Outlandish-Numeracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$239

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

663

Trades

2,656

lifetime

Volume

$79.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-15 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% -$201

Other

1% 84% -$38

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	26	$4.7K	3,119	3,119	+0	Up	+$102	05-15 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	18	$3.3K	1,785	1,785	+0	Up	+$255	05-15 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	17	$2.9K	1,497	1,487	+10	Up	+$72	05-15 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	20	$2.8K	1,625	1,565	+60	Down	+$381	05-15 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	35	$2.7K	2,131	2,131	+0	Down	-$101	05-15 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$2.6K	1,469	1,469	+0	Down	+$354	05-15 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$2.1K	1,115	1,069	+46	Down	+$104	05-15 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	10	$1.8K	2,030	1,063	+967	Down	-$1,144	05-15 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$1.7K	1,055	1,055	+0	Down	+$344	05-15 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	45	$1.7K	896	896	+0	Up	+$87	05-15 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	11	$1.7K	1,091	686	+405	Up	+$84	05-15 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	16	$1.6K	1,955	0	+1,955	Up	-$1,600	05-15 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	16	$1.5K	978	573	+405	Down	+$31	05-15 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$1.5K	762	762	+0	Down	+$54	05-15 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	45	$1.2K	764	548	+216	Down	+$59	05-15 10:59
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	12	$1.2K	1,237	0	+1,237	Down	+$37	05-15 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$1.2K	729	729	+0	Up	+$278	05-15 13:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	10	$998	1,031	0	+1,031	Down	+$33	05-15 10:39
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	7	$928	532	532	+0	Down	+$78	05-15 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	21	$859	484	484	+0	Down	+$60	05-15 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$849	488	488	+0	Down	+$49	05-15 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$848	443	425	+18	Up	+$11	05-15 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$836	441	441	+0	Up	+$36	05-15 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	24	$816	532	319	+213	Up	+$29	05-15 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	41	$739	458	349	+109	Up	+$48	05-15 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	10	$710	781	8	+774	Up	-$81	05-15 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	8	$622	423	224	+199	Down	+$21	05-15 11:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	7	$619	323	308	+15	Up	+$7	05-15 10:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$615	319	319	+0	Up	+$15	05-14 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$613	373	373	+0	Up	+$13	05-15 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x987016…
05-15 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0x99ac1a…
05-15 13:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x91fd05…
05-15 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbf50c8…
05-15 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa83f16…
05-15 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa3fa1c…
05-15 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x702633…
05-15 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6b1095…
05-15 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x267c54…
05-15 13:49:23	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x3c6e83…
05-15 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	377	39¢	$147	0xe0f4ba…
05-15 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	183	77¢	$140	0x74aafd…
05-15 13:48:19	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7fdddd…
05-15 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x35a5e2…
05-15 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	846	83¢	$700	0xeddd08…
05-15 13:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xd063a3…
05-15 13:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x806f76…
05-15 13:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	681	12¢	$80	0xc29e0c…
05-15 13:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	82¢	$28	0x4b5eda…
05-15 13:47:19	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0x26cb59…
05-15 13:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x434ca6…
05-15 13:47:05	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x999b30…
05-15 13:47:05	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x4befef…
05-15 13:47:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x300cbc…
05-15 13:47:00	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x08a487…
05-15 13:46:56	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x3c5da3…
05-15 13:46:55	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x3caa75…
05-15 13:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	889	79¢	$700	0xb1e794…
05-15 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	66¢	$10	0xf22b75…
05-15 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xd4d3d1…
05-15 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7a793c…
05-15 13:44:29	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb5da03…
05-15 13:44:28	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xe5bb1d…
05-15 13:44:28	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x6f845e…
05-15 13:44:24	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd3f704…
05-15 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xf2137e…
05-15 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xd60bab…
05-15 13:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1,064	99¢	$1,054	0x9f9a28…
05-15 13:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf88d43…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xf441bd…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf2e588…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcd982f…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xc7bc33…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93b226…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x74ad4f…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x63970e…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5b102a…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3d841b…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2abf89…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0x244b95…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0ec3aa…
05-15 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x041614…
05-15 13:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,580	76¢	$1,200	0x4df714…
05-15 13:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x88559d…
05-15 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x12951e…
05-15 13:41:29	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xef966d…
05-15 13:41:26	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x10ad94…
05-15 13:41:26	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x0f03f3…
05-15 13:41:19	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xc2495a…
05-15 13:41:15	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd1d398…
05-15 13:41:13	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xde49b1…
05-15 13:41:06	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	88¢	$33	0x80db28…
05-15 13:40:52	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x627cdb…
05-15 13:40:51	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xbcd726…
05-15 13:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd8e7a6…
05-15 13:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	80¢	$34	0xa418ad…
05-15 13:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x485946…
05-15 13:40:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xbe01e8…
05-15 13:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1,469	99¢	$1,454	0x5c3ded…
05-15 13:38:11	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x89ba32…
05-15 13:37:57	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xac6add…
05-15 13:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,469	75¢	$1,100	0x3570f5…
05-15 13:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,069	99¢	$1,058	0x210f97…
05-15 13:32:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6341c9…
05-15 13:31:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xdd51cc…
05-15 13:30:31	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x5f6fc2…
05-15 13:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	89¢	$904	0xad7653…
05-15 13:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	105	92¢	$96	0x1f2912…
05-15 13:30:21	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xe3d248…
05-15 13:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1,055	99¢	$1,044	0x39e05d…
05-15 13:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	73	74¢	$54	0xe196ed…
05-15 13:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	981	66¢	$646	0x4cedd3…
05-15 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	729	99¢	$721	0x790196…
05-15 13:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	729	61¢	$443	0x14e80a…
05-15 13:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x292847…
05-15 13:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xb0bc8d…
05-15 13:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x10acbb…
05-15 13:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1aa999…
05-15 13:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x06ee20…
05-15 13:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd6050f…
05-15 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x855929…
05-15 13:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe41ff3…
05-15 13:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe190f4…
05-15 13:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x008300…
05-15 13:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xf9db2b…
05-15 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x9a4666…
05-15 13:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xb611c2…
05-15 13:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x019ff8…
05-15 13:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xf07bcd…
05-15 13:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x9ea8ab…