Self-Assured-Baseline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$104

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	+5	$3	99¢	$5	+$2	05-11 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	+10	$7	50¢	$5	$-2	05-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	+5	$3	72¢	$4	+$1	05-11 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa3dc33…
05-11 14:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe2d273…
05-11 14:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x590537…
05-11 14:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x96bf77…
05-11 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfcda35…
05-11 10:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2ce6b1…
05-11 03:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdc7e6d…
05-11 02:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x161fa1…
05-11 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8ae93…
05-11 00:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb87fe3…
05-11 00:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcceab1…
05-11 00:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x98f930…
05-11 00:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x90b1cd…
05-10 23:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x703797…
05-10 23:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd51268…
05-10 23:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb4c1a6…
05-10 23:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xad71ea…
05-10 23:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x40057d…
05-10 23:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x843cb5…
05-10 23:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd18a9e…
05-10 20:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcb9cf6…
05-10 15:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x075828…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	19	$6.63K	222	05-11 14:57
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	19	$2.47K	151	05-11 14:57
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	19	$1.31K	146	05-11 14:57
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	19	$922	104	05-11 14:57
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	19	$682	95	05-11 14:57
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	18	$2.27K	136	05-11 14:57
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	18	$714	100	05-11 14:57
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	17	$15.0K	285	05-11 14:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-11 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-11 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-11 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-11 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$9	15	+15	Down	$-9	05-10 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$9	10	+10	open	—	05-11 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$5	10	+10	Up	$-0	05-10 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-11 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-11 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-10 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-11 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-11 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-11 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-10 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Down	+$4	05-11 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-10 23:01