Smart-Onion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

391

Trades

10,756

lifetime

Volume

$100.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 11-04 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

76% 66% +$1,116

Politics

18% 57% -$1,183

Crypto

5% 58% +$53

Tech

1% 67% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+1,090	$49	5¢	$57	+$8	11-04 13:43
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+200	$5	3¢	$5	+$0	08-27 06:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	221	$6.7K	5,618	5,446	+172	Yes	+$469	06-26 18:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	281	$4.3K	4,844	5,062	-217	Yes	+$60	03-27 18:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	162	$3.3K	11,391	8,661	+2,730	Yes	-$916	04-21 15:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	189	$3.2K	7,053	7,053	+0	No	-$776	07-28 20:10
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	33	$3.1K	1,000	2,200	-1,200	No	-$58	04-14 13:17
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	83	$2.7K	2,728	2,647	+81	Yes	+$245	07-21 09:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	288	$2.5K	3,400	3,250	+149	Yes	+$118	06-01 10:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	100	$2.1K	2,833	2,089	+744	Yes	+$357	07-22 12:45
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	72	$2.1K	2,198	2,048	+150	Yes	-$7	07-13 20:46
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	323	$1.9K	11,435	12,487	-1,052	Yes	+$481	04-05 14:21
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	182	$1.9K	6,418	7,116	-699	No	+$236	03-14 17:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	92	$1.7K	3,057	4,598	-1,541	No	+$435	04-09 18:47
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	212	$1.7K	13,858	11,189	+2,670	No	+$223	04-06 02:31
us strikes iraq by february 28	52	$1.7K	3,075	1,125	+1,950	Yes	-$339	03-04 01:07
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	115	$1.7K	2,334	2,894	-561	No	+$279	03-30 20:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	65	$1.5K	2,500	1,991	+509	No	-$90	04-12 01:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	33	$1.5K	1,214	1,214	+0	No	+$62	07-28 14:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	180	$1.5K	2,989	2,094	+894	No	-$53	05-29 20:24
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	212	$1.4K	14,034	14,649	-615	No	+$58	04-29 10:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	23	$1.3K	625	770	-145	Yes	+$9	04-10 08:49
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	151	$1.3K	7,424	7,424	+0	No	-$26	06-30 07:26
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	130	$1.2K	4,452	3,914	+538	No	+$69	03-08 18:35
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	288	$1.1K	15,289	10,950	+4,339	No	+$93	04-03 08:56
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	18	$974	650	451	+199	Yes	+$17	04-16 17:17
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	81	$891	3,299	3,299	+0	No	-$233	07-28 16:24
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	23	$873	1,291	1,471	-180	No	-$500	04-30 09:41
will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	21	$862	434	434	+0	No	+$1	06-23 09:49
bitboy convicted	29	$829	370	545	-175	No	+$11	03-31 20:01
over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	27	$811	1,354	422	+932	No	-$385	07-04 16:57
over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	6	$776	800	0	+800	Yes	+$24	07-02 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:43:45	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xd203b5…
11-04 13:43:45	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x21d3fa…
10-20 14:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0x0ae30c…
10-20 14:21:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x3d55e6…
10-20 14:20:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x2cb1a7…
10-20 07:28:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	120	10¢	$12	0xa96e9c…
10-20 06:36:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x9830c7…
10-20 06:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x36e222…
10-20 06:32:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xd130f9…
10-18 06:03:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x163af7…
10-17 17:00:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x272545…
10-17 13:31:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xe4e55e…
10-17 13:12:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x039883…
10-17 13:03:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x647706…
10-15 22:51:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xf1bced…
10-15 16:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x48be94…
10-15 15:41:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x4821ee…
10-15 15:40:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7a67a4…
10-15 14:29:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xe30ccf…
10-15 14:29:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3f456b…
10-15 13:08:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0xf051f6…
10-13 20:29:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xcbd1af…
10-13 16:14:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xf3565a…
10-13 15:34:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x689270…
10-13 15:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x491c33…
10-13 15:24:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0f34fc…
10-13 10:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xcb26dc…
10-12 18:31:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x2bb0df…
10-12 13:50:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe5502c…
10-12 12:49:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3b1a75…
10-12 10:47:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0df8e0…
10-12 09:44:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x6e1238…
10-12 08:56:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x85e8c4…
10-11 22:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf769aa…
10-11 22:03:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x730272…
10-11 22:00:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x3f7631…
10-11 22:00:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb665a6…
10-11 01:12:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x9ad51b…
10-10 04:37:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x71c54d…
10-09 19:30:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x81a5cf…
10-09 19:10:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x288e20…
10-09 16:42:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xe4b455…
10-09 16:10:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xf916f1…
10-09 14:58:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x3b9d54…
10-09 14:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xede00a…
10-09 14:44:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1ea773…
10-09 14:44:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb7a40e…
10-08 16:18:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x7282c2…
10-08 10:34:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xed2a83…
10-08 10:33:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2744f7…
10-08 10:25:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xf4338d…
10-08 10:24:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0x100bf4…
10-08 09:46:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x037809…
10-08 08:43:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf4caf7…
10-07 13:29:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xe9522d…
10-05 18:36:46	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xed01d4…
10-04 14:42:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x937eda…
10-03 14:11:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x6fc93d…
10-03 07:52:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb6df43…
09-30 13:12:36	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	561	0¢	$1	0xf5d801…
09-29 18:54:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0x9d3916…
09-29 05:34:41	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x47f1d3…
09-28 16:26:45	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0x5dd836…
09-28 16:26:38	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xaa1d04…
09-28 16:26:36	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x08f34b…
09-28 07:11:02	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x747bbc…
09-28 02:04:38	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x65a268…
09-27 15:14:48	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xbfb312…
09-26 16:28:21	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xc5d378…
09-26 00:30:51	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8ec2d0…
09-26 00:30:23	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x8468b5…
09-26 00:29:12	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x46ed33…
09-25 16:30:42	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x58d3e8…
09-25 16:19:45	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x75318f…
09-25 14:38:11	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xcfc190…
09-25 14:01:50	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x3efa90…
09-25 11:09:03	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x8dab13…
09-25 10:43:59	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x8b47c4…
09-25 08:22:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xe6f5f0…
09-24 15:18:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x0613fa…
09-24 14:37:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x7407c6…
09-24 14:16:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xd599d6…
09-24 13:42:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xce4385…
09-24 10:04:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xe7bcf9…
09-24 08:08:59	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x061e08…
09-24 08:06:41	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x38cbc8…
09-23 20:27:58	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x83dff9…
09-23 15:49:35	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9d50af…
09-23 14:27:02	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x58f50d…
09-23 14:10:49	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x300929…
09-23 13:17:59	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x21b275…
09-23 08:30:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe9bf3b…
09-23 07:57:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x3990c1…
09-23 07:21:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdbdf72…
09-22 16:06:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x656f02…
09-22 15:42:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xea5702…
09-22 14:42:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xaaf2a0…
09-22 13:49:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x20fcb4…
09-22 12:41:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc00797…
09-22 01:45:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2c7e61…