Warm-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,662

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-15 00:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-73

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 914 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	29	$238	130	200	-70	open	—	05-02 18:54
btc updown 15m 1775768400	7	$214	231	215	+16	open	—	04-09 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	23	$183	757	0	+757	open	—	05-23 14:03
btc updown 15m 1774560600	20	$154	125	124	+1	open	—	03-26 21:42
eth updown 15m 1774370700	57	$124	134	133	+1	open	—	03-24 16:53
btc updown 15m 1775692800	46	$122	289	0	+289	open	—	04-09 00:11
eth updown 5m 1775322300	2	$118	128	0	+128	open	—	04-04 17:09
eth updown 15m 1774378800	35	$114	205	146	+58	open	—	03-24 19:02
eth updown 15m 1774380600	29	$112	157	155	+2	open	—	03-24 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$111	122	56	+66	open	—	05-15 11:13
btc updown 5m 1775851500	11	$109	119	50	+69	open	—	04-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	43	$108	409	0	+409	open	—	05-02 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$106	91	91	+0	open	—	05-23 14:49
btc updown 5m 1775678400	12	$106	229	30	+199	open	—	04-08 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	14	$101	96	57	+38	open	—	05-23 14:33
btc updown 5m 1782944100	26	$95	130	60	+70	open	—	07-01 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	14	$89	111	34	+77	open	—	05-15 11:04
btc updown 5m 1782953400	15	$87	131	131	+0	open	—	07-02 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	38	$87	161	0	+161	open	—	05-03 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	40	$86	222	0	+222	open	—	05-02 15:43
btc updown 5m 1775693100	30	$83	225	0	+225	open	—	04-09 00:09
btc updown 5m 1782949200	21	$82	109	49	+60	open	—	07-01 23:44
eth updown 15m 1774379700	27	$81	124	92	+32	open	—	03-24 19:23
btc updown 15m 1781003700	8	$81	80	80	+0	open	—	06-09 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	31	$79	143	0	+143	open	—	05-19 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$79	66	66	+0	Up	+$50	05-12 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	21	$78	214	46	+168	open	—	05-18 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	36	$78	195	0	+195	open	—	05-02 11:23
btc updown 5m 1775674800	5	$75	147	0	+147	open	—	04-08 19:00
btc updown 5m 1784073600	16	$74	98	59	+39	open	—	07-15 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 00:27:17	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x8c42f8…
07-15 00:27:14	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x5d5188…
07-15 00:27:11	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x88570d…
07-15 00:27:10	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x6e7bfd…
07-15 00:27:05	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe81066…
07-15 00:27:02	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb578ff…
07-15 00:26:59	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x652d3d…
07-15 00:26:56	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc20cf3…
07-15 00:26:53	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4ebb28…
07-15 00:26:50	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x8ed771…
07-15 00:26:47	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xf43adf…
07-15 00:26:44	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xae634f…
07-15 00:26:41	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x691c00…
07-15 00:26:38	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xd3c041…
07-15 00:26:35	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4db098…
07-15 00:26:31	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x800855…
07-15 00:26:28	btc updown 5m 1784075100	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x7caffc…
07-15 00:23:20	btc updown 5m 1784074800	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x811cd1…
07-15 00:02:53	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1557d0…
07-15 00:02:28	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xde9cf3…
07-15 00:02:28	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc1b1a8…
07-15 00:02:28	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x23ff7d…
07-15 00:02:26	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x9447af…
07-15 00:02:17	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xb37b7b…
07-15 00:01:31	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x1d262a…
07-15 00:01:25	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x986de0…
07-15 00:01:17	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x4860ff…
07-15 00:01:13	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xae47f8…
07-15 00:01:13	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x3b4ac7…
07-15 00:01:08	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x4c423c…
07-15 00:01:05	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x607a67…
07-15 00:00:58	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0xdd3774…
07-15 00:00:19	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x3f60ef…
07-15 00:00:11	btc updown 5m 1784073600	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x891a07…
07-14 23:56:53	btc updown 5m 1784073300	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc5f18f…
07-14 23:56:34	btc updown 5m 1784073300	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8ef1cc…
07-14 23:56:25	btc updown 5m 1784073300	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0ee442…
07-14 23:55:58	btc updown 5m 1784073300	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x2ae864…
07-14 23:53:40	btc updown 5m 1784073000	Down	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x9f7f87…
07-14 23:53:26	btc updown 5m 1784073000	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x77769c…
