Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

2,760

Trades

18,297

lifetime

Volume

$96.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 03-11 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

61% 46% +$727

Politics

23% 56% +$248

Crypto

7% 62% +$245

Sports

7% 70% +$377

Tech

2% 31% -$53

Pop-Culture

1% 30% -$64

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	73	$383	482	482	+0	Yes	+$5	02-07 23:25
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	54	$372	503	481	+22	Yes	+$27	01-23 18:46
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	45	$368	435	435	+0	No	+$9	01-30 03:16
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	40	$310	461	461	+0	No	+$26	01-29 06:14
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	54	$298	444	444	+0	Yes	+$9	01-30 02:54
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	40	$288	483	483	+0	Yes	+$26	02-10 17:45
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	38	$276	408	408	+0	Yes	+$13	02-09 15:15
si above 100 jan 2026	37	$271	441	462	-22	No	+$22	01-30 23:39
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	41	$270	426	378	+48	No	-$22	01-26 11:45
iran strike on israel by february 28	44	$259	373	373	+0	Yes	-$1	02-06 23:04
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	42	$257	320	277	+42	No	+$40	02-03 05:18
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	40	$248	386	386	+0	Yes	-$6	01-26 15:34
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	36	$246	287	305	-18	No	+$1	02-02 12:35
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 15	43	$240	536	329	+207	Yes	+$6	01-30 16:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	35	$240	275	287	-12	No	+$2	01-25 23:03
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	37	$239	322	322	+0	No	+$7	02-10 21:42
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	36	$238	470	470	+0	Yes	+$5	01-31 00:35
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	37	$238	424	389	+35	No	+$23	02-02 21:05
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	46	$238	367	367	+0	Yes	-$8	01-28 15:39
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	41	$231	256	256	+0	No	+$5	02-10 12:41
will megaeth perform an airdrop by march 15	35	$229	386	386	+0	No	-$5	02-10 01:06
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	37	$227	2,338	2,254	+84	Yes	+$7	01-29 21:06
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	39	$218	287	287	+0	No	+$12	01-29 16:31
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	33	$215	367	331	+36	Yes	+$5	01-23 16:22
will donald trump not announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve before february 2026	44	$214	364	373	-9	No	-$3	01-30 00:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	36	$211	228	228	+0	Yes	+$3	02-03 17:29
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	27	$210	341	341	+0	No	-$2	02-07 17:42
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	37	$208	274	274	+0	No	-$8	01-26 02:03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	31	$207	219	234	-15	Yes	-$4	02-03 22:43
si above 95 jan 2026	27	$206	301	314	-13	No	-$13	01-30 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-11 16:37:35	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe3a7a2…
03-11 16:37:27	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x463832…
03-11 16:37:09	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x067582…
03-11 16:37:05	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xb8dcd0…
03-11 16:36:47	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x001e4a…
03-11 16:36:09	Will Chuck Schumer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x041922…
03-11 16:35:47	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x5d2688…
03-11 16:35:35	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x00d928…
03-11 16:35:11	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x90720d…
03-11 16:35:07	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x679f04…
03-11 16:35:03	Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x6f1f8c…
03-11 16:35:01	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x1689fe…
03-11 16:34:53	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x90dcc8…
03-11 16:34:51	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xe4121d…
03-11 16:34:51	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x24fda3…
03-11 16:34:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xc7fd11…
03-11 16:34:43	ansem mindshare all time high by march 31	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xb20216…
03-11 16:34:41	will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x8406ab…
03-11 16:34:39	will china join the board of peace	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe7089a…
02-17 22:28:05	will robert downey jr be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x6d2024…
02-17 22:28:03	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x07d998…
02-17 22:28:01	Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xdfb9be…
02-17 22:28:01	will the rsf capture el obeid by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x72c048…
02-17 22:28:01	will trump talk to roger goodell in february	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x1ab9ba…
02-17 22:27:57	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xc97e66…
02-17 22:27:57	Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xa71b89…
02-17 22:27:53	Will Chuck Schumer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0xf14757…
02-17 22:27:53	will trump say powell or too late during the state of the union address 713	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x55698f…
02-17 22:27:51	Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0xdf574e…
02-17 22:27:51	Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	No	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x3ac086…
