Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.7%

Resolved

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-27 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

65% 12% -$53

Politics

23% 17% -$11

Sports

5% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

2% 0% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	4	$68	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	10-05 05:44
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	3	$60	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 20:26
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	4	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	10-05 06:50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	6	$34	40	40	+0	No	-$2	10-05 06:21
Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+?	4	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 18:54
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 17:47
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	3	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	09-29 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21?	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-20 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	4	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-20 20:14
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-09 20:26
will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by october 31 2026	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 21?	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 19:25
Will George Pickens finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	09-30 15:24
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	10-12 09:48
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?	3	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	10-05 15:06
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 14:43
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-05 08:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-02 19:18
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	3	$22	40	40	+0	Yes	-$15	09-30 15:24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	8	$22	50	50	+0	No	-$1	10-03 18:44
Will Universitatea Craiova finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	3	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	09-30 21:13
will reps lose senate seat in any trump10 state and win in a kamala state	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	09-29 14:38
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?	2	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	10-03 06:04
will grok bot be available on the free plan by october 31 2026	6	$20	60	60	+0	open	—	10-03 18:54
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	3	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-02 18:53
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	7	$19	120	120	+0	open	—	10-15 12:42
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-05 12:15
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-09 19:41
Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 20:04
Will Trevor Lawrence have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	3	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:45:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 18% or more?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x597ca6…
10-27 22:44:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 18% or more?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x4254f7…
10-27 20:29:14	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xbc8176…
10-27 19:48:09	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x06a79b…
10-27 12:09:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x8a6fc0…
10-27 12:08:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x72d706…
10-27 07:27:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x31e521…
10-27 02:09:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xf5c2b1…
10-27 02:08:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xd23921…
10-27 02:05:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x0a238d…
10-27 02:04:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x114238…
10-26 14:53:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xe042ea…
10-26 14:52:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xc4c9df…
10-26 14:52:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x294f8c…
10-26 11:39:09	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xc8c4cb…
10-26 11:27:09	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd9e2be…
10-26 07:09:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x70417b…
10-26 07:03:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x9b4d32…
10-26 07:02:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x98eab9…
10-25 22:47:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xe2f638…
10-24 23:07:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x92fa7c…
10-24 19:26:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x544a0d…
10-24 18:50:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$1	0x67bbc5…
10-24 08:50:27	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x8dab13…
10-23 21:56:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x427e20…
10-23 20:05:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xe44891…
10-23 19:52:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe5e23b…
10-23 19:52:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x4b357f…
10-22 22:00:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xbba084…
10-22 21:59:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x0e3308…
10-22 21:55:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x22c97c…
10-22 21:54:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x1989b3…
10-22 17:18:18	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x8d797f…
10-22 15:22:38	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xcfcfb6…
10-22 15:00:44	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x713f01…
10-22 15:00:42	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3737ec…
10-22 14:46:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x06fcc5…
10-22 11:45:45	Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x99191e…
10-22 11:39:05	Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x77e77f…
10-22 09:17:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0xe579ca…
10-22 09:16:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf2e296…
10-22 09:16:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x9db936…
10-22 08:38:00	Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xfbbe12…
10-22 08:10:54	Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x7b385f…
10-22 06:59:23	Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x1c903c…
10-22 06:58:23	Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x33d0c3…
10-22 04:46:24	Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0xf56028…
10-22 04:45:05	Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xf662cf…
10-22 04:39:36	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xccccd0…
10-22 03:46:57	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x4dd680…
10-22 03:44:42	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xf2288c…
10-22 03:15:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6247f6…
10-22 02:43:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x86a114…
10-22 01:43:15	Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?	No	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0xbbcd56…
10-22 01:42:15	Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?	No	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xf20e1e…
10-22 00:14:26	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x312528…
10-22 00:13:23	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc9c9ac…
10-21 23:24:48	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0xd3fee2…
10-21 22:44:05	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3a7a22…
10-21 22:40:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x398d75…
10-21 22:39:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7099e2…
10-21 22:15:02	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x484b6c…
10-21 19:56:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xc13e02…
10-21 19:54:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x41875f…
10-21 17:00:56	Will Darius Taylor be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb982c2…
10-21 06:15:41	Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa67332…
10-21 05:58:23	Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x8c6505…
10-21 05:02:56	Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x3b59e0…
10-21 05:01:44	Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x4904d6…
10-21 04:53:50	Will Drake London have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf40be6…
10-21 04:50:33	Will Drake London have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd7b46e…
10-21 01:16:39	Will Darius Taylor be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x1d9175…
10-20 23:00:47	Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4583c2…
10-20 22:53:18	Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd4fe56…
10-20 22:27:54	Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x171232…
10-20 20:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xc7919b…
10-20 20:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0x1896e2…
10-20 20:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xf00211…
10-20 20:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa5c894…
10-20 19:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 20?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xe03021…
10-20 19:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x9b8bb9…
10-20 19:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 21?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x517dcf…
10-20 19:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 21?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x3e3290…
10-20 18:54:11	Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+?	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x7d0c86…
10-20 18:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdc9864…
10-20 18:22:06	Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x4f995d…
10-20 18:17:42	Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf028f9…
10-20 18:17:42	Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xe7a432…
10-20 18:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x856bbe…
10-20 17:51:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc75579…
10-20 17:51:35	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x6feec7…
10-20 17:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x8f5905…
10-20 17:47:59	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xec9193…
10-20 17:46:47	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb9efb8…
10-20 16:17:11	Will Anna Leigh Waters win exactly three Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x1e9bdd…
10-20 10:32:17	Will Muamer Tankovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb74c7f…
10-20 09:22:54	Will the LG Twins win the 2026 Korean Series?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xfd0e3f…
10-20 09:03:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xacdd05…
10-20 06:59:08	Will Cap dip to $0.015 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x74456e…
10-20 06:55:20	Will Cap dip to $0.015 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x90d91a…