Warm-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,291

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-25 00:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-73

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 914 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	29	$238	130	200	-70	open	—	05-02 18:54
btc updown 15m 1775768400	7	$214	231	215	+16	open	—	04-09 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	23	$183	757	0	+757	open	—	05-23 14:03
btc updown 15m 1774560600	20	$154	125	124	+1	open	—	03-26 21:42
eth updown 15m 1774370700	57	$124	134	133	+1	open	—	03-24 16:53
btc updown 15m 1775692800	46	$122	289	0	+289	open	—	04-09 00:11
eth updown 5m 1775322300	2	$118	128	0	+128	open	—	04-04 17:09
eth updown 15m 1774378800	35	$114	205	146	+58	open	—	03-24 19:02
eth updown 15m 1774380600	29	$112	157	155	+2	open	—	03-24 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	16	$111	122	56	+66	open	—	05-15 11:13
btc updown 5m 1775851500	11	$109	119	50	+69	open	—	04-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	43	$108	409	0	+409	open	—	05-02 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$106	91	91	+0	open	—	05-23 14:49
btc updown 5m 1775678400	12	$106	229	30	+199	open	—	04-08 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	14	$101	96	57	+38	open	—	05-23 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	14	$89	111	34	+77	open	—	05-15 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	38	$87	161	0	+161	open	—	05-03 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	40	$86	222	0	+222	open	—	05-02 15:43
btc updown 5m 1775693100	30	$83	225	0	+225	open	—	04-09 00:09
eth updown 15m 1774379700	27	$81	124	92	+32	open	—	03-24 19:23
btc updown 15m 1781003700	8	$81	80	80	+0	open	—	06-09 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	31	$79	143	0	+143	open	—	05-19 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$79	66	66	+0	Up	+$50	05-12 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	21	$78	214	46	+168	open	—	05-18 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	36	$78	195	0	+195	open	—	05-02 11:23
btc updown 5m 1775674800	5	$75	147	0	+147	open	—	04-08 19:00
btc updown 15m 1774561500	10	$74	57	56	+1	open	—	03-26 21:51
btc updown 15m 1774363500	8	$73	54	56	-2	open	—	03-24 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	10	$72	41	50	-9	open	—	05-02 16:29
btc updown 5m 1775682900	6	$71	320	0	+320	open	—	04-08 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 00:37:31	btc updown 5m 1782347700	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8ac4e1…
06-25 00:37:22	btc updown 5m 1782347700	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1f4335…
06-25 00:37:20	btc updown 5m 1782347700	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xb03ab7…
06-25 00:36:08	btc updown 5m 1782347700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdfde67…
06-25 00:35:59	btc updown 5m 1782347700	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xe47444…
06-24 23:50:52	btc updown 5m 1782345000	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd40e67…
06-24 23:50:49	btc updown 5m 1782345000	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6aac2e…
06-24 23:50:35	btc updown 5m 1782345000	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x936101…
06-09 11:22:12	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0x127b9a…
06-09 11:18:54	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xcc20de…
06-09 11:18:54	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x887dee…
06-09 11:18:54	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4d527e…
06-09 11:18:54	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1424d9…
06-09 11:18:00	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x729fdd…
06-09 11:17:58	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xab7724…
06-09 11:15:33	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x716bc0…
06-09 10:56:00	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Down	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xcd066b…
06-09 10:55:58	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8aecc1…
06-09 10:55:58	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x7f427c…
06-09 10:55:57	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xcf78f6…
06-09 10:55:57	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Down	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x6788f8…
06-09 10:55:57	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x5e4fbf…
06-09 10:55:28	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x37f3e9…
06-09 10:55:27	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf7f3c7…
06-09 10:55:27	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Down	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xe01518…
06-04 00:45:13	eth updown 15m 1780533900	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc99834…
06-04 00:41:31	btc updown 5m 1780533600	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xab643b…
06-04 00:40:19	eth updown 5m 1780533600	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x0abb92…
06-04 00:30:21	sol updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x68dc02…
06-04 00:30:16	eth updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x127b97…
06-04 00:30:13	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x14260d…
06-04 00:30:10	eth updown 5m 1780533000	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x3c3889…
06-04 00:30:09	eth updown 5m 1780533000	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x8db120…
06-04 00:25:09	eth updown 5m 1780532700	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x03d484…
