Rundown-Prisoner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-03 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Sports

64% 25% +$112

Crypto

34% 88% -$1

Other

2% 62% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	05-19 23:49
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	05-19 23:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.8K	923	923	+0	No	-$1	05-18 00:16
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	2	$1.8K	921	921	+0	No	+$0	05-19 00:09
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.8K	920	920	+0	No	-$1	05-19 23:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$1.8K	912	912	+0	No	-$1	05-17 09:49
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.8K	906	906	+0	No	-$1	05-19 09:31
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.2K	599	599	+0	No	-$1	05-18 12:05
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$646	323	323	+0	No	$0	05-18 12:05
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	1	$136	251	0	+251	76ers	+$115	04-15 14:04
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	3	$49	34	15	+19	No	+$0	05-19 23:50
will solana reach 130 in march 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-31 02:57
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 1	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-01 02:02
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-16 00:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-06 00:46
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-25 11:59
Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-17 09:49
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 13 19	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-16 06:16
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-09 01:51
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	03-29 11:40
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	04-07 06:12
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	04-06 05:48
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-18 01:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 4?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	07-03 13:35
bitcoin above 76k on april 3	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-02 01:42
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-31 03:03
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-04 03:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-08 12:36
will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	04-06 05:48
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-07 05:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-06 05:48
will solana reach 110 march 30 april 5	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-05 03:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 00:39:13	Will Solana reach $170 in November?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbcc9be…
10-02 09:08:57	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f23f3…
09-03 07:04:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd28e6c…
08-04 06:58:50	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x021dfa…
07-16 05:12:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7ee4b…
07-03 13:35:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x102181…
06-18 01:42:26	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x537cc6…
05-19 23:50:56	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x014359…
05-19 23:49:55	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf19087…
05-19 23:49:46	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1509ea…
05-19 23:49:37	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a026d…
05-19 23:48:39	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	920	100¢	$918	0x64b43e…
05-19 09:32:37	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	920	100¢	$919	0x6bd24d…
05-19 09:32:05	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfe14aa…
05-19 09:31:57	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	906	100¢	$904	0x45bc93…
05-19 00:12:18	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x88663b…
05-19 00:10:40	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	906	100¢	$905	0xb939a6…
05-19 00:09:47	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	SELL	921	100¢	$920	0xd66cc9…
05-18 12:14:41	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	921	100¢	$920	0x0779ab…
05-18 12:05:42	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	323	100¢	$323	0xc873bf…
05-18 12:05:31	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	599	100¢	$597	0xf9cbe0…
05-18 00:17:51	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	323	100¢	$323	0x8f9be4…
05-18 00:17:32	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	599	100¢	$598	0x27195c…
05-18 00:16:51	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	923	100¢	$921	0xc05f08…
05-17 09:51:38	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	923	100¢	$922	0x3e313b…
05-17 09:49:30	Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7d52c3…
05-17 09:49:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	912	100¢	$910	0xa57782…
05-17 00:30:38	Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x15fefa…
05-17 00:30:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	912	100¢	$911	0xa667b7…
05-16 00:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x51b7a1…
05-06 00:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xeda6ea…
04-25 11:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8477c2…
04-16 06:16:28	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 13 19	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x25da12…
04-15 14:04:58	nba orl phi 2026 04 15	76ers	BUY	251	54¢	$136	0x89c0d8…
04-09 01:51:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8f74a9…
04-08 12:36:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1c192d…
04-08 12:32:09	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xaadb8a…
04-07 06:12:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1d78bf…
04-07 06:05:03	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xededf8…
04-07 06:00:07	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x58ab86…
04-07 05:59:59	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3373ea…
04-07 05:59:43	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xba94af…
04-06 05:52:31	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x23b5ce…
04-06 05:52:21	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9e945…
04-06 05:52:09	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x216a36…
04-06 05:48:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfdc1d3…
04-06 05:48:11	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8f6d88…
04-06 05:48:01	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3e0880…
04-05 03:46:41	will solana reach 110 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1989df…
04-05 03:44:55	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20e399…
04-05 03:43:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xed3cf4…
04-05 03:42:25	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53cd6d…
04-04 03:34:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0d5d2a…
04-02 01:42:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 3	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x02cbb5…
04-01 02:02:47	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 1	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9604ce…
03-31 03:03:47	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7ccb4d…
03-31 02:57:29	will solana reach 130 in march 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x638e26…
03-30 06:39:30	will solana reach 130 in march 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa4847e…
03-29 11:40:34	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xee7a5b…