Chilly-Phenomenon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$110

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

4,056

Trades

12,521

lifetime

Volume

$624.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-09 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Other

97% 49% +$7,624

Politics

2% 33% -$330

Sports

1% 33% -$921

Crypto

0% 67% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	-$110	88¢	$0	+$110	10-23 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	93	$18.9K	18,446	18,245	+200	Team Spirit	+$228	08-23 12:37
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	41	$8.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$124	09-14 18:10
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game2	51	$6.0K	7,253	6,253	+1,000	BoomBoys	+$440	08-20 08:47
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Resp Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	9	$5.1K	3,200	3,200	+0	cancelled	-$488	10-16 07:32
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	20	$5.0K	5,147	3,147	+2,000	BoomBoys	+$390	08-21 05:24
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	30	$4.1K	3,399	3,399	+0	TEAM VISION	+$139	08-20 08:52
cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	43	$3.8K	4,039	4,039	+0	100 Thieves	+$481	08-09 15:13
dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game2	19	$3.5K	2,721	2,721	+0	Team Spirit	+$171	08-20 05:03
lol dk hle1 2026 08 20 game2	13	$2.6K	1,703	1,703	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$63	08-20 09:52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	19	$2.5K	3,108	1,000	+2,108	Team Spirit	-$6	10-30 13:04
dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	45	$2.4K	2,770	2,570	+200	TEAM VISION	-$4	08-13 14:42
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	24	$2.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$21	09-05 09:07
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	8	$2.0K	1,800	1,000	+800	Top Esports	-$348	10-30 00:00
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	12	$2.0K	1,812	1,312	+500	Nemiga	-$12	10-31 14:33
lol al tes 2026 08 19 game2	17	$2.0K	1,395	1,395	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$84	08-19 11:54
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	9	$2.0K	1,105	1,105	+0	No	+$79	10-26 19:54
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$72	10-24 22:19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	13	$1.9K	1,555	750	+805	JD Gaming	-$157	10-12 12:03
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	9	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	MVK Esports	-$30	10-17 18:23
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	14	$1.8K	2,680	1,558	+1,122	TEAM VISION	+$88	08-20 09:42
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	T1	+$240	10-23 23:25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	3	$1.7K	2,300	1,000	+1,300	Bilibili Gaming	-$1,313	10-31 22:23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	T1	+$339	11-06 23:17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	14	$1.6K	2,155	1,000	+1,155	Team Liquid	+$185	10-25 10:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-23 20:09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	6	$1.5K	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	10-25 10:53
lol nsea dnsc 2026 08 31 game4	32	$1.5K	986	986	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$78	08-31 11:45
dota2 glyph playti 2026 08 03	45	$1.5K	956	956	+0	PlayTime	+$26	08-03 09:00
lol sly tlnpir 2026 08 18	9	$1.5K	1,684	1,684	+0	TLN Pirates	+$96	08-18 16:47
lol we edg 2026 08 19 game2	14	$1.5K	1,918	1,918	+0	EDward Gaming	+$443	08-19 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 00:00:25	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x009c55…
11-08 23:37:09	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xaa48df…
11-08 23:34:30	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x969df3…
11-08 22:45:51	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x4774bd…
11-08 22:15:51	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xbdc48f…
11-08 18:54:06	Dota 2: Froglings vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	284	34¢	$97	0x823a2e…
11-08 18:52:06	Dota 2: Froglings vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Ka4kanarskie cyxariki	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xdd3c56…
11-08 17:51:07	Dota 2: PlayTime vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	128	52¢	$66	0xe3e929…
11-08 16:23:24	Dota 2: PlayTime vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xa503d3…
11-08 12:33:40	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x1ec36f…
11-08 12:33:39	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0xe863f7…
11-08 12:33:39	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa2abf7…
11-08 12:33:39	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6cf63a…
11-08 12:33:37	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x18cb16…
11-08 12:33:34	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x84792d…
11-08 12:33:33	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5902a2…
11-08 12:32:51	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xaf3ae8…
11-08 12:18:34	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xd0cc6a…
11-08 11:49:46	Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x1b447f…
11-08 11:49:07	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x586038…
11-08 10:42:12	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	71	68¢	$48	0x82c753…
11-08 09:55:10	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0x7bde16…
11-08 09:55:04	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe02c92…
11-08 09:28:39	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x0b2b11…
11-08 09:28:03	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	TheMongolz	SELL	700	4¢	$28	0x53d3e7…
11-08 09:25:15	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x28bc91…
11-08 08:14:00	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	TheMongolz	BUY	279	11¢	$31	0x5dbfdf…
11-08 08:13:55	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	TheMongolz	BUY	348	11¢	$38	0x14280d…
11-08 08:13:48	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	TheMongolz	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x9e646b…
11-08 08:13:13	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x3e1121…
11-07 23:39:25	Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x6a3a12…
11-07 22:52:21	Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	196	61¢	$120	0x3afece…
