Chilly-Phenomenon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.14K

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

4,090

Trades

12,622

lifetime

Volume

$629.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-10 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

97% 49% +$8,410

Politics

2% 33% -$330

Sports

1% 33% -$921

Crypto

0% 67% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit		+305	$162	0¢	$0	-$161	11-10 19:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	-$110	90¢	$0	+$110	10-23 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	93	$18.9K	18,446	18,245	+200	Team Spirit	+$228	08-23 12:37
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	41	$8.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$124	09-14 18:10
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game2	51	$6.0K	7,253	6,253	+1,000	BoomBoys	+$440	08-20 08:47
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Resp Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	9	$5.1K	3,200	3,200	+0	cancelled	-$488	10-16 07:32
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	20	$5.0K	5,147	3,147	+2,000	BoomBoys	+$390	08-21 05:24
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	30	$4.1K	3,399	3,399	+0	TEAM VISION	+$139	08-20 08:52
cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	43	$3.8K	4,039	4,039	+0	100 Thieves	+$481	08-09 15:13
dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game2	19	$3.5K	2,721	2,721	+0	Team Spirit	+$171	08-20 05:03
lol dk hle1 2026 08 20 game2	13	$2.6K	1,703	1,703	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$63	08-20 09:52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	19	$2.5K	3,108	1,000	+2,108	Team Spirit	-$6	10-30 13:04
dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	45	$2.4K	2,770	2,570	+200	TEAM VISION	-$4	08-13 14:42
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	24	$2.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$21	09-05 09:07
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	8	$2.0K	1,800	1,000	+800	Top Esports	-$348	10-30 00:00
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	12	$2.0K	1,812	1,312	+500	Nemiga	-$12	10-31 14:33
lol al tes 2026 08 19 game2	17	$2.0K	1,395	1,395	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$84	08-19 11:54
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	9	$2.0K	1,105	1,105	+0	No	+$79	10-26 19:54
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$72	10-24 22:19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	13	$1.9K	1,555	750	+805	JD Gaming	-$157	10-12 12:03
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	9	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	MVK Esports	-$30	10-17 18:23
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	14	$1.8K	2,680	1,558	+1,122	TEAM VISION	+$88	08-20 09:42
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	T1	+$240	10-23 23:25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	3	$1.7K	2,300	1,000	+1,300	Bilibili Gaming	-$1,313	10-31 22:23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	T1	+$339	11-06 23:17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	14	$1.6K	2,155	1,000	+1,155	Team Liquid	+$185	10-25 10:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-23 20:09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	6	$1.5K	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	10-25 10:53
lol nsea dnsc 2026 08 31 game4	32	$1.5K	986	986	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$78	08-31 11:45
dota2 glyph playti 2026 08 03	45	$1.5K	956	956	+0	PlayTime	+$26	08-03 09:00
lol sly tlnpir 2026 08 18	9	$1.5K	1,684	1,684	+0	TLN Pirates	+$96	08-18 16:47
lol we edg 2026 08 19 game2	14	$1.5K	1,918	1,918	+0	EDward Gaming	+$443	08-19 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 23:40:54	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	130	55¢	$71	0x8be2bf…
11-10 23:23:36	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x32f8d1…
11-10 23:19:25	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x75bbb9…
11-10 22:04:46	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	400	68¢	$272	0x3352b6…
11-10 22:02:57	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xa7ce4c…
11-10 21:31:01	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x830985…
11-10 21:30:54	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x561313…
11-10 21:30:22	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0xda684b…
11-10 21:15:03	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	176	69¢	$121	0x16cfa6…
11-10 20:49:16	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x37ba6b…
11-10 20:45:09	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xc3ebe2…
11-10 20:28:45	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	46	68¢	$31	0x1a5101…
11-10 20:27:54	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x3ed5ef…
11-10 20:27:22	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	150	68¢	$102	0x0cf721…
11-10 20:26:49	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xac4e9f…
11-10 20:21:28	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x512867…
11-10 20:13:06	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xa5e710…
11-10 20:12:43	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xa84f80…
11-10 19:45:22	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	347	67¢	$232	0x224c8a…
11-10 19:25:21	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	412	13¢	$52	0x88b756…
11-10 19:23:52	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x533b39…
11-10 19:22:36	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	153	67¢	$102	0x768e37…
11-10 19:08:15	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	261	53¢	$138	0x0e8bb5…
11-10 18:19:36	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xedd8c1…
11-10 18:18:40	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x65db41…
11-10 18:05:13	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x72ce40…
11-10 17:58:22	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	74	28¢	$21	0x4f08fc…
11-10 17:58:18	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0xb87a0c…
11-10 17:57:55	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	67	28¢	$19	0x922d1b…
11-10 17:57:43	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x4db2a1…
11-10 17:26:03	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	BUY	202	68¢	$137	0x303617…
11-10 14:50:24	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winner	InterActive Philippines	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3c08e3…
