Chilly-Phenomenon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.14K

Unrealized P&L

+$78

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

4,104

Trades

12,664

lifetime

Volume

$632.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$211

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-11 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

97% 49% +$8,415

Politics

2% 33% -$330

Sports

1% 33% -$921

Crypto

0% 67% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B	Team Lynx	+300	$144	70¢	$210	+$66	11-11 17:00
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	+401	$98	0¢	$1	-$98	11-11 19:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$110	90¢	$0	+$110	10-23 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	93	$18.9K	18,446	18,245	+200	Team Spirit	+$228	08-23 12:37
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	41	$8.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$124	09-14 18:10
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game2	51	$6.0K	7,253	6,253	+1,000	BoomBoys	+$440	08-20 08:47
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Resp Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	9	$5.1K	3,200	3,200	+0	cancelled	-$488	10-16 07:32
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	20	$5.0K	5,147	3,147	+2,000	BoomBoys	+$390	08-21 05:24
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	30	$4.1K	3,399	3,399	+0	TEAM VISION	+$139	08-20 08:52
cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	43	$3.8K	4,039	4,039	+0	100 Thieves	+$481	08-09 15:13
dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game2	19	$3.5K	2,721	2,721	+0	Team Spirit	+$171	08-20 05:03
lol dk hle1 2026 08 20 game2	13	$2.6K	1,703	1,703	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$63	08-20 09:52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	19	$2.5K	3,108	1,000	+2,108	Team Spirit	-$6	10-30 13:04
dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	45	$2.4K	2,770	2,570	+200	TEAM VISION	-$4	08-13 14:42
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	24	$2.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$21	09-05 09:07
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	8	$2.0K	1,800	1,000	+800	Top Esports	-$348	10-30 00:00
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	12	$2.0K	1,812	1,312	+500	Nemiga	-$12	10-31 14:33
lol al tes 2026 08 19 game2	17	$2.0K	1,395	1,395	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$84	08-19 11:54
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	9	$2.0K	1,105	1,105	+0	No	+$79	10-26 19:54
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$72	10-24 22:19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	13	$1.9K	1,555	750	+805	JD Gaming	-$157	10-12 12:03
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	9	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	MVK Esports	-$30	10-17 18:23
dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	14	$1.8K	2,680	1,558	+1,122	TEAM VISION	+$88	08-20 09:42
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	T1	+$240	10-23 23:25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	3	$1.7K	2,300	1,000	+1,300	Bilibili Gaming	-$1,313	10-31 22:23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	T1	+$339	11-06 23:17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner	14	$1.6K	2,155	1,000	+1,155	Team Liquid	+$185	10-25 10:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-23 20:09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	6	$1.5K	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	10-25 10:53
lol nsea dnsc 2026 08 31 game4	32	$1.5K	986	986	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$78	08-31 11:45
dota2 glyph playti 2026 08 03	45	$1.5K	956	956	+0	PlayTime	+$26	08-03 09:00
lol sly tlnpir 2026 08 18	9	$1.5K	1,684	1,684	+0	TLN Pirates	+$96	08-18 16:47
lol we edg 2026 08 19 game2	14	$1.5K	1,918	1,918	+0	EDward Gaming	+$443	08-19 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 19:13:39	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	335	24¢	$82	0x6edd00…
11-11 19:13:36	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xf32e57…
11-11 19:13:34	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbb2ce0…
11-11 19:13:34	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xb50284…
11-11 19:13:33	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2c4220…
11-11 18:52:51	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	SELL	503	100¢	$502	0xef44be…
11-11 18:17:48	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x51ea32…
11-11 18:17:48	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	61	73¢	$45	0x2b274a…
11-11 18:17:48	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	120	73¢	$88	0x1d10ad…
11-11 18:17:46	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xfa7444…
11-11 17:50:21	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	321	43¢	$138	0x7a6dda…
11-11 17:50:19	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0xeef784…
11-11 17:50:19	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8b803c…
11-11 17:50:19	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0x2a0b56…
11-11 17:50:09	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Froglings - Game 1 Winner	Froglings	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd5fdaa…
11-11 17:00:00	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B	Team Lynx	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0x720edc…
11-11 16:51:46	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	205	50¢	$103	0x742213…
11-11 16:51:16	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf838c0…
11-11 16:51:16	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0cf2ab…
11-11 16:51:13	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x8de822…
11-11 16:51:13	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x209172…
11-11 16:51:07	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe82630…
11-11 16:51:07	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	140	48¢	$67	0x70edba…
11-11 16:51:06	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9ae6f2…
11-11 16:04:01	Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	246	50¢	$123	0x5b01fa…
11-11 16:03:46	Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	138	50¢	$69	0x7242da…
11-11 16:03:42	Dota 2: Froglings vs CyberHero (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x4af7d8…
11-11 13:46:00	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	312	20¢	$62	0x41be73…
11-11 13:43:36	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	PuckChamp	BUY	300	17¢	$52	0x8c5adc…
11-11 13:43:34	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	PuckChamp	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x6a1306…
