Favorite-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

3,083

Trades

17,787

lifetime

Volume

$55.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-17 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 56% -$740

Other

23% 53% -$204

Politics

15% 40% -$139

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	73	$3.1K	3,161	3,161	+0	No	-$68	01-18 20:20
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	163	$2.7K	1,701	1,701	+0	No	+$1	02-06 11:48
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	56	$1.4K	957	957	+0	Yes	-$11	02-06 11:56
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	74	$1.4K	1,483	1,570	-87	Yes	-$64	01-18 19:26
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	37	$1.3K	647	647	+0	No	$0	02-05 15:39
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	51	$1.2K	853	853	+0	No	-$1	02-05 15:50
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	21	$1.2K	870	870	+0	No	-$2	01-19 12:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	13	$1.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$2	01-17 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	55	$1.2K	630	630	+0	No	-$6	02-06 12:03
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	33	$709	753	753	+0	Yes	-$84	01-17 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	18	$608	330	330	+0	No	+$1	02-05 15:05
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	32	$551	326	326	+0	No	+$0	02-08 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	71	$468	730	730	+0	Yes	+$7	02-04 13:37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	8	$398	400	400	+0	No	-$10	01-17 21:04
spx up or down on january 16 2026	7	$351	487	192	+295	Down	-$8	01-16 15:02
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$318	200	200	+0	No	+$6	01-16 12:51
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	24	$269	227	227	+0	No	+$0	02-06 15:21
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	10	$251	166	166	+0	Yes	-$6	02-06 15:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 11:00 UTC	34	$245	165	161	+4	Down	+$38	04-07 11:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 05:00 UTC	89	$236	445	0	+445	Down	-$236	04-08 05:12
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	24	$226	213	213	+0	Yes	-$5	02-08 13:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:00 UTC	19	$219	74	209	-135	Up	+$10	01-22 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:15 UTC	29	$210	140	139	+0	Down	+$2	02-05 23:26
tsla above 480 on january 30 2026	7	$187	156	156	+0	No	-$4	01-19 19:32
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	9	$175	88	88	+0	No	$0	02-05 22:06
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 140 164	11	$170	88	88	+0	No	+$0	02-05 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 11:45 UTC	44	$155	467	0	+467	Up	-$22	02-16 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 11:55 UTC	42	$154	359	0	+359	Down	+$70	02-16 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:45 UTC	17	$153	140	140	+0	Down	+$1	02-05 22:46
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	1	$150	156	0	+156	Over	+$6	10-17 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 20:01:20	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x710807…
10-17 19:56:18	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xc8dd07…
10-17 19:55:29	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x2b8962…
10-17 19:54:59	Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xe60ff7…
10-17 19:54:59	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0xc4cb81…
10-17 19:51:03	Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x0f45de…
10-17 19:42:36	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xe3ee40…
10-17 19:37:45	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf1e67d…
10-17 13:47:38	FC Nantes vs. USL Dunkerque: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8726c3…
10-17 13:39:21	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa0b984…
10-17 13:36:38	Will FC Metz win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x53dea4…
10-17 13:22:23	Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5f8041…
10-17 13:21:24	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xa66496…
10-17 13:21:24	Exact Score: Everton FC 0 - 1 Chelsea FC?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x72fb79…
10-17 13:20:24	Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x274498…
10-17 13:16:15	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	16	58¢	$10	0x383647…
10-17 13:15:17	Will FK Pardubice vs. FC Zlín end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf50887…
10-17 13:11:20	Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x782106…
10-16 23:28:56	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbf0cfa…
10-16 23:28:35	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x00e998…
10-16 23:27:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xade1ad…
10-16 23:27:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x01457b…
10-16 23:27:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdbdb23…
10-16 23:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xcc6fc3…
10-16 23:27:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x91b14f…
10-16 23:25:06	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xe49eb5…
10-16 23:23:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x571146…
10-16 23:23:26	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe6d9f7…
10-16 23:22:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xa3c72c…
10-16 23:22:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x22bee0…
10-16 23:21:38	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xa7abe8…
10-16 23:19:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x840b6f…
10-16 23:18:42	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x76a55d…
10-16 23:18:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x3631a7…
10-16 23:18:08	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x610f9d…
10-16 23:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x76978f…
10-16 23:14:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x62e0d9…
10-16 23:13:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfde2d2…
10-16 23:13:54	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6c8984…
10-16 18:32:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe5a506…
10-15 17:49:40	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x8f4ae7…
10-15 17:49:28	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf56446…
10-15 17:49:04	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4d4cc7…
10-15 17:48:35	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5df249…
10-15 14:33:37	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x346d5b…
10-15 11:18:55	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x4aa0e3…
10-15 11:17:22	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb0d0db…
10-15 10:55:55	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x01429e…
10-15 09:12:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x6a30e5…
07-15 12:39:20	wta jones urgesi 2026 07 15	Francesca Jones	BUY	101	72¢	$73	0x383e9d…
07-01 15:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x891cf7…
06-26 08:05:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x776452…
06-26 08:03:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x42fdbf…
06-26 08:02:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x0cf571…
06-26 07:48:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x607300…
06-26 07:47:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc5f075…
06-26 07:46:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc07821…
06-26 07:41:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xd2ea3b…
06-26 07:39:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb4cf47…
06-26 07:38:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xd1b191…
06-26 07:36:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x846144…
06-26 07:35:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5fb6b5…
06-26 07:32:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5c99c4…
06-26 07:31:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xe578cb…
06-26 07:27:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2925af…
06-26 07:26:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xb8512b…
06-26 07:23:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xaef468…
06-26 07:22:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x9cab69…
06-26 07:21:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x7c4632…
06-26 07:19:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcbaee9…
06-26 07:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4affea…
06-26 07:16:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x348d5b…
06-26 07:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7cb119…
06-26 07:10:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfd0e81…
06-26 07:09:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xc9dbac…
06-26 07:07:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xd2ef11…
06-26 06:54:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xcd3ffa…
06-26 06:50:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb2ce33…
06-26 06:48:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3982bd…
06-26 06:47:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x457f25…
06-26 06:46:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x99009d…
06-26 06:42:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfd7ea1…
06-26 06:41:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x054c32…
06-26 06:40:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x491891…
06-26 06:38:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7c0aaa…
06-26 06:37:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x776375…
06-26 06:36:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x7c4604…
06-26 06:34:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa36b75…
06-26 06:31:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x73ce76…
06-26 06:21:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x83bc53…
06-26 06:20:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3206e7…
06-26 06:17:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x7b5e8d…
06-26 06:09:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ac595…
06-26 06:05:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x3105d9…
06-26 06:04:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xea6744…
06-26 06:02:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x539c32…
06-26 06:01:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xf926f9…
06-26 05:59:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8419ca…
06-26 05:54:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x5824b7…
06-26 05:50:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xdf8d6b…