11-10 14:49:24	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winner	InterActive Philippines	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x9d890d…
11-10 13:19:27	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0x43bbc9…
11-10 13:19:24	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x5ef768…
11-10 13:19:24	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x4c1c23…
11-10 13:19:24	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	142	15¢	$21	0x3b70d6…
11-10 13:19:21	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xd8e041…
11-10 13:19:13	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x67d332…
11-10 13:19:01	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	58	15¢	$9	0x867517…
11-10 13:18:55	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6de60b…
11-10 12:51:36	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	LEGION	BUY	308	50¢	$153	0xe841bb…
11-10 12:51:21	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	LEGION	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xf8cec6…
11-10 12:13:33	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0xb44e07…
11-10 12:08:03	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	LEGION	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x7b8296…
11-10 12:07:58	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	LEGION	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x88c395…
11-10 11:21:00	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xe7e246…
11-10 11:16:01	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x246d34…
11-10 10:21:22	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	132	28¢	$37	0xf88a95…
11-10 10:20:12	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	175	28¢	$49	0x083da0…
11-10 10:18:51	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	112	28¢	$31	0x8449c8…
11-10 10:18:49	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x533f76…
11-10 10:18:39	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x0f6636…
11-10 10:18:36	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x1490ab…
11-10 10:16:49	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	164	40¢	$66	0x300636…
11-10 10:16:43	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xf78923…
11-10 10:16:30	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x2922b6…
11-10 10:10:33	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 3 Winner	Saigon Warriors	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x789b98…
11-10 09:52:21	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 3 Winner	Saigon Warriors	BUY	301	93¢	$280	0xf77ee6…
11-10 09:03:27	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner	Saigon Warriors	SELL	181	88¢	$159	0x36a467…
11-10 09:03:25	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner	Saigon Warriors	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xf54c48…
11-10 09:03:24	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner	Saigon Warriors	SELL	108	88¢	$95	0x3cbaa5…
11-10 09:02:54	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner	Gromp Esports	BUY	523	13¢	$68	0x8a07fb…
11-10 08:47:13	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 4 Winner	Gromp Esports	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x70b4a3…
11-10 08:28:27	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner	Saigon Warriors	BUY	224	89¢	$199	0x100478…
11-10 08:24:18	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner	Saigon Warriors	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x67a064…
11-10 08:22:36	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner	Saigon Warriors	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x6b39c4…
11-10 06:56:54	LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here - Game 3 Winner	FENNEL	BUY	154	51¢	$78	0x81cfc7…
11-10 06:56:19	LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here - Game 3 Winner	FENNEL	BUY	185	49¢	$91	0xb700ee…
11-09 22:20:34	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	BUY	207	30¢	$63	0x7a39e0…
11-09 22:20:19	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	BUY	84	35¢	$29	0x87c361…
11-09 22:20:13	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x35dbea…
11-09 20:44:57	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x3fb61c…
11-09 20:44:00	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner	Yakult Brothers	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x209c3f…
11-09 19:47:19	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x8db4f0…
11-09 18:26:28	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xac42d4…
11-09 18:16:40	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x5cf5db…
11-09 14:34:00	Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x96ed51…
11-09 14:33:48	Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x9ea3df…
11-09 14:33:22	Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x2309e4…
11-09 14:32:45	Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x02871a…
11-09 14:32:39	Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x5c2026…
11-09 14:32:31	Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5cbccf…
11-09 14:32:27	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Team Synapse	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xb46157…
11-09 14:31:28	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	94	20¢	$19	0xa62be3…
11-09 14:31:27	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x5071ad…
11-09 14:03:45	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	89	42¢	$38	0x9c8e7d…
11-09 14:03:43	Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x80f85f…
11-09 13:20:52	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x39ad4c…
11-09 12:36:01	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	HULIGANI	SELL	150	24¢	$36	0xa593ce…
11-09 12:31:30	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	32	33¢	$10	0x272f71…
11-09 12:30:42	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x592bce…
11-09 12:25:34	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	HULIGANI	BUY	156	22¢	$34	0xec1a5f…
11-09 11:35:25	Dota 2: PlayTime vs potn9ki - Game 2 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	101	32¢	$32	0x5bf2b0…
11-09 11:17:28	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xfd9d7d…
11-09 11:17:15	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x410b5e…
11-09 11:17:10	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x21c6a6…
11-09 10:19:51	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0x7adba0…
11-09 10:19:49	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xd65790…
11-09 10:19:49	Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x237647…