11-11 12:13:52	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner	Yakult Brothers	BUY	311	30¢	$94	0x02aac2…
11-11 12:08:42	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	LEGION	BUY	266	55¢	$147	0x41f37e…
11-11 12:07:54	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	LEGION	BUY	74	55¢	$40	0xc1402d…
11-11 10:18:04	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner	Yakult Brothers	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x6aa7d0…
11-11 10:17:42	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	92	35¢	$32	0x330ebe…
11-11 10:17:37	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	108	35¢	$38	0x4c4ba0…
11-11 10:17:30	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xb7095b…
11-11 10:13:30	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	230	40¢	$92	0xeab711…
11-11 10:13:06	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0xb4a479…
11-11 10:01:54	LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	400	57¢	$228	0x5008c8…
11-11 09:34:12	LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 1 Winner	Ground Zero Gaming	SELL	305	10¢	$31	0x922f5a…
11-11 09:25:03	LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 1 Winner	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	305	56¢	$171	0x46f62b…
11-10 23:40:54	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	130	55¢	$71	0x8be2bf…
11-10 23:23:36	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x32f8d1…
11-10 23:19:25	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x75bbb9…
11-10 22:04:46	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	400	68¢	$272	0x3352b6…
11-10 22:02:57	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xa7ce4c…
11-10 21:31:01	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x830985…
11-10 21:30:54	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x561313…
11-10 21:30:22	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0xda684b…
11-10 21:15:03	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	176	69¢	$121	0x16cfa6…
11-10 20:49:16	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x37ba6b…
11-10 20:45:09	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xc3ebe2…
11-10 20:28:45	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	46	68¢	$31	0x1a5101…
11-10 20:27:54	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x3ed5ef…
11-10 20:27:22	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	150	68¢	$102	0x0cf721…
11-10 20:26:49	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xac4e9f…
11-10 20:21:28	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x512867…
11-10 20:13:06	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xa5e710…
11-10 20:12:43	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xa84f80…
11-10 19:45:22	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	347	67¢	$232	0x224c8a…
11-10 19:25:21	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	412	13¢	$52	0x88b756…
11-10 19:23:52	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x533b39…
11-10 19:22:36	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	CyberHero	BUY	153	67¢	$102	0x768e37…
11-10 19:08:15	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	261	53¢	$138	0x0e8bb5…
11-10 18:19:36	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xedd8c1…
11-10 18:18:40	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x65db41…
11-10 18:05:13	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x72ce40…
11-10 17:58:22	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	74	28¢	$21	0x4f08fc…
11-10 17:58:18	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0xb87a0c…
11-10 17:57:55	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	67	28¢	$19	0x922d1b…
11-10 17:57:43	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x4db2a1…
11-10 17:26:03	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Xipto Esports	BUY	202	68¢	$137	0x303617…
11-10 14:50:24	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winner	InterActive Philippines	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3c08e3…
11-10 14:49:24	Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winner	InterActive Philippines	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x9d890d…
11-10 13:19:27	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0x43bbc9…
11-10 13:19:24	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x5ef768…
11-10 13:19:24	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x4c1c23…
11-10 13:19:24	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	142	15¢	$21	0x3b70d6…
11-10 13:19:21	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xd8e041…
11-10 13:19:13	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x67d332…
11-10 13:19:01	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	58	15¢	$9	0x867517…
11-10 13:18:55	Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6de60b…
11-10 12:51:36	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	LEGION	BUY	308	50¢	$153	0xe841bb…
11-10 12:51:21	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	LEGION	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xf8cec6…
11-10 12:13:33	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0xb44e07…
11-10 12:08:03	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	LEGION	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x7b8296…
11-10 12:07:58	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	LEGION	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x88c395…
11-10 11:21:00	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xe7e246…
11-10 11:16:01	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x246d34…
11-10 10:21:22	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	132	28¢	$37	0xf88a95…
11-10 10:20:12	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	175	28¢	$49	0x083da0…
11-10 10:18:51	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	112	28¢	$31	0x8449c8…
11-10 10:18:49	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x533f76…
11-10 10:18:39	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x0f6636…
11-10 10:18:36	Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner	Power Rangers	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x1490ab…
11-10 10:16:49	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	164	40¢	$66	0x300636…
11-10 10:16:43	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xf78923…
11-10 10:16:30	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x2922b6…
11-10 10:10:33	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 3 Winner	Saigon Warriors	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x789b98…