Realized P&L
-$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$84
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
170
Trades
1,023
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.35K
Open exposure
$10
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
56%
89%
-$15,915
Crypto
18%
100%
+$7,897
Politics
16%
81%
+$2,073
Tech
9%
100%
+$4,701
Sports
1%
33%
+$91
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | -700 | -$77 | 1¢ | $-9 | +$68 | 06-22 05:36 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -500 | -$16 | 0¢ | $-1 | +$16 | 07-02 00:55 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 230 | $152.1K | 92,434 | 92,265 | +168 | Yes | -$16,764 | 03-18 03:26 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 2 | $109.7K | 110,000 | 0 | +110,000 | Yes | +$295 | 02-01 14:08 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 2 | $99.6K | 50,000 | 50,000 | +0 | No | +$200 | 01-14 00:53 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 10 | $90.5K | 90,196 | 3,500 | +86,696 | No | +$2,600 | 03-06 07:52 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 18 | $65.6K | 57,615 | 10,000 | +47,615 | No | +$1,237 | 03-25 10:21 |
| will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846 | 87 | $61.9K | 31,404 | 31,404 | +0 | Yes | +$847 | 02-28 06:25 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 46 | $60.1K | 61,337 | 0 | +61,337 | No | +$1,226 | 02-28 07:02 |
| elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 180 199 | 1 | $48.9K | 48,934 | 0 | +48,934 | No | +$49 | 03-19 15:03 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 4 | $46.3K | 46,000 | 1,000 | +45,000 | Yes | +$75 | 02-28 07:35 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988 | 70 | $41.2K | 20,688 | 20,688 | +0 | No | +$148 | 02-28 06:52 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 11 | $39.7K | 20,165 | 20,165 | +0 | No | +$544 | 01-28 02:51 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 6 | $38.8K | 39,411 | 0 | +39,411 | No | +$182 | 01-28 06:38 |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | 17 | $30.8K | 32,298 | 0 | +32,298 | No | +$1,460 | 02-23 15:10 |
| will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323 | 3 | $28.6K | 29,169 | 0 | +29,169 | Yes | +$568 | 03-19 02:26 |
| will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026 | 4 | $24.2K | 24,403 | 0 | +24,403 | No | +$188 | 01-29 10:56 |
| elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 260 279 | 2 | $18.4K | 18,463 | 0 | +18,463 | No | +$18 | 01-15 09:00 |
| will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784 | 6 | $16.9K | 19,710 | 0 | +19,710 | No | +$2,779 | 02-15 06:31 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 3 | $16.2K | 16,337 | 0 | +16,337 | No | +$182 | 03-25 10:23 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 1 | $13.9K | 13,976 | 0 | +13,976 | No | +$57 | 03-25 10:22 |
| f1 australian grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 07 | 11 | $12.9K | 13,065 | 0 | +13,065 | No | +$157 | 03-07 22:08 |
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 5 | $12.6K | 12,728 | 0 | +12,728 | No | +$117 | 03-16 02:41 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | 2 | $12.0K | 12,359 | 0 | +12,359 | Yes | +$330 | 02-27 13:29 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 16 | $11.4K | 11,521 | 0 | +11,521 | No | +$84 | 01-01 04:37 |
| elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259 | 1 | $10.5K | 10,528 | 0 | +10,528 | No | +$21 | 02-09 15:16 |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026? | 1 | $9.9K | 9,885 | 0 | +9,885 | Yes | +$10 | 02-28 07:35 |
| will tariffs generate 250b in 2025 | 13 | $9.6K | 9,688 | 0 | +9,688 | No | +$118 | 01-29 10:53 |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | 2 | $9.1K | 9,169 | 0 | +9,169 | Yes | +$111 | 03-06 10:06 |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | 1 | $8.9K | 8,926 | 0 | +8,926 | Yes | +$9 | 02-28 07:34 |
| will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449 | 2 | $8.8K | 8,883 | 0 | +8,883 | No | +$90 | 02-10 17:08 |
| Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | 1 | $8.2K | 8,660 | 0 | +8,660 | No | +$416 | 02-24 10:06 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||