Self-Assured-Baseline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

320

Trades

1,667

lifetime

Volume

$7.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-17 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 515 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	32	$156	162	+162	open	—	05-15 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	19	$92	97	+97	open	—	05-15 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	20	$86	99	+99	open	—	05-15 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	16	$76	78	+78	Down	+$1	05-12 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	13	$62	65	+65	Down	+$3	05-13 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	12	$59	60	+60	open	—	05-15 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	12	$58	60	+60	open	—	05-17 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	14	$52	77	+77	Down	+$4	05-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	12	$49	62	+62	open	—	05-15 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	10	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-15 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	14	$48	73	+73	open	—	05-15 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	9	$44	45	+45	Down	+$1	05-13 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$44	60	+60	Up	+$6	05-11 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	9	$44	45	+45	Down	+$1	05-13 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	9	$44	45	+45	open	—	05-15 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	9	$42	45	+45	open	—	05-17 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	10	$41	51	+51	open	—	05-15 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$39	40	+40	Down	+$1	05-14 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	8	$39	40	+40	Up	+$1	05-13 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	8	$39	40	+40	Down	+$1	05-14 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	7	$34	35	+35	Up	+$1	05-14 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$33	40	+40	Down	$-8	05-10 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$32	36	+36	open	—	05-15 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	7	$31	35	+35	Down	+$4	05-13 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$31	52	+52	Down	+$0	05-13 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	8	$30	43	+43	open	—	05-16 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	11	$30	58	+58	Down	$-5	05-12 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$30	30	+30	Up	+$0	05-13 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	8	$30	42	+42	open	—	05-16 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-15 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 17:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf1f7b…
05-17 17:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e0179…
05-17 17:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe3cd89…
05-17 17:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x08e66b…
05-17 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xdb49cf…
05-17 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf907a4…
05-17 16:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x62db69…
05-17 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf384c7…
05-17 16:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcee3c5…
05-17 15:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1a89ad…
05-17 15:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x94f022…
05-17 15:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa62434…
05-17 15:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe6b884…
05-17 15:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe73862…
05-17 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9e089e…
05-17 15:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8c80d2…
05-17 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x519805…
05-17 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5541f8…
05-17 14:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x314fff…
05-17 14:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x970985…
05-17 14:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5b44ee…
05-17 14:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x899e4a…
05-17 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1bec4d…
05-17 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1949f9…
05-17 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ca882…
05-17 14:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffbee0…
05-17 14:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3277b3…
05-17 14:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x81d7c2…
05-17 14:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5ae009…
05-17 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x477e89…
05-17 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66e2e5…
05-17 14:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3a2a14…
05-17 14:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x06c829…
05-17 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc02354…
05-17 14:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d67b5…
05-17 13:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6d688…
05-17 13:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x685d6d…
05-17 12:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0a673c…
05-17 12:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbd3bca…
05-17 12:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x97aa02…
05-17 12:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5ff05c…
05-17 12:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa61203…
05-17 12:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3582ec…
05-17 11:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x799f8c…
05-17 11:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xabd27f…
05-17 11:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeda846…
05-17 11:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe5e6be…
05-17 11:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5fed37…
05-17 10:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5207ba…
05-17 10:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x38ed59…
05-17 10:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x78c972…
05-17 10:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0c8c58…
05-17 10:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x531dd7…
05-17 10:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x1e1e74…
05-17 10:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x47587b…
05-17 10:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab1515…
05-17 10:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76cab4…
05-17 09:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x78e873…
05-17 09:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x87302c…
05-17 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x75df29…
05-17 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4c83ef…
05-17 08:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8993c7…
05-17 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x785c68…
05-17 08:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x007a93…
05-17 07:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x145c24…
05-17 07:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x69e9d4…
05-17 07:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x406a2a…
05-17 06:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01e2bd…
05-17 06:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdedd29…
05-17 06:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x393c8a…
05-17 05:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd03f71…
05-17 05:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90b3c1…
05-17 05:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x40aec2…
05-17 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbbd3b4…
05-17 04:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf1a0ee…
05-17 04:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a2af7…
05-17 04:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc53c1e…
05-17 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f5954…
05-17 02:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x673f80…
05-17 02:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfd5541…
05-17 02:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x996152…
05-17 02:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd640ef…
05-17 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf618e6…
05-17 02:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x777abe…
05-17 02:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd63dd3…
05-17 02:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcd5cf7…
05-17 01:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2ab034…
05-17 01:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc12c71…
05-17 01:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x70e52d…
05-17 01:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x96717c…
05-17 01:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x43a429…
05-17 01:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc2eeea…
05-17 01:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa8936f…
05-17 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8bb7de…
05-17 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x70e7d5…
05-17 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d6e10…
05-17 01:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf79845…
05-17 01:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x192cc1…
05-17 01:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x07310b…
05-17 01:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8cd194…