Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

107

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$653.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.38K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-01 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

60% 98% +$23,759

Politics

32% 65% +$5,465

Crypto

6% 25% +$96

Tech

3% 100% +$193

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	81	$129.0K	159,614	36,560	+123,053	No	+$3,636	05-01 00:05
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	73	$104.2K	58,920	57,151	+1,769	Yes	+$6,104	04-30 20:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	21	$100.4K	113,310	0	+113,310	Yes	+$12,950	04-17 20:02
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	1	$39.9K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$120	04-24 23:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	7	$38.5K	38,555	0	+38,555	Yes	+$56	05-01 22:02
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	1	$36.2K	36,200	0	+36,200	Yes	+$36	04-18 23:52
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	1	$31.2K	31,255	0	+31,255	Yes	+$65	04-21 14:59
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	2	$17.1K	17,104	0	+17,104	Yes	+$43	04-21 15:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	29	$13.9K	16,902	2,729	+14,172	Yes	+$248	04-27 18:09
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	3	$12.8K	12,952	0	+12,952	No	+$127	04-27 18:09
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	8	$11.8K	11,878	0	+11,878	Yes	+$43	04-27 02:12
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$9.8K	9,938	0	+9,938	No	+$110	04-27 20:40
DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?	7	$9.4K	5,015	5,011	+4	Yes	+$369	04-24 04:35
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$9.2K	9,194	0	+9,194	Yes	+$12	04-21 16:36
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	14	$8.1K	4,873	4,874	-1	Yes	+$1,329	04-29 15:38
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?	12	$6.9K	6,737	2,765	+3,973	Yes	+$2,607	04-21 17:24
will trump post potus this week on truth social	32	$6.7K	10,149	9,765	+384	Yes	+$783	04-20 23:56
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	8	$6.2K	6,314	0	+6,314	Yes	+$108	04-23 23:09
Will "Desert Warriors" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$5.2K	5,230	0	+5,230	No	+$5	04-27 13:34
will claude opus 4pt7 by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500 969	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$60	04-17 21:03
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,300 (HIGH) by April 30?	3	$3.7K	2,090	2,090	+0	Yes	+$497	04-21 17:26
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$2.9K	2,938	0	+2,938	Yes	+$15	04-29 17:56
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	7	$2.2K	2,263	0	+2,263	No	+$30	04-25 15:53
Will the Patek Index hit $106,500 (HIGH) by April 30?	2	$2.2K	1,356	1,240	+117	Yes	+$368	04-21 17:26
Chirayu Rana fired?	11	$2.1K	4,243	0	+4,243	cancelled	+$64	05-01 19:20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,804	0	+1,804	Yes	+$4	04-27 03:59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,210	0	+1,210	No	+$1	04-25 04:15
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,182	0	+1,182	No	+$1	04-25 04:26
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,175	0	+1,175	No	+$1	04-25 04:26
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,175	0	+1,175	No	+$1	04-25 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 22:38:14	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	6,698	6¢	$412	0xc52bd1…
05-01 22:02:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xafc5a6…
05-01 22:02:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	1,017	100¢	$1,016	0x5b2798…
05-01 22:02:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	8,881	100¢	$8,872	0xa027a6…
05-01 22:02:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	10,733	100¢	$10,722	0x1aeb0c…
05-01 22:01:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	6,853	100¢	$6,839	0x9106e7…
05-01 22:01:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xabbbb2…
05-01 22:01:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	10,735	100¢	$10,714	0xaa7921…
05-01 21:07:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	2,500	9¢	$222	0x61f030…
05-01 20:52:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,911	3¢	$281	0x076cbe…
05-01 19:20:32	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9fa5e3…
05-01 19:17:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,469	1¢	$213	0x4582ff…
05-01 19:05:38	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x4d1888…
05-01 18:55:46	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x800fd8…
05-01 18:31:50	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xfa7798…
05-01 18:18:08	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7cb033…
05-01 18:02:54	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x1647cc…
05-01 18:02:54	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	819	50¢	$410	0x11cfff…
05-01 18:00:06	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	161	50¢	$80	0xfa0411…
05-01 17:45:40	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8fce69…
05-01 17:41:42	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	196	50¢	$98	0xe035a9…
05-01 16:24:46	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	2,135	47¢	$1,003	0xee8455…
05-01 06:05:14	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0xcce567…
05-01 06:05:06	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	121	12¢	$15	0xdeafac…
05-01 05:50:08	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	155	6¢	$9	0x544b7b…
05-01 05:47:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	262	2¢	$4	0x6b59cc…
05-01 05:33:08	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	271	9¢	$23	0x98e5dc…
05-01 05:12:26	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	68	8¢	$5	0xf73d93…
05-01 05:12:12	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x762698…
