Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

24.7%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$6.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$79

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-04

last 10-28 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

62% 10% -$1,492

Other

36% 23% +$102

Sports

2% 50% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+95	$20	28¢	$26	+$6	10-28 17:19
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+111	$20	12¢	$13	-$7	10-26 21:02
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+143	$20	8¢	$11	-$9	10-21 20:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+62	$10	16¢	$10	+$0	10-19 23:14
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+42	$10	22¢	$9	-$1	10-19 23:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+833	$5	1¢	$5	+$0	10-28 17:19
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+495	$10	1¢	$4	-$6	10-28 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$2.6K	8,018	8,018	+0	Yes	-$1,093	06-16 02:28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$679	1,152	1,152	+0	Yes	+$36	10-19 22:18
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	4	$396	606	606	+0	No	-$6	06-10 23:32
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	2	$195	368	368	+0	Yes	+$55	06-29 21:50
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	3	$133	4,558	188	+4,370	No	-$107	06-17 00:06
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	2	$116	1,256	1,256	+0	No	-$84	06-11 23:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$109	327	327	+0	open	—	10-26 14:24
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	2	$104	4,113	4,113	+0	No	-$96	06-11 23:33
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	1	$100	370	0	+370	No	-$100	09-30 15:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$99	126	126	+0	No	+$79	10-06 14:03
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	1	$90	1,718	0	+1,718	No	-$90	06-11 17:38
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	2	$82	62	62	+0	Yes	+$42	06-30 03:05
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	2	$81	105	105	+0	No	+$41	10-25 21:47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$79	222	109	+113	No	-$44	07-12 02:38
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	2	$72	100	100	+0	Yes	+$18	07-12 02:36
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$59	170	170	+0	open	—	10-26 18:23
Will Colombia vs. Peru end in a draw?	4	$57	145	74	+71	No	-$3	10-07 01:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$52	62	62	+0	open	—	10-26 14:24
Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	1	$50	385	0	+385	No	-$50	09-30 15:35
Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	1	$50	278	0	+278	Yes	+$228	09-30 15:35
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	2	$50	312	312	+0	No	-$6	06-29 21:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$47	56	56	+0	open	—	10-28 19:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$41	114	114	+0	No	+$1	07-01 17:02
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	2	$40	321	0	+321	No	-$40	07-02 15:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$39	121	121	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 23:32
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	2	$39	166	0	+166	No	-$39	06-30 22:43
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$38	111	111	+0	open	—	10-26 18:23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$37	87	87	+0	Yes	-$3	10-25 21:30
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$37	34	34	+0	Yes	+$19	07-11 22:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$35	1,365	1,365	+0	No	-$5	06-30 22:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:35:25	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$10	0xe4c612…
10-28 19:49:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	56	48¢	$27	0xc716b0…
10-28 17:40:59	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	SELL	111	5¢	$6	0x0d6bf8…
10-28 17:25:01	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf7708a…
10-28 17:19:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x5788b1…
10-28 17:19:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x60ac41…
10-26 21:02:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x34eab4…
10-26 18:23:47	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	111	16¢	$18	0x3f87d0…
10-26 18:23:39	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	170	17¢	$29	0xb8befc…
10-26 17:16:20	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	402	2¢	$10	0x17c5d0…
10-26 14:24:38	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	327	18¢	$59	0x087638…
10-26 14:24:29	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	62	36¢	$22	0x7a11e7…
10-25 21:47:15	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	105	58¢	$61	0xc57787…
10-25 21:30:11	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	87	20¢	$17	0xe484ca…
10-25 20:24:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xeebed0…
10-25 20:23:50	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x5ec1fc…
10-21 20:29:14	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x634d29…
10-21 20:29:05	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x14e123…
10-21 20:28:59	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	686	1¢	$10	0x4229c9…
10-19 23:14:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf385d3…
10-19 23:14:27	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x93ea72…
10-19 23:10:03	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira	Tiago Pereira	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbd5ca8…
10-19 23:08:33	Cali: Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno	Hernan Casanova	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x889ad7…
10-19 23:08:18	Fort Worth: Jenson Brooksby vs Mitchell Krueger	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x97f0bb…
10-19 23:04:39	Will PSV win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb44bcf…
10-19 23:04:27	Will FC Porto vs. PSV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x04e8b9…
10-19 23:04:08	Will AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe8c1c2…
10-19 23:04:03	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc1fff8…
10-19 23:02:08	Will Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc8704a…
