Favorite-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

17,091

lifetime

Volume

$53.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-08 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 53% $-23

Other

23% 30% $-12

Politics

16% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 827 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	73	$3.1K	3,161	3,161	+0	open	—	01-18 20:20
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	163	$2.7K	1,701	1,701	+0	open	—	02-06 11:48
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	56	$1.4K	957	957	+0	open	—	02-06 11:56
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	74	$1.4K	1,483	1,570	-87	open	—	01-18 19:26
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	37	$1.3K	647	647	+0	open	—	02-05 15:39
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	51	$1.2K	853	853	+0	open	—	02-05 15:50
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	21	$1.2K	870	870	+0	open	—	01-19 12:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	13	$1.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	01-17 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	55	$1.2K	630	630	+0	open	—	02-06 12:03
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	33	$709	753	753	+0	open	—	01-17 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	18	$608	330	330	+0	open	—	02-05 15:05
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	32	$551	326	326	+0	open	—	02-08 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	71	$468	730	730	+0	open	—	02-04 13:37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	8	$398	400	400	+0	open	—	01-17 21:04
spx up or down on january 16 2026	7	$351	487	192	+295	open	—	01-16 15:02
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$318	200	200	+0	open	—	01-16 12:51
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	24	$269	227	227	+0	open	—	02-06 15:21
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	10	$251	166	166	+0	open	—	02-06 15:58
eth updown 15m 1775559600	34	$245	165	161	+4	open	—	04-07 11:14
eth updown 15m 1775624400	89	$236	445	0	+445	open	—	04-08 05:12
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	24	$226	213	213	+0	open	—	02-08 13:01
btc updown 15m 1769043600	19	$219	74	209	-135	open	—	01-22 01:12
btc updown 15m 1770333300	29	$210	140	139	+0	open	—	02-05 23:26
tsla above 480 on january 30 2026	7	$187	156	156	+0	open	—	01-19 19:32
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	9	$175	88	88	+0	open	—	02-05 22:06
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 140 164	11	$170	88	88	+0	open	—	02-05 23:01
btc updown 5m 1771242300	44	$155	467	0	+467	open	—	02-16 11:49
btc updown 5m 1771242900	42	$154	359	0	+359	open	—	02-16 11:59
btc updown 15m 1770331500	17	$153	140	140	+0	open	—	02-05 22:46
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 165 189	8	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	02-05 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:43:57	btc updown 5m 1780954800	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xae8ada…
06-08 20:54:07	doge updown 5m 1780951800	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd854a2…
06-08 20:54:07	xrp updown 5m 1780951800	Up	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x460fcf…
06-08 19:59:19	xrp updown 5m 1780948500	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x931142…
06-08 18:23:07	xrp updown 5m 1780942800	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x43c205…
06-08 18:14:09	xrp updown 5m 1780942200	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbfcc56…
06-04 23:25:49	btc updown 5m 1780615500	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x55b0bc…
06-04 23:25:48	btc updown 5m 1780615500	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xebd2da…
06-04 23:18:22	btc updown 15m 1780614900	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x713fd7…
06-04 23:18:21	btc updown 15m 1780614900	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc2b17b…
06-04 23:16:49	btc updown 5m 1780614900	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x7f9803…
06-04 23:16:48	btc updown 5m 1780614900	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe13b7c…
06-04 23:05:54	btc updown 5m 1780614300	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xf2390d…
06-04 23:05:52	btc updown 5m 1780614300	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x17f976…
06-04 23:02:57	btc updown 15m 1780614000	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc9d75c…
06-04 23:00:45	btc updown 5m 1780614000	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x8ef0cf…
06-04 23:00:40	btc updown 5m 1780614000	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x0513dd…
06-04 22:56:49	btc updown 5m 1780613700	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7628c6…
06-04 22:56:48	btc updown 5m 1780613700	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe332e9…
06-04 22:50:42	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x66c423…
06-04 22:50:40	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x456cda…
06-04 22:46:48	btc updown 15m 1780613100	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xd1ddba…
06-04 22:46:46	btc updown 15m 1780613100	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xc982c3…
06-04 22:41:18	btc updown 5m 1780612800	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf6612f…
06-04 20:21:22	btc updown 5m 1780604400	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x065b7a…
06-04 20:21:19	btc updown 5m 1780604400	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1382e1…
06-04 20:17:15	btc updown 15m 1780604100	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x02b11c…
06-04 20:17:13	btc updown 15m 1780604100	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x41fb65…
06-04 20:06:25	btc updown 5m 1780603500	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x8f1320…
