Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

169

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$4.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$132

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-25 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

69% 47% -$7

Politics

28% 46% +$113

Sports

2% 67% +$9

Crypto

1% 50% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	+214	$19	14¢	$30	+$11	10-06 18:10
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+29	$20	79¢	$23	+$3	10-25 13:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+31	$20	70¢	$22	+$2	10-25 13:38
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+31	$20	69¢	$22	+$2	10-25 13:38
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+30	$20	70¢	$21	+$1	10-25 13:38
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+31	$20	46¢	$14	-$6	10-25 13:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	2	$224	212	212	+0	No	+$194	10-05 15:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	3	$165	100	100	+0	open	—	10-09 09:00
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$101	581	0	+581	Yes	-$101	10-07 21:42
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	2	$79	45	45	+0	No	-$1	10-09 09:00
Will Guillaume Langlois win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?	2	$67	44	44	+0	Yes	+$18	10-06 17:56
Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	2	$62	35	35	+0	Yes	+$2	10-06 18:10
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$60	342	0	+342	No	+$282	10-09 09:03
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	10-22 18:03
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$55	174	0	+174	Yes	-$55	10-09 09:01
Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?	2	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$4	10-06 17:56
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	2	$52	29	29	+0	open	—	10-06 18:06
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	2	$50	26	26	+0	Yes	+$2	10-05 08:54
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	2	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$2	10-05 08:54
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 66-70%?	2	$43	69	0	+69	Yes	+$25	10-06 01:31
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	3	$41	402	188	+214	open	—	10-06 18:10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$41	59	0	+59	No	-$41	10-06 18:01
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$40	60	0	+60	Yes	+$20	10-09 10:44
Will Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?	1	$40	308	0	+308	No	-$40	10-13 18:53
Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$40	83	0	+83	No	-$40	10-13 14:43
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$40	56	0	+56	No	+$16	10-15 00:33
Will FK Haugesund vs. Lyn 1896 FK end in a draw?	1	$40	286	0	+286	No	-$40	10-13 16:53
Will Wales vs. Albania end in a draw?	1	$40	333	0	+333	No	-$40	10-13 04:53
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$40	79	0	+79	Yes	-$40	10-13 12:33
Will Austria vs. Kosovo end in a draw?	1	$40	461	0	+461	No	-$40	10-13 14:53
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$40	49	0	+49	Yes	+$9	10-09 23:33
Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-15?	2	$40	133	0	+133	No	-$40	10-15 17:13
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$40	100	0	+100	Yes	-$40	10-15 14:43
Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$10	10-09 23:33
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$40	45	0	+45	Yes	+$5	10-11 17:03
khc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 04 2026 0pt43	2	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	10-18 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:38:57	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x53fa61…
10-25 13:38:54	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x047f3a…
10-25 13:38:50	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe1da25…
10-25 13:38:47	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x2e1db2…
10-25 13:38:44	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xec340d…
10-22 18:03:26	Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x28deb8…
10-22 18:03:24	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x503744…
10-18 01:58:45	dow quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 22 2026 0pt65	Yes	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xd9f6b0…
10-18 01:58:44	unp quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 22 2026 3pt50	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x7d6a2a…
10-18 01:58:41	khc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 04 2026 0pt43	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x3f1aaf…
10-16 23:23:29	mstr quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 29 2026 8pt67	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd8df42…
10-16 23:23:26	csgp quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 27 2026 0pt34	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc691ea…
10-16 23:23:24	czr quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 27 2026 neg0pt09	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x8044b9…
10-16 20:33:14	khc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 04 2026 0pt43	Yes	BUY	41	70¢	$29	0xe77e46…
10-16 20:23:23	will texas roadhouse txrh beat quarterly earnings	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf4d796…
10-16 12:53:24	Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb0f968…
10-15 18:43:16	will ewy reach 157 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x287c72…
10-15 18:43:14	will googl dip to 345 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x41f4ed…
10-15 17:13:17	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x05b52e…
10-15 17:13:14	Atalanta BC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xab006d…
10-15 17:03:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xe3fba5…
10-15 17:03:13	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x28ac53…
10-15 16:53:29	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x56bf8b…
10-15 16:53:26	Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x80a77c…
10-15 16:53:23	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x4c283a…
10-15 16:43:11	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x5d582d…
10-15 16:43:08	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	68	52¢	$35	0xb0998b…
10-15 16:43:05	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x8f72cc…
10-15 15:03:14	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x5d726b…
10-15 14:53:25	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	34	31¢	$11	0x98df49…
