Utilized-Exploration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

289

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:36
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:55
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:17
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 43c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:33
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:24
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 80 81f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:53
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd4561a…
10-31 09:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a5653…
10-30 09:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x380c70…
10-29 07:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5950ca…
10-28 05:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xbdba7d…
10-27 07:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbc7a3…
10-26 05:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb864f…
10-24 06:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc56c2…
10-22 09:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1139f0…
10-20 04:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bfbe2…
10-19 07:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05e7ec…
10-18 07:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc99904…
10-17 07:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb99f89…
10-16 08:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18d74d…
10-15 07:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8397b…
10-14 07:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd123e…
10-13 05:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64334e…
10-12 04:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde1e5a…
10-11 03:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb27b10…
10-08 07:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96b1f3…
10-07 08:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ce587…
10-06 07:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd76178…
10-04 08:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0aa8ee…
10-03 04:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75441d…
10-02 07:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x199821…
10-02 03:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x407af5…
10-01 07:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb039af…
09-30 09:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b885b…
09-29 08:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfed4c7…
09-28 08:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a4b33…
09-27 08:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38bb43…
09-25 07:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc34da…
09-24 06:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2211f9…
09-23 05:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdf7b4…
09-22 06:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cbce9…
09-21 08:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10425d…
09-20 03:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x320612…
09-19 07:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88760b…
09-18 01:12:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbee261…
09-17 03:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1dcc9…
09-16 08:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdff91f…
09-15 23:36:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x666ed5…
09-15 02:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90a5bd…
09-14 02:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c2c9b…
09-13 12:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e8442…
09-12 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe95407…
09-11 06:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ab4ad…
09-10 01:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aaaa9…
09-09 01:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x705bb5…
09-08 01:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b8ab9…
09-07 01:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3190e8…
09-06 01:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ba626…
09-05 09:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dd7ab…
09-04 08:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd8f4d…
09-03 07:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3650e…
09-01 01:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41dbef…
08-30 01:02:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81981d…
08-29 05:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a7515…
08-28 01:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a881b…
08-27 01:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x76786d…
08-26 02:04:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x295a0f…
08-25 08:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x481c95…
08-24 07:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c058a…
08-23 07:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x912da1…
08-22 06:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5040c1…
08-21 01:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d917f…
08-20 08:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85361d…
08-19 07:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69a132…
08-18 01:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef284f…
08-17 06:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11cd01…
08-16 10:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcbc67…
08-15 02:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fd485…
08-14 06:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x361f70…
08-13 00:59:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17e500…
08-12 06:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf217f…
08-11 00:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x720bcc…
08-10 00:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1040c4…
08-09 01:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a7d43…
08-08 07:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x075b1c…
08-07 00:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe4a1a…
08-06 00:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfecb77…
08-05 00:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x999dc7…
08-04 03:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e77c5…
08-03 01:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x090829…
08-02 00:25:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5bb6f…
08-01 00:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe337b1…
07-31 07:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31ec5b…
07-30 00:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ef867…
07-29 01:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4b043…
07-28 00:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaef0c…
07-27 07:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81d02a…
07-26 01:12:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2695a7…
07-25 00:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5300f7…
07-24 06:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc67bb…
07-23 01:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde3352…
07-22 01:35:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf05661…
07-20 23:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb745b8…
07-19 22:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb3854…
07-18 22:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fbbdf…
07-17 23:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe95623…