Ethical-Crunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$690

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-25 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 73% +$18

Crypto

13% 100% +$0

Politics

8% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-18 01:41
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-18 01:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$51	100	0	+100	Yes	+$49	06-25 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$49	100	0	+100	Yes	+$51	06-04 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$37	100	0	+100	No	-$37	06-04 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-22 09:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$34	100	0	+100	No	-$34	06-25 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 6?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-06 09:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-25 02:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	06-14 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on May 6?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-06 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-29 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-07 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-07 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-07 00:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 1?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-01 00:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-25 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-25 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-27 00:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-22 09:08
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:11
Will Little Joe escape again?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-18 02:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$7	100	0	+100	No	-$7	06-04 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	06-25 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 25?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-25 02:49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	05-11 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 08:04:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xb9a7ec…
06-25 08:04:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xafb027…
06-25 08:04:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x5bbabb…
06-14 09:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x57ccb0…
06-07 00:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa5a8ee…
06-07 00:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd200e5…
06-04 08:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xeb5cfa…
06-04 08:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x887570…
06-04 08:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x452116…
06-01 00:56:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbbf0ee…
05-27 00:29:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0c3140…
05-25 02:51:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x82cabd…
05-25 02:51:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x781065…
05-25 02:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8aa6d2…
05-25 02:47:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa08007…
05-22 09:08:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcb5515…
05-22 09:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7a7ee6…
05-21 01:11:06	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x73e72d…
05-18 02:02:11	Will Little Joe escape again?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xe6f71d…
05-18 01:41:30	Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xa5f473…
05-18 01:41:23	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3fb01b…
05-15 08:19:47	Will Little Joe escape again?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x141840…
05-15 08:18:56	Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe4b245…
05-12 07:41:47	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x188c4e…
05-11 03:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x1842c1…
05-11 02:24:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfd627e…
05-07 00:28:35	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0f24fa…
05-06 09:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4d2340…
05-06 09:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x77651f…
04-29 09:17:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd61fc3…