Warm-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$969

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

1,747

Trades

8,356

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-14 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% -$959

Other

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	29	$238	130	200	-70	Up	+$4	05-02 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	7	$214	231	215	+16	Down	+$214	04-09 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	23	$183	757	0	+757	Down	-$83	05-23 14:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 21:30 UTC	20	$154	125	124	+1	Down	-$1	03-26 21:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 16:45 UTC	57	$124	134	133	+1	Down	-$7	03-24 16:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 00:00 UTC	46	$122	289	0	+289	Down	-$34	04-09 00:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:05 UTC	2	$118	128	0	+128	Up	+$9	04-04 17:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:00 UTC	35	$114	205	146	+58	Up	-$11	03-24 19:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC	29	$112	157	155	+2	Down	+$15	03-24 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$111	122	56	+66	Up	-$11	05-15 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:05 UTC	11	$109	119	50	+69	Down	+$4	04-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	43	$108	409	0	+409	Down	-$33	05-02 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$106	91	91	+0	Down	+$8	05-23 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 20:00 UTC	12	$106	229	30	+199	Up	-$36	04-08 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	14	$101	96	57	+38	Up	+$3	05-23 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:15 UTC	26	$95	130	60	+70	Up	+$23	07-01 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:20 UTC	35	$93	110	85	+25	Down	+$7	08-03 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	42	$91	220	0	+220	Up	+$33	05-02 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	14	$89	111	34	+77	Down	-$22	05-15 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 00:50 UTC	15	$87	131	131	+0	Down	+$6	07-02 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	38	$87	161	0	+161	Down	-$23	05-03 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	40	$86	222	0	+222	Up	-$28	05-02 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:05 UTC	30	$83	225	0	+225	Up	-$22	04-09 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:40 UTC	21	$82	109	49	+60	Up	-$8	07-01 23:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:15 UTC	27	$81	124	92	+32	Down	-$6	03-24 19:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 11:15 UTC	8	$81	80	80	+0	Up	+$13	06-09 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	31	$79	143	0	+143	Down	-$16	05-19 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$79	66	66	+0	Up	+$50	05-12 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	21	$78	214	46	+168	Up	+$13	05-18 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:45 UTC	28	$76	90	65	+25	Down	-$2	08-03 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 11:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x6aea7e…
10-14 11:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x277670…
10-11 20:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0a6dec…
10-11 20:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb4a3bb…
10-11 19:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5d2056…
10-11 18:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x13523e…
10-11 18:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88c6d5…
10-11 18:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x283bc1…
10-11 17:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x739d13…
10-11 17:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x946ea0…
10-11 16:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x0663df…
10-11 16:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd4c29e…
10-06 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x8d98e7…
10-06 18:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xac1498…
10-06 18:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xa7acc7…
10-06 18:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1222b7…
10-06 18:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xe1b1a8…
10-06 18:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb7775f…
10-06 18:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf4e7d1…
10-06 18:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x229197…
10-06 18:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xd2c9b7…
10-06 18:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2a1ce1…
10-06 18:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x5f315f…
10-06 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x80e1dd…
10-06 18:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xbe171e…
10-06 18:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb285f3…
10-06 18:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb3bb71…
10-06 18:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x41f77c…
10-06 18:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xc0fb3e…
10-06 18:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb92c56…
10-06 18:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xafe9e3…
10-06 18:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbe5f63…
10-06 15:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8cfa2c…
10-06 15:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x185a0a…
10-06 15:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa0fd65…
10-06 15:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6bf6e8…
10-06 15:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5374b0…
10-06 14:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x274f47…
10-06 14:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4a8434…
10-06 14:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf5bda3…
10-06 14:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfa1a8c…
10-06 14:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7b5559…
10-06 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5bb713…
10-06 14:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x46ee90…
10-06 14:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x248477…
10-06 14:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4a492d…
10-06 14:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9d4d3e…
10-06 14:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfb0776…
10-06 14:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x172ff1…
10-06 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb1c7c5…
10-06 14:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x08bee7…
10-06 14:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xde0321…
10-06 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3ce37f…
10-06 14:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8e36f6…
10-06 14:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xfe2caf…
10-06 14:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x197efb…
10-06 14:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcbcf10…
10-06 14:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfb38e8…
10-06 14:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xf12865…
10-06 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2b7da7…
10-06 14:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2b984c…
10-06 14:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5ff4bb…
10-06 14:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xea9156…
10-06 14:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5b2ac7…
10-06 14:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x437dad…
10-06 14:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xbf43fb…
10-06 14:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaf4771…
10-06 14:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x8fbf17…
10-06 14:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbaef38…
10-06 14:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x1d76e3…
10-06 14:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe0394f…
10-06 14:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x506fcb…
10-06 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xb3fb41…
10-06 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x86f254…
10-06 14:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6363b4…
10-06 14:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xed2457…
10-06 14:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0aff2e…
10-06 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbd2490…
10-06 14:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f3d9b…
10-06 14:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x5b2e69…
10-06 14:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd68413…
10-06 14:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3612e9…
10-06 14:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd41fa9…
10-06 14:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x89b3ec…
10-06 14:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc64860…
10-06 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xea8783…
10-06 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xfdd765…
10-06 14:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x462591…
10-06 14:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xadd65c…
10-06 14:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x21fa0f…
10-06 14:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc32776…
10-06 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x74c68e…
10-06 14:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5b1352…
10-06 14:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xc37957…
10-06 14:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2c2629…
10-06 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3f1896…
10-06 14:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1dfaa8…
10-06 14:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x92b2b8…
10-06 14:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5e73d5…
10-06 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x75ef25…