18:24:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0xa976c3…
08-11 18:23:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	361	1¢	$3	0x0fe35d…
08-11 16:35:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9af5d0…
08-11 13:55:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0xd4e4ff…
08-11 13:55:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xb83802…
08-11 13:53:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb1c5d1…
08-11 13:42:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x615fbd…
08-11 13:41:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x584085…
08-11 13:34:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	154	2¢	$3	0x7e3cd5…
08-11 13:33:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	290	3¢	$9	0x9f1953…
08-11 13:32:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	182	2¢	$3	0x24bd36…
08-11 13:31:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	585	1¢	$6	0xac7cdd…
08-11 13:29:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x3b5bc6…
08-11 13:29:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	301	1¢	$3	0x2a57ec…
08-11 05:12:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x3e1c9b…
08-11 05:02:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x06f649…
08-11 03:31:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0xa2cf20…
08-11 03:29:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe30e8d…
08-11 03:29:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	290	4¢	$11	0xf5661d…
08-10 15:58:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$3	0xe9fcd8…
08-10 15:58:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x6e9929…
08-10 15:57:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	464	1¢	$6	0xac4349…
08-10 15:56:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0xa5adc6…
08-10 15:54:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x478f6a…
08-10 13:41:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	510	0¢	$1	0x6d4a12…
08-10 13:39:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$4	0xa4e1b0…
08-10 13:39:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	206	2¢	$5	0xf56f6f…
08-10 10:33:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x50656d…
08-10 09:06:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x200384…
08-10 07:33:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	692	1¢	$7	0xb9b055…
08-10 03:13:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xee8773…
08-10 03:13:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x878433…
08-10 03:13:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6cd263…
08-10 03:13:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x81d2bd…
08-10 03:13:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x66002d…
08-10 03:12:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x47b81b…
08-10 03:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x7655bb…
08-10 02:58:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	1,191	1¢	$14	0x9e2e8f…
08-10 02:58:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xecb83b…
08-10 02:57:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	970	4¢	$39	0xbdfd40…
08-09 03:40:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	700	7¢	$49	0x7fa741…
08-09 03:40:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,393	2¢	$48	0x6e058f…
08-09 03:27:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$19	0xcb14ee…
08-09 03:26:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	1,026	2¢	$21	0x4689da…
08-07 01:19:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$5	0xe7957b…
08-07 01:08:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x10d674…
08-07 01:08:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0xba34d5…
08-07 01:02:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0x37176f…
08-06 22:37:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$4	0xcd90b3…
08-06 17:25:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xdd084d…
08-06 04:20:45	itf sedyshe qureshi 2026 08 05	Mahin Qureshi	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x15dfc0…
08-06 04:20:32	itf atay pushka 2026 08 05	Selina Atay	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x886056…
08-06 04:20:05	itf nitture mamedov 2026 08 05	Akanksha Nitture	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9292ad…
08-06 04:08:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x44ed7e…
08-06 04:06:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x82ed9b…
08-05 23:00:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xb80b07…
08-05 19:27:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xbb00ad…
08-04 06:55:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe6af5c…
08-04 06:49:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x18ed16…
08-04 06:34:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x4d6f31…
08-04 06:24:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x29cef4…
08-04 06:15:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x0878f6…
08-03 21:23:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x60b613…
08-03 21:22:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	184	2¢	$4	0x9d5f9d…
08-03 21:15:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x21fd52…
08-03 15:27:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0ee578…
08-03 15:10:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0x6908d4…
08-03 15:08:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	346	1¢	$3	0xd02fe0…
08-03 09:54:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xac7711…
08-03 09:46:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0xb8c19d…
08-03 09:15:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$2	0xd389c0…
08-03 09:04:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xd4a875…
08-03 09:03:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb71428…
08-03 08:58:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x887cf3…
08-03 08:50:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x6827e2…
08-03 08:47:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	298	2¢	$7	0x8ffd09…
08-03 08:46:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,100	2¢	$24	0x714d2c…
08-03 07:00:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	110	1¢	$2	0x18187a…
08-03 06:55:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0xef0c23…
08-02 20:10:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x7d97de…
08-02 15:32:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x4edb9e…
08-02 09:29:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	504	2¢	$13	0x8e1323…
08-02 09:28:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	418	3¢	$11	0xfcf60b…
08-02 06:53:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$10	0x7eb411…
08-01 18:38:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	280	4¢	$12	0x505b67…
07-26 13:33:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x05a406…
07-26 11:59:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2572e4…
07-26 11:58:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	1,440	0¢	$1	0xe5bdc9…
07-26 11:18:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc967e2…
07-26 11:15:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x8ea402…
07-26 11:12:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	306	1¢	$4	0xecee1b…
07-26 11:05:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xcf9be7…
07-26 11:05:18	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	SELL	428	1¢	$5	0x5be104…
07-26 10:11:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8a8995…
07-26 09:39:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	BUY	428	1¢	$6	0xd48680…
07-26 09:29:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	572	1¢	$7	0x6206f5…
07-26 02:12:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0x80f63e…
07-26 02:05:07	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	SELL	1,842	0¢	$5	0xb36f43…