Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 08-21 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

37% 93% +$4

Politics

29% 62% +$2

Crypto

18% 21% +$105

Tech

12% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	3	$119	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	08-14 02:00
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	5	$100	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	08-10 16:58
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	3	$87	60	30	+30	Yes	+$2	08-17 15:52
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	9	$75	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	08-15 04:30
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	3	$60	60	30	+30	Yes	$0	08-14 05:04
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	08-21 01:52
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	08-17 12:34
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	08-14 09:21
bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	9	$55	700	0	+700	Yes	-$55	08-18 14:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	20	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	08-10 00:11
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$41	29	29	+0	Yes	+$1	08-21 01:53
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-14 09:20
will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	3	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	08-10 17:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?	2	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-10 14:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 9?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-09 13:42
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-10 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	6	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-09 15:24
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 10?	2	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-10 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-09 14:13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	08-20 05:21
will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	11	$26	500	0	+500	No	-$26	08-13 02:43
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 08:00 UTC	1	$25	77	0	+77	Down	-$25	08-14 10:03
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$20	11	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-15 08:40
aapl close above 300 on august 10 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	08-10 13:31
will nvda reach 224 by august 10 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	08-10 11:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 14:01
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	08-21 01:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	08-21 01:53
bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	5	$12	250	0	+250	Down	+$238	08-13 15:22
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	08-09 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 01:53:43	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xdf7f7c…
08-21 01:53:24	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xe6b5df…
08-21 01:53:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0xaa07cd…
08-21 01:52:49	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x46a16b…
08-20 13:23:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa635d…
08-20 05:21:30	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x0912f2…
08-19 01:13:22	Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x301609…
08-18 14:30:33	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0x84cd7e…
08-18 14:30:25	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xbf804a…
08-18 14:30:22	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x0d897d…
08-18 14:30:19	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x4b6c61…
08-18 14:30:09	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xd0307e…
08-18 14:29:52	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x60a638…
08-18 14:29:49	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x73de3f…
08-18 06:23:43	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	195	25¢	$49	0x621ba5…
08-18 06:22:07	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf9babd…
08-17 15:52:57	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x273fe1…
08-17 12:34:43	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6aebb4…
08-17 01:01:27	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x4e40eb…
08-16 23:50:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x765741…
08-16 16:26:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xe9c5c3…
08-16 16:16:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2,928	0¢	$3	0x1c404d…
08-16 07:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 16?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x72ade1…
08-16 07:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 16?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0xecc891…
08-16 06:59:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 16?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3cb62d…
08-16 06:15:46	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc87d12…
08-15 08:46:25	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xcd00cd…
08-15 08:40:10	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4eb464…
08-15 04:30:27	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb52e90…
08-15 04:27:54	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xde36a5…
08-14 23:55:46	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7d69fa…
08-14 15:46:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	2,035	0¢	$2	0x4c281f…
08-14 15:45:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe9bb5b…
08-14 15:45:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x8b92fa…
08-14 15:44:06	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xca78fe…
08-14 15:43:06	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe77885…
08-14 15:39:25	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	925	0¢	$1	0x7e4a7b…
08-14 15:38:33	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	898	0¢	$1	0x76edeb…
08-14 14:27:54	bitcoin up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x65aa5a…
08-14 12:44:19	bitcoin above 64k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x8beab1…
08-14 10:03:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0xdcaccc…
08-14 09:21:16	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xb49655…
08-14 09:20:24	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb3c9ff…
08-14 06:52:39	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 3 minutes long 20260807064756489	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd7cf8c…
08-14 05:30:00	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x4a8a27…
08-14 05:04:39	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb76a37…
08-14 04:54:33	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x339ba3…
08-14 04:48:21	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x232854…
08-14 03:44:16	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x840941…
08-14 03:37:00	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x4d9f55…
08-14 02:00:36	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf6860c…
08-13 15:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1,685	0¢	$2	0x00f074…
08-13 15:50:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf73b9a…
08-13 15:50:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x784122…
08-13 15:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa5864b…
08-13 15:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x796cf3…
08-13 15:41:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x66590a…
08-13 15:41:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x2c2071…
08-13 15:40:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd5497b…
08-13 15:40:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x01dffb…
08-13 15:39:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xdc8383…
08-13 15:38:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfaf649…
08-13 15:37:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x7a3b4a…
08-13 15:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x64d137…
08-13 15:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd7ab6e…
08-13 15:34:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4d0028…
08-13 15:26:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x064964…
08-13 15:26:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xd8eed6…
08-13 15:22:37	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xdc08bf…
08-13 15:15:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0ff10a…
08-13 15:03:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x42f750…
08-13 14:24:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x4e0b84…
08-13 14:12:52	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x9f1bfb…
08-13 14:01:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7896fc…
08-13 13:48:34	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xfd8a50…
08-13 13:48:34	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe09abf…
08-13 04:45:52	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe365bd…
08-13 02:43:28	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	260	1¢	$3	0x786ad5…
08-13 02:43:18	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x729234…
08-13 02:36:09	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x174096…
08-13 02:08:49	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 12	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x782ffc…
08-13 00:07:15	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0xba46cb…
08-13 00:01:22	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xfa14ed…
08-13 00:00:00	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x0daf4b…
08-12 23:59:54	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd42a12…
08-12 23:55:33	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xff13af…
08-12 23:39:39	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x99c949…
08-12 23:39:16	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x90596c…
08-12 23:34:36	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 12	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xcabbf3…
08-12 18:14:39	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x6068a8…
08-12 14:59:37	bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa2c134…
08-12 14:28:10	bitcoin above 62k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x481563…
08-12 13:03:30	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3e3d08…
08-12 08:49:04	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x45342e…
08-12 08:48:00	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xd32cfc…
08-12 08:46:51	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x5e23e7…
08-11 15:01:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe4adf7…
08-11 14:17:13	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5eff8…
08-11 02:19:34	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa68191…
08-10 17:26:06	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x011e28…