Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

-$38

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

4,633

Trades

7,575

lifetime

Volume

$46.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-13

last 10-28 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 77% -$283

Other

39% 37% -$1,089

Politics

1% 50% -$13

Tech

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$43	12¢	$6	-$37	10-26 08:23
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	+42	$5	12¢	$5	+$0	10-27 02:13
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	+24	$3	8¢	$2	-$1	10-27 20:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be under 5.3?	26	$1.0K	695	695	+0	Yes	-$99	10-05 17:51
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	13	$782	476	476	+0	Yes	+$162	10-04 16:26
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be under 5.3?	10	$688	434	434	+0	No	+$9	10-04 07:32
Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	12	$672	390	390	+0	Yes	+$44	10-27 18:00
Will the biggest earthquake on October 23, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	16	$607	471	282	+190	Yes	+$47	10-24 05:50
Will the biggest earthquake on October 1, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	6	$418	482	475	+7	Yes	+$119	10-01 19:52
Will anyone say "Final" during Big Brother E41?	6	$407	683	5	+678	Yes	-$406	10-01 13:51
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$378	191	191	+0	No	+$3	10-11 02:50
Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	3	$361	398	0	+398	open	—	10-27 23:39
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	12	$360	441	230	+210	No	-$227	10-05 17:45
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	3	$259	374	270	+104	open	—	10-06 19:43
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	6	$250	161	121	+40	No	+$11	10-04 16:26
Will the biggest earthquake on October 1, 2026 be under 5.3?	3	$247	147	147	+0	No	+$47	10-01 16:16
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	5	$242	128	128	+0	No	+$7	10-04 19:00
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 1?	12	$225	180	139	+41	Down	+$30	10-01 16:30
Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be under 5.3?	7	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$1	09-29 18:24
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	19	$214	435	435	+0	open	—	10-27 07:42
Will the biggest earthquake on October 23, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	12	$212	183	60	+123	No	+$24	10-23 22:00
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$212	216	0	+216	No	+$4	10-11 14:25
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	29	$191	241	241	+0	open	—	10-26 12:04
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	14	$176	141	141	+0	open	—	10-26 19:40
Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	6	$169	183	0	+183	Yes	-$16	10-20 04:50
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	10	$168	160	160	+0	No	-$54	10-03 16:14
Will the biggest earthquake on October 21, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	6	$161	263	30	+233	Yes	+$81	10-22 01:27
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	3	$158	528	60	+468	open	—	10-06 17:08
Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	6	$158	173	0	+173	Yes	+$15	10-20 02:37
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	10	$156	162	44	+118	Yes	+$23	10-01 00:16
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$155	80	80	+0	No	+$4	10-27 07:45
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	16	$153	146	66	+80	open	—	09-25 09:49
Will anyone say "Surprise" during Big Brother E41?	2	$151	220	220	+0	Yes	-$86	10-01 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:49:59	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xaf88e7…
10-28 01:49:57	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0x415d5c…
10-28 01:12:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x155207…
10-28 01:02:20	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xc3a8bf…
10-28 00:19:45	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0xbe4d19…
10-28 00:01:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2f6329…
10-27 23:50:17	Will NK Rudeš be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	No	SELL	38	38¢	$14	0xbab16e…
10-27 23:39:08	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	BUY	260	91¢	$236	0xe20ddc…
10-27 23:21:42	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x99e01f…
10-27 22:50:48	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x1f9843…
10-27 22:14:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe56397…
10-27 22:13:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	BUY	118	90¢	$106	0x010582…
10-27 21:52:32	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x93424f…
10-27 21:47:00	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x6f8b83…
10-27 21:21:20	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x7a714a…
10-27 20:47:11	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcaf340…
10-27 20:42:53	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3b1bcb…
10-27 20:41:59	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9a021e…
10-27 20:38:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x365e93…
10-27 20:30:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x5c252a…
10-27 20:04:36	US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa22666…
10-27 19:44:14	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xff3ca3…
10-27 19:12:41	Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0xac684c…
10-27 19:05:39	Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x2a5f95…
10-27 18:15:05	Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf758ff…
10-27 18:06:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x33e26d…
10-27 18:00:02	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0x8142f1…
10-27 17:58:38	Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0d2393…
