Chilly-Wear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$165

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,497

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-24 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% — —

Politics

13% 50% $-11

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+3,950	$187	1¢	$22	$-165	07-24 05:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	9	$1.7K	1,535	1,535	+0	open	—	02-24 22:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	87	$797	25,471	26,993	-1,522	open	—	06-25 04:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	88	$646	13,475	13,475	+0	open	—	06-28 22:47
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	12	$585	701	701	+0	open	—	03-17 20:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	33	$555	14,286	14,286	+0	open	—	03-26 13:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	66	$454	11,117	6,505	+4,612	open	—	07-24 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	87	$445	16,845	12,753	+4,092	open	—	07-24 05:03
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	7	$444	398	398	+0	open	—	03-17 20:15
elc bir mid 2026 03 02 mid	8	$286	239	239	+0	open	—	03-02 20:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	61	$279	30,307	0	+30,307	open	—	03-03 22:09
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 wol	10	$232	319	319	+0	open	—	03-03 22:07
epl bri ars 2026 03 04 ars	4	$218	138	138	+0	open	—	03-04 22:46
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	3	$198	162	162	+0	open	—	03-10 21:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$191	227	227	+0	open	—	03-15 01:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$186	477	477	+0	Yes	$-14	03-11 07:14
epl lee sun 2026 03 03 lee	7	$181	217	217	+0	open	—	03-03 21:05
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 gal	9	$180	791	264	+528	open	—	02-25 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	12	$180	714	864	-150	open	—	06-01 06:13
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	9	$166	171	82	+89	open	—	03-04 14:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	46	$162	26,508	7,729	+18,779	open	—	06-01 05:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	9	$161	1,225	1,225	+0	Yes	+$3	05-02 07:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	46	$159	15,147	16,147	-1,000	open	—	05-31 13:22
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	3	$151	230	200	+29	open	—	03-10 21:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$151	410	410	+0	open	—	06-29 11:49
fif usa bel 2026 03 28 bel	4	$150	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 20:16
ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 lev2	2	$150	277	0	+277	open	—	02-24 08:39
fif sco jpn 2026 03 28 jpn	4	$147	166	166	+0	open	—	03-28 18:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	47	$146	19,254	3,553	+15,701	open	—	06-01 19:06
uel not mid1 2026 03 12 mid1	3	$146	167	167	+0	open	—	03-12 21:45
epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	7	$144	99	99	+0	open	—	03-01 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 00:37:37	btc updown 5m 1784939700	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfdfacd…
07-25 00:37:19	btc updown 5m 1784939700	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x942c93…
07-24 23:14:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x678877…
07-24 23:01:36	will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708327	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xa212bc…
07-24 22:57:18	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	272	3¢	$7	0xa7e0ef…
07-24 19:20:25	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$3	0x593f83…
07-24 19:13:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x831d3c…
07-24 19:13:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xb18f91…
07-24 18:49:42	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	888	0¢	$4	0xdad23f…
07-24 18:49:15	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xd58321…
07-24 18:48:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x1f9fa8…
07-24 18:28:37	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x955345…
07-24 18:22:57	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x57aea7…
07-24 18:18:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	307	4¢	$11	0x1939b9…
07-24 18:16:31	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x7bdb3a…
07-24 18:15:57	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xfdef95…
07-24 18:03:51	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	954	0¢	$4	0x9f2fe8…
07-24 17:47:51	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x72799e…
07-24 17:42:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$3	0x0dfb52…
07-24 12:35:03	aapl up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa61648…
07-24 12:22:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x11fde3…
07-24 12:22:36	ng up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x3efe6a…
07-24 06:13:55	ng up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x88019a…
07-24 05:06:43	aapl up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x19cc62…
07-24 05:03:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,212	1¢	$8	0xfe09e1…
07-24 03:56:36	ng up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe126c0…
07-24 01:26:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7e2506…
07-23 22:34:01	btc updown 5m 1784845800	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8496e5…
07-23 22:29:24	btc updown 5m 1784845500	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0e0b8b…
07-23 22:28:57	btc updown 5m 1784845500	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x46c47c…