10-19 22:18:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	533	23¢	$123	0x13f9d6…
10-18 23:01:54	Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x40a56e…
10-18 23:01:47	Will CS Cienciano vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa0823e…
10-18 23:00:53	Will EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5766f7…
10-18 23:00:47	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	267	4¢	$10	0x3d59f7…
10-18 23:00:35	Will FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0xeb82fd…
10-18 23:00:30	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x3a33c9…
10-18 22:51:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xe23079…
10-18 22:51:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x9da5b7…
10-18 22:51:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x162775…
10-18 22:50:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xa22321…
10-18 22:48:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x027fc4…
10-14 22:13:37	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	2,714	1¢	$14	0x29e058…
10-12 22:49:20	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	589	1¢	$8	0x30400f…
10-07 21:39:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x89c325…
10-07 15:32:23	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	261	15¢	$40	0x2680d2…
10-07 15:32:16	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0x999dc0…
10-07 15:32:05	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xcc02a7…
10-07 01:05:44	Will Colombia vs. Peru end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xb92314…
10-07 00:41:43	Will Benin win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x565658…
10-07 00:41:26	Will Colombia vs. Peru end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	74	36¢	$27	0x4e0c97…
10-07 00:38:46	Will Colombia vs. Peru end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa0e2ef…
10-06 22:30:03	Will Benin win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x712b79…
10-06 22:29:51	Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xc110e1…
10-06 22:25:54	Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2d3adc…
10-06 22:25:42	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4af941…
10-06 22:24:45	Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x0083cb…
10-06 22:24:44	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x632743…
10-06 14:54:23	Will Mexico vs. Chile end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x81c14f…
10-06 14:54:20	Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8b527a…
10-06 14:53:59	Will Colombia vs. Peru end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x4d902b…
10-06 14:53:56	Will Peru win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3d6864…
10-06 14:53:32	Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xecd6c8…
10-06 14:53:29	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x37ee21…
10-06 14:53:03	Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf1f046…
10-06 14:53:02	Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xce0aef…
10-06 14:17:26	Will Albania vs. San Marino end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	307	3¢	$10	0x8b7e3a…
10-06 14:17:18	Will San Marino win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd7d7f8…
10-06 14:13:47	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x8b3f96…
10-06 14:07:08	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	2,714	0¢	$10	0x153d42…
10-06 14:06:21	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	589	2¢	$10	0xf75a6a…
10-06 14:06:11	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	170	18¢	$30	0xb691f1…
10-06 14:05:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xd40b31…
10-06 14:03:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	71¢	$89	0xeaccae…
10-06 13:59:27	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	No	BUY	217	9¢	$20	0x7ee67b…
10-05 15:40:49	atp su wang 2026 10 04	Aoran Wang	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x131418…
10-05 15:40:34	atp echargu brancac 2026 10 05	Raul Brancaccio	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x2f6afc…
10-05 15:40:22	atp gaubas domingu 2026 10 05	Joao Domingues	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xccf4df…
10-05 15:40:01	atp carrasc gojo 2026 10 05	Maxi Carrascosa	BUY	599	2¢	$10	0x4c0b22…
10-05 15:39:49	atp kicker cigarra 2026 10 05	Thiago Cigarran	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x66fea0…
10-05 15:35:44	Antofagasta: Hernan Casanova vs Bernardo Munk Mesa	Hernan Casanova	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x52f271…
10-05 15:35:32	Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	BUY	1,614	0¢	$2	0xe22a1d…
10-05 15:35:32	Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	BUY	1,750	0¢	$2	0xbe315f…
10-05 15:35:32	Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	BUY	6,636	0¢	$7	0x1a9288…
10-05 15:28:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0x1fa960…
10-05 15:28:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xaa9558…
10-05 15:12:29	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,683	1¢	$12	0x376142…
10-05 15:11:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	533	15¢	$80	0x7cc373…
09-30 15:37:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,683	1¢	$22	0x9c524e…
09-30 15:35:51	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x65189a…
09-30 15:35:27	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x6f47f8…
09-30 15:34:51	Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x41eb68…
09-30 15:32:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	619	38¢	$235	0xe9d949…
09-21 16:31:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	619	39¢	$241	0xfa7be0…
07-12 02:38:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	113	38¢	$44	0xaef3f3…
07-12 02:36:59	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x4974be…
07-11 22:58:34	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xb48e95…
07-11 22:57:17	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x9cc554…
07-09 20:34:37	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x57cfb0…
07-09 20:33:56	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x3d5f5b…
07-06 22:14:44	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x2a3e67…