Muffled-Bowler — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3.69K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved (90d)

9,236

Trades (90d)

37,591

69,166 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$223.2K

$292.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-24 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$5,822

Other

1% 56% -$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 2469 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$854	882	+882	Up	+$9	09-12 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$528	645	+645	Up	-$433	09-13 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$482	575	+575	Up	-$163	09-03 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	25	$433	830	+830	Up	+$15	08-24 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$380	444	+444	Up	-$310	09-13 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$357	441	+441	Down	+$0	09-12 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$333	451	+451	Down	+$46	09-13 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$324	430	+430	Down	+$5	09-12 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$301	396	+396	Down	-$238	09-13 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$297	350	+350	Down	-$1	09-03 22:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$294	364	+364	Up	+$17	09-04 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$294	393	+393	Up	+$37	09-13 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$294	397	+397	Down	+$0	09-08 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$293	321	+321	Up	-$28	09-04 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$292	358	+358	Down	+$12	09-03 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$291	384	+384	Up	+$39	09-03 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$285	375	+375	Up	-$233	09-03 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$282	346	+346	Down	+$9	09-03 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$279	362	+362	Up	+$22	09-03 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$278	359	+359	Up	+$28	09-03 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:00 UTC	6	$277	17,221	+17,221	Down	-$136	09-22 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$276	398	+398	Up	+$67	09-03 14:38
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$274	331	+331	Down	-$239	09-04 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$273	348	+348	Down	+$22	09-03 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$266	325	+325	Down	+$14	09-10 00:13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$265	282	+282	Down	-$237	09-03 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$265	294	+294	Down	-$18	09-13 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	24	$264	443	+443	Down	-$63	08-24 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 03:55 UTC	16	$260	312	+312	Down	-$235	08-14 03:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$259	267	+267	Down	+$3	09-02 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 22:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x3a9ace…
10-24 22:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x4ebc17…
10-24 22:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x6ea3ef…
10-24 22:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	10¢	$6	0x5fd595…
10-06 04:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x32c213…
10-06 04:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	36	58¢	$21	0xc0b416…
10-06 04:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xcc8769…
10-06 04:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x719430…
10-06 04:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x20ddf3…
10-06 04:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3f39d3…
10-06 04:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x2de2f4…
10-06 04:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x543bd8…
10-06 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xfe1730…
10-06 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd9fb2f…
10-06 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x94e819…
10-06 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x848ae6…
10-06 04:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x614736…
10-06 04:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xef917c…
10-06 04:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x8b4a21…
10-06 04:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x72ee7d…
10-06 04:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x8115b5…
10-06 04:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xf22f05…
10-06 04:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x3d2688…
10-06 04:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x9352d7…
10-06 03:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x4de52d…
10-06 03:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x1c497f…
10-06 03:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xdd406f…
10-06 03:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x690227…
10-06 03:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xbcaf84…
10-06 03:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0x874c3a…
10-06 03:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x9e6bb1…
10-06 03:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xfc9a5d…
10-06 03:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xc13a6b…
10-06 03:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x03600d…
10-06 03:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xcba37f…
10-06 03:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x500351…
10-06 03:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x1e8d89…
10-06 03:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xda188d…
10-06 03:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xfdb58f…
10-06 03:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x5ad0a0…
10-06 03:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x058f15…
10-06 03:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xdfbfe0…
10-06 03:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x33b694…
10-06 03:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x244a61…
10-06 03:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xc45d19…
10-06 03:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xddf145…
10-06 03:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x663419…
10-06 03:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x63c97a…
10-06 03:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x070bf6…
10-06 03:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0x99cef9…
10-06 03:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x6ebfb5…
10-06 03:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf52441…
10-06 03:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe89c8b…
10-06 03:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0xfe3351…
10-06 03:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xb8eb9c…
10-06 03:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf358fa…
10-06 03:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x01da7c…
10-06 03:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1fd931…
10-06 02:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x4f357d…
10-06 02:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x693af7…
10-06 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x546ff3…
10-06 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x0b1dd0…
10-06 02:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0c575e…
10-06 02:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x75f4a7…
10-06 02:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6e0efc…
10-06 02:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb8a945…
10-06 02:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xcf82d5…
10-06 02:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x2d78b8…
10-06 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa9d126…
10-06 02:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x810358…
10-06 02:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8c5c35…
10-06 02:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x7ff7a8…
10-06 02:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x555aba…
10-06 02:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x820b08…
10-06 02:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x7117bc…
10-06 02:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7e9f6d…
10-06 02:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xa5abe8…
10-06 02:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8f5190…
10-06 02:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf69dc6…
10-06 02:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x4aef21…
10-06 02:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x12472d…
10-06 02:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc22fd0…
10-06 02:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa97900…
10-06 02:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1f0be1…
10-06 02:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xbdddf1…
10-06 02:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa95cfb…
10-06 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x1de755…
10-06 02:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xaa334b…
10-06 02:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc12e20…
10-06 02:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x7a9b66…
10-06 02:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9c5ddf…
10-06 02:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x22e7f1…
10-06 02:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8b59db…
10-06 01:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x179963…
10-06 01:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x142b23…
10-06 01:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x126295…
10-06 01:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xbfb0ab…
10-06 01:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4a19b0…
10-06 01:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x08b31f…
10-06 01:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3f1378…