Big-Hearted-Chivalry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$773

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-07 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Crypto

28% 100% +$21

Politics

17% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	+326	$235	74¢	$240	+$5	05-31 15:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	+234	$200	93¢	$218	+$18	05-31 15:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	+247	$200	88¢	$216	+$16	05-30 15:45
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	+115	$100	86¢	$98	$-2	05-31 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	3	$1.1K	581	581	+0	open	—	06-01 11:32
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	3	$564	630	630	+0	open	—	05-28 14:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$489	290	290	+0	open	—	05-31 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$453	253	253	+0	open	—	06-01 11:33
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	4	$426	256	256	+0	open	—	03-29 23:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$425	225	225	+0	open	—	06-01 11:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$355	282	282	+0	open	—	05-23 15:01
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 115 139	2	$248	127	127	+0	open	—	02-16 14:00
Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?	1	$240	300	0	+300	open	—	06-02 20:44
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	1	$240	296	0	+296	open	—	06-05 15:16
will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	1	$240	291	0	+291	open	—	06-07 14:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	1	$235	326	0	+326	open	—	05-31 15:04
will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	6	$234	141	141	+0	open	—	03-15 23:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$227	131	131	+0	open	—	03-15 15:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$225	164	164	+0	open	—	03-17 18:41
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$225	127	127	+0	open	—	03-24 11:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$220	120	120	+0	open	—	05-31 15:01
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$220	125	125	+0	open	—	03-24 12:12
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$219	122	122	+0	open	—	03-24 11:18
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	4	$218	120	120	+0	open	—	03-15 19:16
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 90 114	2	$213	114	114	+0	open	—	03-02 16:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	1	$200	247	0	+247	open	—	05-30 15:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$200	257	0	+257	open	—	05-20 14:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$200	227	0	+227	No	+$27	05-03 16:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$200	253	0	+253	open	—	05-03 16:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	1	$200	234	0	+234	open	—	05-31 15:03
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$200	253	0	+253	open	—	03-15 15:19
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$191	140	140	+0	open	—	03-31 01:04
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$188	115	115	+0	open	—	02-28 01:49
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	1	$184	0	199	-199	open	—	01-10 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:06:00	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	210	67¢	$140	0x67cb5d…
06-07 14:05:42	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	291	83¢	$240	0xc6df68…
06-05 15:16:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	296	81¢	$240	0xc97148…
06-02 20:44:13	Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x992996…
06-01 11:33:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x0053ab…
06-01 11:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0xb322c4…
06-01 11:32:22	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	SELL	581	100¢	$581	0xbe764a…
05-31 15:04:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	326	72¢	$235	0x0752f8…
05-31 15:04:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x176693…
05-31 15:03:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	234	85¢	$200	0x3b00e9…
05-31 15:02:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0x2d9516…
05-31 15:01:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xd89def…
05-30 15:45:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x3f57ad…
05-28 14:00:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	630	26¢	$164	0x4a2698…
05-23 18:02:38	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	340	84¢	$286	0x0fc382…
05-23 15:01:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	282	55¢	$155	0xb12520…
05-20 14:03:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0xecefd1…
05-16 22:54:32	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xf8db83…
05-15 14:13:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x3ef4a0…
05-15 14:10:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x057bf1…
05-12 16:36:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	307	65¢	$200	0xa04767…
05-10 15:31:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xd74dee…
05-10 15:29:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xd6d3bf…
05-03 16:13:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x23c84c…
05-03 16:11:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x1d5e1e…
05-03 16:10:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x00ee00…
05-01 15:05:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xc101b7…
05-01 10:19:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xcc87cb…
04-30 00:34:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xf915da…
04-26 14:56:10	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xb4ea8d…
04-26 14:55:54	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x8f7c09…
04-26 14:54:00	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xd7a3c2…
04-26 14:52:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x1699b1…
04-25 16:12:20	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xeda13c…