11-07 22:33:40	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	209	10¢	$22	0xce0286…
11-07 22:04:01	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	SELL	262	56¢	$146	0xf00fed…
11-07 21:28:06	Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	76	29¢	$22	0xd545aa…
11-07 21:27:52	Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x59b0d2…
11-07 21:27:24	Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	109	29¢	$32	0x53de16…
11-07 21:27:24	Dota 2: PlayTime vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x323cc4…
11-07 21:16:57	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Yakult Brothers	BUY	78	56¢	$44	0xc60977…
11-07 21:16:57	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Yakult Brothers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2eb42c…
11-07 21:16:57	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Yakult Brothers	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x283f65…
11-07 21:16:54	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Yakult Brothers	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0x215b7c…
11-07 21:16:42	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Yakult Brothers	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0xb4ac39…
11-07 21:13:37	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	InterActive Philippines	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0x49ef7d…
11-07 21:13:36	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	InterActive Philippines	SELL	170	3¢	$5	0xb6da4c…
11-07 20:59:16	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Amaru Gaming	SELL	300	41¢	$123	0x62a33c…
11-07 20:54:31	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Amaru Gaming	BUY	267	40¢	$107	0x997ad4…
11-07 20:54:03	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Amaru Gaming	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xb22745…
11-07 20:45:16	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	InterActive Philippines	BUY	311	30¢	$93	0x95ac2c…
11-07 19:10:04	Dota 2: Froglings vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0xc63866…
11-07 19:09:57	Dota 2: Froglings vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	160	69¢	$110	0x9d442e…
11-07 19:09:54	Dota 2: Froglings vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner	Froglings	BUY	113	69¢	$78	0x61acfb…
11-07 16:27:51	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	174	51¢	$89	0xc001b3…
11-07 16:27:49	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0xf3ded9…
11-07 16:27:49	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	112	51¢	$57	0x93c3f2…
11-07 16:27:40	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x9bce3a…
11-07 16:26:31	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x54c590…
11-07 16:26:31	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	73	42¢	$31	0x013f8a…
11-07 16:26:03	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfbc559…
11-07 16:26:00	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0xbbbf19…
11-07 16:26:00	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	146	42¢	$61	0x4bb555…
11-07 16:26:00	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x4845cf…
11-07 16:25:55	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x31bc46…
11-07 16:25:00	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0xaa94d1…
11-07 16:24:31	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x9f12c2…
11-07 15:27:55	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	244	59¢	$144	0x8344c2…
11-07 15:10:31	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	SELL	262	55¢	$144	0x60fdb2…
11-07 15:08:30	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0xf115e0…
11-07 15:08:28	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0x1d05d2…
11-07 15:08:27	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x082488…
11-07 15:08:24	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4bea36…
11-07 15:08:24	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1acee4…
11-07 15:08:24	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0bc6bd…
11-07 14:06:36	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A	PlayTime	SELL	175	56¢	$98	0x4af5ef…
11-07 13:27:37	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	HULIGANI	BUY	29	70¢	$21	0xc28328…
11-07 13:27:15	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	HULIGANI	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x269a37…
11-07 13:27:06	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	HULIGANI	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xe822d5…
11-07 13:26:24	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	HULIGANI	BUY	83	70¢	$58	0x3a7665…
11-07 13:26:21	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	HULIGANI	BUY	262	70¢	$183	0x2fa357…
11-07 13:25:06	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	305	64¢	$196	0x21827a…
11-07 13:24:49	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	SELL	512	100¢	$512	0x15c7b4…
11-07 12:08:58	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	512	53¢	$271	0xa45741…
11-07 12:06:10	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x87312c…
11-07 10:53:18	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	BetBoom Team	SELL	900	9¢	$81	0xe5c735…
11-07 10:51:25	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	900	12¢	$108	0x60b150…
11-07 10:50:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x78e54f…
11-07 10:50:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	276	33¢	$91	0x281d5d…
11-07 10:50:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0x0041b7…
11-07 10:34:33	Dota 2: potn9ki vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	312	22¢	$69	0x2e6569…
11-07 10:22:54	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	212	66¢	$140	0x4efe25…
11-07 10:22:52	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x08f5c5…
11-07 10:06:57	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	307	57¢	$175	0x3abeca…
11-07 07:40:46	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x61d002…
11-07 07:31:36	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	206	42¢	$87	0x1da769…
11-07 07:29:15	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	408	25¢	$102	0x21e634…
11-07 07:21:52	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	408	61¢	$249	0x494732…
11-07 07:13:24	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	SELL	714	34¢	$243	0x15a006…
11-07 06:56:06	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	714	62¢	$442	0x28b2a8…
11-06 23:17:28	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfb6886…
11-06 22:19:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0xdef7de…