07-14 23:51:58	btc updown 5m 1784073000	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x96e505…
07-14 23:51:50	btc updown 5m 1784073000	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x4b1199…
07-14 23:51:49	btc updown 5m 1784073000	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb7558e…
07-02 23:47:16	btc updown 5m 1783035900	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x4c80fe…
07-02 23:46:11	btc updown 5m 1783035900	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xf5f1b8…
07-02 23:46:11	btc updown 5m 1783035900	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x581b07…
07-02 23:44:56	btc updown 5m 1783035600	Up	BUY	52	5¢	$2	0x2edd1b…
07-02 23:44:43	btc updown 5m 1783035600	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xb1c9da…
07-02 23:41:37	btc updown 5m 1783035600	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xc57951…
07-02 23:40:44	btc updown 5m 1783035600	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x46f261…
07-02 23:26:58	btc updown 5m 1783034700	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x283f10…
07-02 23:26:07	btc updown 5m 1783034700	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x9c4b90…
07-02 23:26:07	btc updown 5m 1783034700	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x45884d…
07-02 23:05:20	btc updown 5m 1783033500	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc77af5…
07-02 22:58:10	btc updown 5m 1783032900	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x270b85…
07-02 22:57:07	btc updown 5m 1783032900	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x50d110…
07-02 22:56:58	btc updown 5m 1783032900	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x74529b…
07-02 22:55:31	btc updown 5m 1783032900	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x9846b3…
07-02 22:54:41	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6fff87…
07-02 22:54:28	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x3a7914…
07-02 22:53:47	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xaed324…
07-02 22:53:29	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x851638…
07-02 22:53:23	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xb203f0…
07-02 22:53:23	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2e16be…
07-02 22:53:22	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xcc24eb…
07-02 22:53:19	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xc24a64…
07-02 22:53:16	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf0e704…
07-02 22:53:11	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x3cb588…
07-02 22:51:37	btc updown 5m 1783032600	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xd59ce0…
07-02 22:45:59	btc updown 5m 1783032300	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xca40e4…
07-02 22:45:58	btc updown 5m 1783032300	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xcaf0be…
07-02 22:40:14	btc updown 5m 1783032000	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x215e44…
07-02 22:39:37	btc updown 5m 1783031700	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xb9d6ca…
07-02 22:38:44	btc updown 5m 1783031700	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe338f4…
07-02 22:38:41	btc updown 5m 1783031700	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x2d4ed1…
07-02 22:38:35	btc updown 5m 1783031700	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc3a6b0…
07-02 22:38:34	btc updown 5m 1783031700	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x13b95e…
07-02 22:18:02	btc updown 5m 1783030500	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x7b8bd6…
07-02 22:16:10	btc updown 5m 1783030500	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x2097e1…
07-02 22:12:29	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x42ab22…
07-02 22:12:14	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xc13c27…
07-02 22:10:32	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x3a02e4…
07-02 22:10:20	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x7602b2…
07-02 22:10:14	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x8a0861…
07-02 22:09:52	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x7870c3…
07-02 22:09:43	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Down	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0x901cfa…
07-02 22:09:05	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xe9c4ce…
07-02 22:08:44	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xe8cb36…
07-02 22:08:41	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe0d038…
07-02 22:08:04	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x68bad1…
07-02 22:03:59	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Up	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0xb01b41…
07-02 22:03:37	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Up	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x803486…
07-02 22:03:35	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x8d9270…
07-02 22:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Up	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x19efff…
07-02 22:03:20	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Up	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xf3830a…
07-02 22:03:19	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf355e5…
07-02 22:03:17	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf05138…
07-02 22:03:16	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Up	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0xa34cfa…
07-02 22:03:16	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x08338d…
07-02 22:03:13	btc updown 5m 1783029600	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd699d1…