Physical-Flat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-16 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 71% -$6

Other

47% 44% -$84

Sports

2% 50% -$6

Politics

1% 50% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:30 UTC	8	$1.1K	771	762	+9	Down	+$33	02-07 14:42
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	4	$837	522	522	+0	Yes	-$10	01-27 16:49
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	4	$384	215	215	+0	Yes	-$13	01-26 16:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	7	$233	146	145	+1	Down	+$14	02-07 14:59
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	2	$206	119	119	+0	Yes	+$6	01-24 14:46
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	5	$184	154	154	+0	No	+$1	01-26 15:08
bitcoin up or down february 7 9am et	6	$122	118	118	+0	Down	+$2	02-07 14:21
bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	6	$109	134	134	+0	Down	+$9	02-07 16:42
bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	7	$104	116	60	+57	Down	-$19	01-30 20:35
bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	15	$82	190	190	+0	Up	-$14	02-10 16:21
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	2	$62	84	84	+0	No	-$34	01-27 16:30
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$60	84	0	+84	Yes	+$24	05-08 14:08
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	4	$60	45	45	+0	No	+$4	01-22 18:53
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	4	$45	40	40	+0	Down	-$7	01-23 13:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	6	$42	80	80	+0	Down	-$1	02-09 23:30
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	3	$41	23	23	+0	No	+$1	02-07 14:30
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	2	$40	23	23	+0	No	+$0	01-28 00:20
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	2	$36	25	25	+0	Yes	-$5	01-30 16:09
bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	10	$36	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	02-10 18:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	8	$35	39	33	+6	Down	+$1	02-10 18:23
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	01-23 16:51
bitcoin up or down february 10 9am et	2	$34	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	02-10 15:00
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 90 114	2	$34	62	62	+0	No	+$3	01-30 18:09
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	2	$32	188	188	+0	No	+$2	01-23 16:12
bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	7	$31	72	72	+0	Down	+$3	02-09 20:46
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$30	18	18	+0	No	+$3	01-15 19:32
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	72	0	+72	No	-$30	07-16 13:57
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	1	$29	0	38	-38	No	-$10	01-22 06:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:00 UTC	4	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	02-10 18:15
bitcoin up or down february 9 1pm et	3	$21	46	33	+13	Down	+$4	02-09 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 13:57:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x201f4c…
06-12 20:41:42	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x64b2fb…
06-12 18:57:52	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x07f4e5…
05-08 14:30:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x020da1…
05-08 14:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x6df9bf…
05-08 14:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x424ea1…
05-08 14:08:18	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	84	72¢	$60	0x997261…
02-10 20:36:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x620468…
02-10 20:36:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x97f111…
02-10 20:32:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x71bd25…
02-10 20:30:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf05725…
02-10 20:28:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x637c05…
02-10 18:45:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4a6693…
02-10 18:40:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x4cf647…
02-10 18:23:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe202fa…
02-10 18:22:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7c64e9…
02-10 18:21:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x08a3db…
02-10 18:19:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xc972a2…
02-10 18:18:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x652a63…
02-10 18:17:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x704084…
02-10 18:17:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x339de5…
02-10 18:17:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8f7742…
02-10 18:15:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7191ee…
02-10 18:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7e1dbe…
02-10 18:04:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x9fff71…
02-10 18:03:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x2aa081…
02-10 18:01:03	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x40e507…
02-10 17:46:19	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x95ce1a…
02-10 17:36:27	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xd8f7a4…
02-10 17:35:27	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8c83d7…
02-10 17:33:35	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Down	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x8dd900…
02-10 17:32:33	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x854e33…
02-10 17:32:11	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x030cad…
02-10 17:28:09	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc2a776…
02-10 17:27:51	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xe1250d…
02-10 17:27:21	bitcoin up or down february 10 12pm et	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x083360…
02-10 16:56:31	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xfea2a0…
02-10 16:56:05	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x936659…
02-10 16:55:03	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0x744a32…
02-10 16:54:45	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x86c68b…
02-10 16:54:21	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x2df5ff…
02-10 16:54:07	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x162ddc…
02-10 16:52:25	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xbbb3de…
02-10 16:21:55	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0ea3dd…
02-10 16:21:35	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x163a9c…
02-10 15:42:25	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xff46a5…
02-10 15:40:15	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0xb976af…
02-10 15:39:01	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x9ee2f6…
02-10 15:26:49	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	74	11¢	$8	0xe2d73f…
02-10 15:21:35	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9a212f…
02-10 15:19:19	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6586c8…
02-10 15:19:07	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Up	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xc7f431…
02-10 15:16:31	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x7bbaab…
02-10 15:15:55	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe7262b…
02-10 15:11:33	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xdc3b00…
02-10 15:09:53	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0xfc60cb…
02-10 15:08:49	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x86a332…
02-10 15:03:01	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x82b204…
02-10 15:01:35	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x274162…
02-10 15:00:43	bitcoin up or down february 10 9am et	Down	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x942f48…
02-10 14:56:55	bitcoin up or down february 10 9am et	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x783729…
02-09 23:30:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x339c77…
02-09 23:27:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x1b2efa…
02-09 23:27:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xfc5d8d…
02-09 23:25:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1f152f…
02-09 23:23:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x4e711f…
02-09 23:23:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x79a2b4…
02-09 23:20:41	bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x715f93…
02-09 23:20:05	bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdbed17…
02-09 23:19:27	bitcoin up or down february 9 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf07c16…
02-09 22:55:59	bitcoin up or down february 9 5pm et	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xd60c18…
02-09 22:55:33	bitcoin up or down february 9 5pm et	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe6a1dc…
02-09 20:46:59	bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	Up	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0xc6d44f…
02-09 20:46:15	bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x551cdc…
02-09 20:45:49	bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x2f1a00…
02-09 20:43:57	bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc2ec3b…
02-09 20:43:29	bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	Up	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xb4dfc9…
02-09 20:43:27	bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x505b12…
02-09 20:42:17	bitcoin up or down february 9 3pm et	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7dab98…
02-09 18:32:13	bitcoin up or down february 9 1pm et	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf9a718…
02-09 18:31:17	bitcoin up or down february 9 1pm et	Up	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x6b8d3d…
02-09 18:30:45	bitcoin up or down february 9 1pm et	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x22c2c6…
02-07 16:45:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf5de5b…
02-07 16:42:31	bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	Down	SELL	52	29¢	$15	0xe6aa68…
02-07 16:18:27	bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x18f5f6…
02-07 16:05:15	bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	Up	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x0769f4…
02-07 16:04:27	bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x524649…
02-07 16:03:51	bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	Down	SELL	42	51¢	$21	0x04def0…
02-07 16:03:15	bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa979f6…
02-07 14:59:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x31e911…
02-07 14:55:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x052f18…
02-07 14:53:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0xc0c6d9…
02-07 14:50:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x9f7181…
02-07 14:47:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x2888b9…
02-07 14:47:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	46	74¢	$34	0xa3939a…
02-07 14:47:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x30f644…
02-07 14:42:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xd40d76…
02-07 14:40:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x26c0f4…
02-07 14:37:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	618	73¢	$451	0xe57025…
02-07 14:36:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	63	49¢	$31	0x1e5a91…