06-04 20:06:21	btc updown 5m 1780603500	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x444547…
06-04 20:02:15	btc updown 15m 1780603200	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xb349da…
06-04 19:10:46	btc updown 5m 1780600200	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xaae377…
06-04 19:05:46	btc updown 5m 1780599900	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x9b143b…
06-04 19:05:45	btc updown 5m 1780599900	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2a3f30…
06-04 18:51:10	btc updown 5m 1780599000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf7fd56…
06-04 17:45:54	btc updown 15m 1780595100	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x516ce1…
06-04 17:45:51	btc updown 15m 1780595100	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xf657a0…
06-04 17:16:27	btc updown 15m 1780593300	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x01a576…
06-04 17:16:22	btc updown 15m 1780593300	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x121fb7…
05-24 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x30ef65…
05-24 23:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xea54c3…
05-24 23:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x26edc0…
05-24 23:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x9cd3cf…
05-24 23:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0x312c52…
05-24 23:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x274757…
05-24 23:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0x2c1043…
05-24 23:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xc0873c…
05-24 23:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x73ccfd…
05-24 23:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x623fdc…
05-24 23:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xd256d4…
05-24 23:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xaf6344…
05-24 23:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb2d8ca…
05-24 23:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xc4e669…
05-24 21:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa3fb75…
05-24 21:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x8cdd48…
05-24 21:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x768d9f…
05-24 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x546330…
05-24 21:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc2ac8d…
05-24 21:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xd77fae…
05-24 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe590fb…
05-24 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8bc507…
05-24 21:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xcbcb62…
05-24 21:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xf903ab…
05-24 21:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbed252…
05-24 21:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xf7a62c…
05-24 21:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x84c6a9…
05-24 21:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x5a5f70…
05-24 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xbbca02…
05-24 21:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xc9838e…
05-24 21:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x24aeb1…
05-24 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x58b33b…
05-24 21:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x58d840…
05-24 21:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x271299…
05-24 21:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6c236e…
05-24 21:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x67af80…
05-24 21:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa59324…
05-24 21:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6364ff…
05-24 21:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb7f692…
05-24 21:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x919a66…
05-24 21:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb76a59…
05-24 21:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2b37f5…
05-24 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0829ed…
05-24 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x867901…
05-24 21:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd9111b…
05-24 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x4bde0c…
05-24 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb631ad…
05-24 21:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc38f62…
05-24 21:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xe01a72…
05-24 21:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x13696c…
05-24 21:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x7cbc88…
05-24 21:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x03a76b…
05-24 21:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xf2897b…
05-24 21:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xdd6057…
05-24 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x74e6bc…
05-24 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xf507c7…
05-24 10:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xab4c94…
05-24 10:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x87492a…
05-23 21:02:55	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x660418…
05-23 21:02:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x690776…
05-23 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf939d4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	870	$1.98K	3,901	05-24 23:34
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	780	$73.3K	10,804	04-26 22:08
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	777	$1.51M	133,478	04-16 16:33
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	775	$12.4K	6,287	04-26 22:09
(anonymous) 0xf381…2b5d	771	$251.8K	42,523	04-26 22:08
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	763	$87.8K	21,731	05-24 23:34
(anonymous) 0x5770…0a3b	760	$1.01K	1,969	05-24 23:31
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	727	$96.6K	18,634	05-24 23:33