Definite-Mystery-Arrival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

1,820

Trades

2,955

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-28 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$96

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 415 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$804	404	404	-0	Up	+$4	09-09 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$550	556	0	+556	Up	+$6	09-09 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC	4	$510	515	0	+515	Down	+$5	09-09 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-09 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	09-08 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	09-08 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$396	400	0	+400	Down	+$4	09-08 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	09-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$298	150	150	+0	Up	+$1	09-08 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$298	150	150	+0	Up	+$1	09-08 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$294	299	0	+299	Up	+$5	09-08 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	09-08 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	09-08 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$172	174	0	+174	Up	+$2	09-09 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$159	80	80	+0	Up	+$1	09-11 12:04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$159	80	80	+0	Up	+$1	09-11 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$158	80	80	+0	Up	$0	09-11 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$149	75	75	+0	Down	+$1	09-10 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$148	150	0	+150	Up	+$2	09-08 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$148	150	0	+150	Down	+$2	09-08 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$148	150	0	+150	Down	+$2	09-08 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$148	150	0	+150	Up	+$2	09-08 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 06:15 UTC	1	$148	150	0	+150	Down	+$2	09-08 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	5	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	09-10 06:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	09-10 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-08 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-08 03:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$83	75	9	+66	Down	+$1	09-10 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	09-11 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	09-11 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:47:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3fcdbf…
10-28 21:43:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7730a3…
10-28 21:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xba916e…
10-28 21:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6b8f2d…
10-28 21:23:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdf7450…
10-28 21:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc9eac8…
10-28 21:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xcb20e2…
10-28 21:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x663e7c…
10-28 21:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d0949…
10-28 20:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x127a99…
10-28 20:52:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb8ce4d…
10-28 20:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xabc042…
10-28 20:39:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x45d016…
10-28 20:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3d1e6e…
10-28 20:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9aee24…
10-28 20:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcdf496…
10-28 20:17:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcad823…
10-28 20:02:50	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x2dfc79…
10-28 20:02:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d2040…
10-28 20:01:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9bc041…
10-28 19:57:22	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x2bbd77…
10-28 19:57:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x8c74d8…
10-28 19:54:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7a2a57…
10-28 19:48:35	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8454dd…
10-28 19:43:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaed35c…
10-28 19:40:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5e8d9f…
10-28 19:39:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x08fb68…
10-28 19:33:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2928c2…
10-28 19:29:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x88a672…
10-28 19:29:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c8b86…
10-28 19:29:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x27ec88…
10-28 19:24:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x76d743…
10-28 19:23:28	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8ffb0d…
10-28 19:22:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xaea1c3…
10-28 19:22:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9b17c9…
10-28 19:19:22	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4ba517…
10-28 19:12:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x84d222…
10-28 19:09:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe9a87f…
10-28 19:04:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6493fc…
10-28 18:59:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c30e4…
10-28 18:39:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x292bf8…
10-28 18:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x4a70b5…
10-28 18:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x582c2a…
10-28 18:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x10529a…
10-28 18:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc8f8b0…
10-28 18:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb9b46a…
10-28 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x6a15c2…
10-28 13:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb9a662…
10-28 10:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x959291…
10-28 10:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x966c90…
10-27 15:51:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	674	0¢	$1	0x9d2e88…
10-27 15:48:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x638023…
10-27 15:46:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0xc365b1…
10-27 15:46:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0xf60362…
10-27 15:43:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6135e5…
10-27 15:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x7514e8…
10-27 15:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x4676d9…
10-27 13:56:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xeab1a3…
10-27 13:56:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1579ef…
10-27 12:30:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xab794d…
10-27 12:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd35266…
10-27 12:24:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0390a7…
10-27 12:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x93b82c…
10-27 12:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x732f88…
10-27 12:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xb95627…
10-27 12:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x685aa1…
10-27 12:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x397f84…
10-27 08:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x6af59c…
10-27 08:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9a8853…
10-27 08:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x03d35c…
10-27 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x294d6b…
10-27 06:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x19a6e0…
10-27 06:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc50cb6…
10-27 06:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf0731b…
10-27 06:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xf6575d…
10-27 06:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb1e8b5…
10-27 05:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x87deeb…
10-27 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xea48c1…
10-27 05:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa3e5f3…
10-27 05:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xacac6c…
10-27 03:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xcf2464…
10-27 03:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb55482…
10-27 03:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x86b9f7…
10-27 03:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3d0600…
10-27 03:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x06887b…
10-27 03:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbd575e…
10-26 15:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcfffc8…
10-26 10:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x40fa99…
10-26 10:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4b2f0b…
10-26 10:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe00c3f…
10-26 09:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xf0d8e9…
10-26 09:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x1040bc…
10-26 08:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x94ddac…
10-26 08:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xaac901…
10-26 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x530bc5…
10-26 08:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x358ea1…
10-26 08:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x009815…
10-26 08:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x56cfbb…
10-26 07:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb80234…
10-26 07:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x7f63f6…