06-04 00:22:16	eth updown 5m 1780532400	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xcf6427…
06-04 00:17:16	eth updown 5m 1780532100	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xa9cd5d…
06-04 00:15:52	eth updown 5m 1780532100	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xa00134…
06-04 00:12:25	eth updown 5m 1780531800	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xa0fdd5…
06-04 00:10:33	eth updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x29f0a7…
06-04 00:05:46	eth updown 5m 1780531500	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x7374d8…
06-04 00:00:13	eth updown 5m 1780531200	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xa0b68f…
06-03 23:58:13	eth updown 5m 1780530900	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xf55996…
06-03 23:53:16	eth updown 5m 1780530600	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x96c83e…
06-03 23:50:36	eth updown 5m 1780530600	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x2646e2…
06-03 23:49:06	btc updown 15m 1780530300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x711835…
06-03 23:49:04	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xed9a48…
06-03 23:41:12	eth updown 5m 1780530000	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe0e8ef…
06-03 23:36:46	eth updown 5m 1780529700	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x680760…
06-03 23:31:42	eth updown 5m 1780529400	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd4ca4c…
06-03 23:20:09	eth updown 5m 1780528800	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x93ca81…
06-03 23:16:04	eth updown 5m 1780528500	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcbb3a0…
06-03 23:15:10	btc updown 15m 1780528500	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x1bc9f3…
06-03 23:00:16	eth updown 15m 1780527600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xffb1bc…
06-03 22:49:28	eth updown 5m 1780526700	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb61b05…
06-03 22:27:28	eth updown 5m 1780525500	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe209b8…
06-03 22:15:42	eth updown 5m 1780524900	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x70ac8e…
06-03 22:02:51	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7a6dba…
06-03 22:02:48	eth updown 5m 1780524000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x790102…
06-03 22:00:39	eth updown 5m 1780524000	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x01a9e3…
06-03 22:00:36	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x22f208…
06-03 22:00:24	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x81fa8f…
06-03 21:56:07	eth updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x04ae40…
06-03 21:46:25	btc updown 5m 1780523100	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfcdd92…
06-03 21:45:58	eth updown 5m 1780523100	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe67dc8…
06-03 21:43:31	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x354052…
06-03 21:43:30	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3d1c03…
06-03 21:42:42	eth updown 5m 1780522800	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x844d42…
06-03 21:30:42	eth updown 5m 1780522200	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x63a226…
06-01 14:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3b7ef5…
06-01 14:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb7a2f3…
06-01 14:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4f94f9…
06-01 14:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x6ae276…
06-01 13:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x7e081d…
06-01 13:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x461dc5…
06-01 13:49:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xfbfa78…
06-01 13:45:17	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1d4310…
06-01 13:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3c65af…
06-01 13:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xd52a3f…
06-01 13:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x54bbfb…
05-31 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xbef4bd…
05-31 02:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4135f7…
05-31 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x40f4f8…
05-31 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x888a8a…
05-31 02:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x461381…
05-31 02:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xc2ec44…
05-31 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd169d9…
05-31 01:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe41562…
05-31 01:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd6b24c…
05-31 01:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x95b2da…
05-31 01:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x322d9f…
05-31 01:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd3fada…
05-31 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe86bde…
05-31 01:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x262aa7…
05-31 01:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x539858…
05-31 01:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xffdfd5…
05-31 01:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4e04c0…
05-31 01:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x5901a0…
05-31 01:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0329e0…
05-31 01:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf17b81…
05-31 01:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe4626f…