07-23 22:23:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	586	4¢	$23	0x3ea2ed…
07-23 21:42:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	480	3¢	$15	0x3beb7e…
07-23 21:39:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x571330…
07-23 21:37:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	501	3¢	$14	0x77b472…
07-23 21:01:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,500	3¢	$42	0x42ef58…
07-23 20:31:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x5fae9f…
07-23 17:37:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x38a998…
07-23 17:27:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x6b938d…
07-23 17:27:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	286	0¢	$1	0x74564c…
07-23 17:18:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd10c8b…
07-23 17:18:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xd4b93b…
07-23 17:18:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6e19fb…
07-23 17:18:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	122	3¢	$4	0x49ecd6…
07-23 17:17:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	555	2¢	$11	0x2459ec…
07-23 17:14:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	222	2¢	$4	0x0870e7…
07-23 12:54:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	370	1¢	$4	0xdde014…
07-23 12:45:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	480	1¢	$5	0xfb7f41…
07-23 12:40:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	187	2¢	$4	0x6348ed…
07-23 12:30:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	233	2¢	$5	0xb29239…
07-23 10:40:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0x20782b…
07-23 10:10:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x0b2d32…
07-23 09:40:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	184	2¢	$4	0x19b544…
07-23 09:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$11	0xc4ce5a…
07-23 08:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x2850bd…
07-22 22:03:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4df0bc…
07-22 21:41:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xebd272…
07-22 21:39:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdfcf34…
07-22 19:37:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x5458fb…
07-22 19:29:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x2d534d…
07-22 19:29:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0xbf6d21…
07-22 18:28:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	310	2¢	$7	0xdbee7c…
07-22 18:06:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	81	8¢	$7	0x288a7c…
07-22 17:47:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xfb5bce…
07-22 17:31:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x8d4d64…
07-22 17:30:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0xff9863…
07-22 14:20:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	81	9¢	$7	0xd2770b…
07-22 13:10:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0xe2e291…
07-22 11:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	810	1¢	$7	0x5eaaa5…
07-22 03:59:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	410	1¢	$5	0xa70757…
07-22 03:58:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x117c0e…
07-22 03:57:57	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xa3aee7…
07-22 03:36:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x31c5b3…
07-22 02:08:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0xbca2b0…
07-22 02:06:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$5	0x089b46…
07-21 22:19:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x1d9b0d…
07-21 22:13:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0xedf783…
07-21 21:11:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0xf42ffb…
07-21 18:23:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	219	2¢	$4	0x8f25fe…
07-21 18:22:39	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	SELL	217	1¢	$3	0x7a4fa7…
07-21 10:58:07	btc updown 5m 1784631300	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xbf808c…
07-21 10:56:36	btc updown 5m 1784631300	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3f525c…
07-21 10:50:45	btc updown 5m 1784631000	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd99873…
07-21 10:50:06	btc updown 5m 1784630700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x37a1ba…
07-21 10:49:24	btc updown 5m 1784630700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfa064a…
07-21 07:24:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x448efc…
07-21 07:19:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0xc1fb43…
07-21 07:18:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x50fff4…
07-21 07:15:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,113	1¢	$14	0x4ee4c1…
07-21 06:54:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xdef023…
07-21 06:53:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa3aee1…
07-21 06:51:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x35accb…
07-21 06:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x08f324…
07-21 06:50:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4062f2…
07-21 06:50:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x9a5a18…
07-21 06:50:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0975f6…
07-21 06:49:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	356	1¢	$5	0x955c61…
07-21 06:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xaa2e48…
07-21 06:48:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x85b26d…
07-21 06:41:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	126	1¢	$2	0xb4d585…
07-21 06:36:07	btc updown 5m 1784615700	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3d210d…