Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$990

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$166

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 09-04 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

40% 9% -$1,136

Politics

36% 57% +$647

Sports

24% 11% -$501

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No		-114	-$80	96¢	$-110	-$30	07-24 12:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No		-143	-$79	40¢	$-56	+$23	07-24 12:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	2	$473	413	413	+0	Yes	+$323	03-08 21:53
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$288	0	617	-617	Yes	-$329	05-24 20:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$275	232	232	+0	Yes	+$175	03-08 07:44
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	3	$259	458	0	+458	No	+$199	03-11 21:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$234	312	0	+312	No	+$78	02-28 09:47
houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	2	$200	751	0	+751	No	-$200	04-05 19:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$200	2,744	0	+2,744	No	-$200	04-05 19:18
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	2	$189	277	277	+0	No	-$11	03-02 07:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$169	308	0	+308	No	-$169	04-07 13:29
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	1	$152	448	0	+448	No	-$152	03-10 09:51
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$150	333	0	+333	Yes	+$183	02-26 17:54
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	1	$146	434	0	+434	No	-$146	07-04 15:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$138	110	110	+0	Yes	+$70	03-09 14:22
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	1	$137	723	0	+723	No	-$137	07-24 12:09
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	2	$130	1,276	0	+1,276	No	-$130	05-24 20:08
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	1	$100	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$100	04-23 21:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$99	79	79	+0	Yes	-$1	02-26 18:25
f1 chinese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 15	2	$91	670	0	+670	No	-$91	03-13 09:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$81	271	0	+271	Yes	-$81	03-07 13:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	1	$80	0	114	-114	open	—	07-24 12:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	1	$79	0	143	-143	open	—	07-24 12:08
f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	1	$50	517	0	+517	No	-$50	03-17 12:03
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	1	$50	211	0	+211	No	-$50	03-17 12:05
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$50	83	0	+83	No	-$50	03-18 18:31
spx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$35	221	0	+221	Up	-$35	03-02 20:56
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$30	111	0	+111	No	-$30	02-28 13:23
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	1	$20	794	0	+794	No	-$20	02-28 20:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	1	$20	109	0	+109	No	-$20	03-03 14:45
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	1	$16	121	0	+121	No	-$16	09-04 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 08:40:55	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	121	13¢	$16	0x4825c7…
07-24 12:09:46	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	723	19¢	$137	0xa09a10…
07-24 12:08:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	SELL	143	55¢	$79	0x8915d4…
07-24 12:08:12	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	114	70¢	$80	0xc442c3…
07-04 15:11:44	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	434	34¢	$146	0xe36f16…
05-24 20:08:44	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	280	15¢	$42	0x71b026…
05-24 20:07:41	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	996	9¢	$88	0x4205ea…
05-24 20:06:19	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	617	47¢	$288	0x03ee18…
04-23 21:46:34	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x977cd5…
04-07 13:29:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	308	55¢	$169	0x70ac4f…
04-05 19:18:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,732	8¢	$134	0x9ed821…
04-05 19:18:13	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	BUY	447	28¢	$126	0x4d418f…
04-05 18:31:05	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	Yes	BUY	304	24¢	$74	0x035bf7…
04-05 18:29:31	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,012	7¢	$66	0xb746ce…
03-18 18:31:17	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xe2d8f9…
03-17 12:05:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	211	24¢	$50	0x7b5491…
03-17 12:03:57	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	517	10¢	$50	0x068796…
03-13 09:00:07	f1 chinese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	422	12¢	$50	0x6ac08f…
03-11 21:25:05	f1 chinese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	248	17¢	$41	0xd6a7ab…
03-11 21:23:47	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0x7c01af…
03-11 21:22:35	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	BUY	339	57¢	$195	0xf0f103…
03-11 21:20:19	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x0683ed…
03-10 09:51:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	Yes	BUY	448	34¢	$152	0x632590…
03-09 14:22:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0xe959d1…
03-08 21:53:17	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	413	96¢	$398	0x983c1e…
03-08 07:46:59	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	413	18¢	$75	0x4488ae…
03-08 07:44:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	232	97¢	$225	0x575a06…
03-07 13:52:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	271	30¢	$81	0xcbcafa…
03-03 14:45:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0xca5a8f…
03-02 20:56:07	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	203	13¢	$26	0x04565d…
03-02 20:46:19	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x055497…
03-02 09:26:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0x07c2b8…
03-02 07:47:05	will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	277	32¢	$89	0x1745a5…
02-28 20:50:17	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	794	3¢	$20	0xc540c3…
02-28 13:23:21	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xd44bd1…
02-28 09:50:37	will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x132d72…
02-28 09:47:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	312	75¢	$234	0xab34c4…
02-26 18:25:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0x8f60a7…
02-26 18:21:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x0a46c7…
02-26 18:18:56	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	232	22¢	$50	0x6ad9ff…
02-26 17:54:02	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	45¢	$150	0x99e786…