Alarmed-Almanac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

4,673

Trades

12,126

lifetime

Volume

$56.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-08 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% -$27

Other

0% 0% —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	10	$78	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 15:18
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	15	$69	35	35	+0	Down	+$0	05-16 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	14	$69	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	05-18 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	15	$69	40	30	+10	Down	+$1	05-17 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$59	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	8	$59	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	13	$54	30	25	+5	Down	+$1	05-20 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	12	$53	25	29	-4	Down	+$0	05-16 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	13	$52	25	27	-2	Up	+$0	05-17 00:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	13	$51	27	25	+2	Down	+$1	05-18 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	10	$49	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 01:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	10	$49	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 11:14
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	10	$49	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	10	$49	30	20	+10	Up	+$0	05-14 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	10	$49	30	20	+10	Down	+$0	05-16 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	10	$49	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 13:59
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	11	$49	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 14:28
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$49	30	20	+10	Up	+$1	05-20 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	9	$44	20	25	-5	Down	+$0	05-15 01:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	9	$44	25	20	+5	Up	+$0	05-17 10:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	9	$44	25	20	+5	Down	+$0	05-18 03:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	11	$44	25	20	+5	Up	-$5	05-16 05:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	9	$44	25	20	+5	Down	+$0	05-16 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	9	$44	25	20	+5	Up	+$1	06-02 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	11	$44	25	20	+5	Down	-$4	05-20 05:44
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	9	$39	15	25	-10	Up	+$0	05-15 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	8	$39	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 12:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	8	$39	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	8	$39	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-16 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	8	$39	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xb2cf2f…
06-08 11:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcf9a23…
06-08 11:52:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xd32775…
06-08 11:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x9adac2…
06-08 11:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x17da8f…
06-08 11:47:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x30d675…
06-08 11:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3fcfd5…
06-08 11:43:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x19676e…
06-08 11:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x9aedac…
06-07 19:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xd72e9c…
06-07 19:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9678c6…
06-07 18:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x49fd58…
06-07 18:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa7c71c…
06-07 18:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc1f604…
06-07 18:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb46bd…
06-07 18:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x681184…
06-07 18:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xb74daa…
06-07 18:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb6bcf5…
06-07 18:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x0df9f7…
06-07 18:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xb09982…
06-07 18:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xfe322e…
06-07 18:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb861bf…
06-07 18:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x83182f…
06-07 17:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x1d6f98…
06-07 17:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x87a79a…
06-07 17:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xfc29e6…
06-07 17:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdd2688…
06-07 17:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x25e546…
06-07 17:25:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4b6921…
06-07 17:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xeead0b…
06-07 17:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x377fdf…
06-07 17:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x0f1000…
06-07 17:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xe99eb7…
06-07 17:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6c9eb6…
06-07 17:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf4194e…
06-07 17:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf6567d…
06-07 17:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x367d37…
06-07 17:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xe2d773…
06-07 17:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7d0125…
06-07 16:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x8aefcd…
06-07 16:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6cadc8…
06-07 16:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x3b81f3…
06-07 16:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5bba8d…
06-07 16:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xfa6672…
06-07 16:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3ab483…
06-07 16:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x2e6fe6…
06-07 16:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd083d7…
06-07 16:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xf65afc…
06-07 16:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1b4c9d…
06-07 16:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xef10e7…
06-07 16:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xef4a32…
06-07 16:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa5e8c2…
06-07 16:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xf7994b…
06-07 16:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x16c09c…
06-07 16:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xf0d369…
06-07 16:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7daa52…
06-07 16:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4bb288…
06-07 16:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8fe311…
06-07 16:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xbe5555…
06-07 16:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x55ef7e…
06-07 16:02:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa48dcd…
06-07 16:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x95441e…
06-07 16:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xbe813c…
06-07 15:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x4a75ba…
06-07 15:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7a27e2…
06-07 15:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xc3cd66…
06-07 15:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x867966…
06-07 15:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xa703f0…
06-07 15:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3102ab…
06-07 15:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x4cf499…
06-07 15:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xecd29f…
06-07 15:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xe07264…
06-07 15:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x68579a…
06-07 15:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1747b0…
06-07 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xad9cd2…
06-07 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x990cb0…
06-07 15:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x2b51ce…
06-07 15:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9ac4f3…
06-07 15:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3071e0…
06-07 15:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xbbe672…
06-07 15:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x993ab6…
06-07 15:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x52291a…
06-07 13:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x35d0cc…
06-07 13:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x342ea6…
06-07 12:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa4954e…
06-07 12:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x56c5f8…
06-07 12:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xa519cb…
06-07 12:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xe5d269…
06-07 11:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xccc921…
06-07 11:57:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x53beb9…
06-07 11:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5a1130…
06-07 11:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x98bb5a…
06-07 11:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xd878a7…
06-07 11:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6ad985…
06-07 11:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x23b2a2…
06-07 11:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10bd63…
06-07 11:26:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x38507d…
06-07 11:25:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc30bcd…
06-07 10:56:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 10:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x5f6eee…
06-07 10:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdbe1bc…