04-23 17:36:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x0e0cc1…
04-22 17:13:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0xc6f7b3…
04-20 22:08:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xbb9fc1…
04-19 23:13:52	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0x28dc92…
04-19 22:10:00	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x2d1272…
04-19 18:21:52	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x8e142e…
04-19 17:20:36	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	80¢	$66	0x4ac7c1…
04-19 14:12:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0x6d4a1f…
04-18 16:14:00	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	SELL	97	56¢	$54	0xaa447d…
04-18 01:59:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xc16465…
04-17 19:58:22	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xd537af…
04-17 19:57:50	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xf3ff8f…
04-16 00:28:40	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0xbf7217…
04-14 00:18:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf239a4…
04-10 18:26:43	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x78e2f6…
04-09 16:15:51	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x1b22be…
04-08 18:49:15	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xad58ea…
04-08 00:12:17	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x02aae4…
04-04 17:30:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x731b52…
04-04 17:30:23	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x8cb26d…
04-04 17:29:55	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xd44e89…
04-04 17:29:21	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x4d7e7b…
04-01 18:38:35	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xe4488f…
04-01 17:31:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xce205d…
04-01 12:21:15	P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x838ab1…
03-31 18:38:39	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x1fa891…
03-31 18:38:07	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x299cf9…
03-31 18:36:39	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8ee698…
03-31 01:04:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	140	50¢	$71	0x4a46ef…
03-29 23:59:02	Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	215	72¢	$155	0x320420…
03-29 23:56:24	Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	177	44¢	$78	0xe815d0…
03-29 23:33:44	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	128	99¢	$128	0xf3c5b3…
03-28 17:28:49	Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0x90cf4c…
03-25 00:38:41	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	155	77¢	$120	0x3f9e48…
03-25 00:37:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	140	86¢	$120	0x61f5e8…
03-24 12:12:07	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0xb925a6…
03-24 11:18:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	122	97¢	$119	0xae9330…
03-24 11:18:15	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0x081c5b…
03-24 01:14:39	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	197	0¢	$0	0x73d382…
03-19 22:31:53	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	197	61¢	$120	0xc27441…
03-18 19:18:01	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x740dbf…
03-18 19:15:35	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	128	77¢	$98	0xa2721c…
03-18 19:12:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xc2abba…
03-17 18:49:45	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x90df7b…
03-17 18:46:59	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xb9d999…
03-17 18:41:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	164	76¢	$125	0x9874fd…
03-16 14:16:43	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xc83ffc…
03-15 23:28:09	will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x09c7c7…
03-15 23:25:13	will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x28070c…
03-15 23:20:49	will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x599b54…
03-15 19:20:39	will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xed13cd…
03-15 19:16:25	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0x3ff163…
03-15 16:29:03	will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	No	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0x4c356b…
03-15 16:16:17	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7c731e…
03-15 15:19:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x0a790f…
03-15 15:18:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	131	97¢	$127	0x94a5aa…
03-15 15:18:09	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xa940ec…
03-12 20:17:15	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x3e7a9a…
03-09 17:36:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x1e9f0d…
03-09 13:37:39	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2fd9a4…
03-09 13:07:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0x059d07…
03-04 19:26:25	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x017e8f…
03-04 17:43:47	will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x71947b…
03-02 16:46:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf49548…
03-02 16:39:17	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 90 114	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0xb324e7…
03-02 15:20:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xe4259d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	78	$903.8K	16,970	06-10 03:10
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	67	$89.8K	842	06-09 00:27
Repentant-Developer 0x68e8…c464	66	$59.6K	153	06-09 22:52
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	65	$17.0M	27,348	06-10 03:13
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	60	$251.7K	21,258	06-01 05:22
Major-Passing 0x65d4…b7e3	58	$54.5K	211	05-28 17:15
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	57	$11.2K	4,350	06-02 19:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	56	$13.3K	2,387	06-09 22:52