05-01 05:11:12	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0xa049c2…
05-01 05:11:04	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x808ae8…
05-01 05:11:04	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x220d81…
05-01 05:10:34	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	192	5¢	$9	0xa14412…
05-01 04:50:04	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$2	0x8056b2…
05-01 04:33:24	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x2a8125…
05-01 04:31:40	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x732abe…
05-01 04:30:26	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	BUY	528	81¢	$426	0xcbe2ae…
05-01 04:00:38	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe9776c…
05-01 04:00:38	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xc4dd8f…
05-01 04:00:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	202	2¢	$3	0x3b9961…
05-01 04:00:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	375	2¢	$6	0x1c77d6…
05-01 04:00:16	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	137	0¢	$1	0xf61bee…
05-01 04:00:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$2	0xeabeec…
05-01 04:00:04	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	148	0¢	$1	0x8e4eeb…
05-01 00:05:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	109,800	100¢	$109,690	0x10d0fb…
04-30 20:52:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	98¢	$237	0x57cb5b…
04-30 20:13:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8a8611…
04-30 18:39:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,018	97¢	$987	0x27596e…
04-30 16:22:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,985	99¢	$15,810	0x3907f1…
04-30 16:19:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18,043	99¢	$17,844	0xe32aea…
04-30 16:19:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,057	99¢	$2,037	0xac3ca7…
04-30 02:22:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x69733b…
04-30 01:24:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x7f24c7…
04-30 01:05:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x7ed0b3…
04-30 00:53:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0x24757e…
04-30 00:25:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,371	96¢	$1,323	0x788087…
04-29 18:00:06	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	192	97¢	$187	0xa0aaf8…
04-29 17:56:56	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,938	99¢	$2,923	0x4b653e…
04-29 17:56:34	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x0d7c4a…
04-29 15:38:18	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	2,342	98¢	$2,288	0xb69e83…
04-29 15:37:54	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	2,437	96¢	$2,344	0x52f576…
04-29 14:40:34	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x0275aa…
04-29 14:39:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xc96643…
04-29 14:37:38	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0x9ae5b8…
04-29 02:36:44	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0bf4d4…
04-29 02:01:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	92¢	$9,210	0x61e1c7…
04-29 01:26:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,705	0x79975d…
04-29 00:16:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	2,511	1¢	$25	0xe729c2…
04-29 00:09:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x881540…
04-29 00:08:56	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	97¢	$4,835	0xbe260c…
04-29 00:08:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x21fa51…
04-29 00:08:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,120	97¢	$3,017	0x8b6ee5…
04-29 00:08:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x5ff2ff…
04-29 00:04:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xc219ac…
04-29 00:04:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	97¢	$806	0x67309d…
04-28 22:39:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,809	99¢	$1,791	0xc32482…
04-28 22:39:00	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	99¢	$189	0x2049e6…
04-28 19:43:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,147	98¢	$1,129	0xc394d4…
04-28 00:14:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	98¢	$9,800	0xd3eef1…
04-28 00:13:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	98¢	$882	0x02af97…
04-28 00:12:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0xa77c6d…
04-28 00:11:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,100	98¢	$4,018	0x7e5db9…
04-27 20:40:26	Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xd5e8ce…
04-27 20:37:46	Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	9,926	99¢	$9,817	0xcfb31c…
04-27 18:09:34	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	5,952	99¢	$5,887	0xa37cbb…
04-27 18:09:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0x910330…
04-27 18:09:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x60825e…
04-27 18:09:00	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	4,000	99¢	$3,956	0x8fdb2e…
04-27 18:08:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x883526…
04-27 18:08:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbf2f5a…
04-27 18:08:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	531	99¢	$526	0xb62c29…
04-27 18:08:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x325ce4…
04-27 18:08:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	3,765	99¢	$3,727	0xebf72a…
04-27 18:08:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xcecb53…
04-27 18:08:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0xb22b6a…
04-27 18:08:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc16d45…
04-27 18:08:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	445	99¢	$440	0x4d4c3b…
04-27 18:08:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2,784	99¢	$2,756	0xf30646…
04-27 18:06:34	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x918baf…
04-27 18:06:00	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	736	99¢	$732	0x81fd32…