10-15 14:43:19	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x9374de…
10-15 14:43:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	96	40¢	$38	0x1ee8ec…
10-15 14:43:14	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xfe7867…
10-15 00:33:23	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xafc260…
10-15 00:05:28	will trump say rural during his midterm rally in montana october 14	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8404bf…
10-14 19:35:30	will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x719aa4…
10-14 19:35:28	will trump say border during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xd1192e…
10-14 19:33:13	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 15 2026 4pt98	No	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x667d73…
10-14 05:13:05	Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xdad749…
10-14 04:03:13	Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xefbe12…
10-14 04:03:10	Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0x935123…
10-14 04:03:07	Will "Green" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x7fd7e3…
10-13 20:53:24	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	117	16¢	$19	0x2876e4…
10-13 18:53:27	Will Bryne FK vs. Raufoss IL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xc409c1…
10-13 18:53:24	Will Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0xd92d0c…
10-13 17:00:49	Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	No	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0xf529c2…
10-13 17:00:48	Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	No	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0xd319b3…
10-13 17:00:48	Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?	No	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0x4314f0…
10-13 16:53:27	Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	135	15¢	$20	0xb79c4b…
10-13 16:53:24	Will FK Haugesund vs. Lyn 1896 FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0x0f03e0…
10-13 16:48:24	will trump say joe during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x29d565…
10-13 15:27:40	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x35ff6a…
10-13 15:26:17	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd82663…
10-13 15:17:43	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x7e929d…
10-13 14:53:32	Will Portugal vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x807614…
10-13 14:53:31	Will Austria vs. Kosovo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	461	9¢	$40	0x423193…
10-13 14:43:13	Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xfd5f58…
10-13 14:41:23	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xe4dda8…
10-13 14:41:23	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x891e4a…
10-13 14:13:07	Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x1218bd…
10-13 13:45:58	will zacharia say america first during the next white house press briefing 20261012	No	BUY	91	16¢	$15	0x7992be…
10-13 13:22:23	will zacharia say go ahead during the next white house press briefing 20261012	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x0925cc…
10-13 13:12:47	will zacharia say go ahead during the next white house press briefing 20261012	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x42ea5a…
10-13 13:10:53	will zacharia say si during the next white house press briefing 20261012	No	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x0093e1…
10-13 12:53:29	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	50	43¢	$21	0x48a1ab…
10-13 12:53:26	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x46b776…
10-13 12:53:25	will trump say transgender during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc758db…
10-13 12:43:19	will trump say america first during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1cc67d…
10-13 12:43:16	will trump say israel during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xef9f03…
10-13 12:43:14	will trump say reagan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x46865d…
10-13 12:33:19	Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xbc8091…
10-13 12:33:16	Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x50296a…
10-13 12:33:14	Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x811214…
10-13 04:53:26	Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	134	14¢	$19	0xb05048…
10-13 04:53:23	Will Wales vs. Albania end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x157c0d…
10-12 21:50:27	Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x7fe796…
10-12 10:10:17	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x9a6243…
10-12 10:10:14	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x740bc2…
10-11 17:13:27	Will FCV Farul Constanţa vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	46	27¢	$12	0x404420…
10-11 17:03:31	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x50bd78…
10-11 17:03:28	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x0d5873…
10-11 12:03:28	Will FCV Farul Constanţa vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x48a906…
10-11 11:54:21	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x5c1835…
10-11 00:43:27	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x0a3394…
10-10 21:33:39	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x77141b…
10-10 21:25:52	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x87cd1a…
10-10 21:23:21	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xcf94d1…
10-10 21:23:18	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xcae7fd…
10-10 21:23:15	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x478a0b…
10-10 06:53:28	Will Trump say "Helicopter" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	36	60¢	$21	0x3a7cbc…
10-10 06:53:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x5595ef…
10-09 23:33:20	Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x2ae101…
10-09 23:33:17	Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0xccbc24…
10-09 23:13:20	Will AS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xbefb49…
10-09 23:13:19	Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xcd99be…
10-09 23:13:16	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x3de7f7…
10-09 13:28:01	Will Trump say "Buffalo" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	47	48¢	$22	0xb6e201…
10-09 13:27:24	Will Trump say "Electricity" or "Electric" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x9fbfc7…
10-09 13:27:21	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x40b79a…
10-09 13:27:19	Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x8d4fe3…