10-27 17:44:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x305a7e…
10-27 17:22:38	Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x5daee9…
10-27 17:21:32	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe7ed67…
10-27 17:21:32	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x363966…
10-27 17:21:32	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x0e1c82…
10-27 17:21:29	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x2473fa…
10-27 16:34:59	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x91b55d…
10-27 16:27:15	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x910b54…
10-27 16:26:51	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x2ea28d…
10-27 16:24:12	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xc8be6d…
10-27 16:23:15	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x102377…
10-27 16:22:33	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xae2e44…
10-27 14:39:47	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x949e85…
10-27 14:37:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x6d3516…
10-27 14:29:17	Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x065469…
10-27 14:26:41	Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8d3d00…
10-27 14:26:03	Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7db6bf…
10-27 14:25:24	Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0c3c1e…
10-27 14:12:15	Will NK Rudeš be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x441f6e…
10-27 14:01:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x50ba48…
10-27 13:57:26	Will NK Rudeš be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	No	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x225d57…
10-27 13:45:45	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xefe21d…
10-27 09:41:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb35b53…
10-27 09:09:36	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x0f4ea0…
10-27 09:02:32	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb1c57a…
10-27 07:45:41	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3152f2…
10-27 07:45:41	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x2248a6…
10-27 07:42:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x3d2648…
10-27 07:13:59	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd2c140…
10-27 06:16:00	Will NK Slaven Belupo be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa20540…
10-27 05:32:15	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x9b3397…
10-27 05:29:44	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x0d92e3…
10-27 05:27:59	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x1b9d28…
10-27 05:23:48	Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x36c88d…
10-27 05:23:41	Will NK Rudeš be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x4c7548…
10-27 05:23:33	Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xab6c79…
10-27 05:04:12	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x28e1fd…
10-27 04:16:48	Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1bfde5…
10-27 04:00:03	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3d52de…
10-27 03:53:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xef6415…
10-27 03:51:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa894bb…
10-27 03:51:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe656d2…
10-27 03:30:05	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf2df8f…
10-27 03:28:59	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc63ca5…
10-27 03:27:11	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x147d96…
10-27 03:14:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xa73e15…
10-27 03:00:56	Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x35d39b…
10-27 02:41:45	Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x753e9e…
10-27 02:38:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5fb39a…
10-27 02:16:02	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2700 on October 27?	No	SELL	19	13¢	$3	0x9babef…
10-27 02:13:48	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2700 on October 27?	No	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x3b65f6…
10-27 02:13:35	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8ba4bb…
10-27 00:58:57	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf42ba9…
10-27 00:45:21	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	161	91¢	$146	0x0c2b85…
10-27 00:21:56	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	Yes	SELL	21	78¢	$17	0x843c2c…
10-27 00:19:57	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xeec27b…
10-27 00:19:56	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x879933…
10-27 00:19:56	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6a1b8e…
10-27 00:18:29	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa34c75…
10-27 00:14:42	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfba6c9…
10-27 00:12:02	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x85c626…
10-27 00:09:54	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xa5286b…
10-27 00:09:44	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x2f5d95…
10-27 00:08:42	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa1ed4f…
10-27 00:05:09	Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	Yes	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0x0da7b4…
10-27 00:00:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x3264d4…
10-26 23:52:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc194cb…
10-26 22:56:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xd7bc6c…
10-26 22:47:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x627749…
10-26 22:26:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x9f995e…
10-26 22:26:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x312926…
10-26 22:01:30	will gta vi break the 24 hour sales record	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x9d604d…