02-17 22:27:49	mamdani removes jessica tisch as nyc police commissioner by march 31	Yes	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0xd8e138…
02-17 22:27:49	Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x90a032…
02-17 22:27:47	nba den mem 2026 01 25 points jaren jackson jr 21pt5	Yes	SELL	121	0¢	$0	0xd0c57f…
02-17 22:27:47	will tucker carlson attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	63	5¢	$3	0x42545b…
02-17 22:27:45	will uranium usdlbs hit 100 high by end of february	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0xcdacf1…
02-17 22:27:43	Will Donald Trump visit Texas in 2026?	No	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x0ef8ca…
02-17 22:27:39	threadguy mindshare all time high by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x7a22ba…
02-17 20:33:25	amzn above 240 on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x848569…
02-17 19:27:51	will brazils q4 2025 gdp growth rate yoy be between 1pt2 and 1pt5	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x91ea97…
02-17 13:53:33	becca good charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x9b982a…
02-16 13:19:45	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x1b3f8c…
02-16 11:52:39	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x35a8b0…
02-16 08:16:43	will an fbi top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by march 31	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xfa37cd…
02-16 08:16:29	will an fbi top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by march 31	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xdbc6c4…
02-16 07:05:41	Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xead7b4…
02-15 21:47:51	will deadline blackpink debut week album sales be between 1pt3m and 1pt5m	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x3c1b9b…
02-15 19:05:23	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x49a9af…
02-15 17:32:19	nhl phi wsh 2026 02 25 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xae9689…
02-15 13:47:47	will robert downey jr be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x9ae4dc…
02-15 08:19:33	will trump say powell or too late during the state of the union address 713	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa136b9…
02-15 06:30:01	will the rsf capture el obeid by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x4448c1…
02-14 23:50:11	amzn above 240 on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x8e43cb…
02-14 22:52:39	will japan gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 0pt7 and 0pt9	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xd3ac85…
02-14 17:50:35	will trump say kash or patel during the state of the union address 397	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x1b15bb…
02-14 17:50:35	Will Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x026eb1…
02-14 17:05:59	will trump say kash or patel during the state of the union address 397	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x40aa05…
02-14 16:57:43	Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x931b0a…
02-14 16:51:21	amzn above 240 on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xfe93fe…
02-14 16:49:31	Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x0ef9e1…
02-14 16:47:09	Will Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4996ee…
02-14 14:12:33	will japan gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 0pt7 and 0pt9	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x417191…
02-14 14:02:59	will tim kaine vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x7c7bcf…
02-14 12:51:07	efa gri2 wol 2026 02 15 spread away 1pt5	Grimsby Town FC	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x626b11…
02-14 12:51:05	nba dal mil 2026 01 25 1h moneyline	Bucks	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0xa957ee…
02-14 11:22:17	efa gri2 wol 2026 02 15 spread away 1pt5	Grimsby Town FC	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x13465c…
02-14 10:45:07	Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x518f08…
02-14 09:52:17	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x90c24e…
02-14 03:53:35	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x6ab482…
02-14 02:15:07	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x5559aa…
02-13 22:46:05	2026 us senate election republican odds under 55 by march 31	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x5e2446…
02-13 22:46:01	2026 us senate election republican odds under 55 by march 31	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xda0a43…
02-13 20:15:55	amzn above 215 on february 13 2026	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0xbc2412…
02-13 17:33:59	Will Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xeed57b…
02-13 17:33:59	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $2B in 2026?	No	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x18262e…
02-13 16:13:35	flood mindshare all time high by march 31 726	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x92bf00…
02-13 14:56:19	will japan gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 0pt7 and 0pt9	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x617cbc…
02-13 14:17:39	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x972a25…
02-13 13:52:39	us ambassador to poland out by march 31	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0xe5b871…
02-13 13:45:49	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x3c4c56…
02-13 13:15:59	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x5b96d4…
02-13 13:04:15	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xd77976…
02-13 13:00:51	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xda83e6…
02-13 13:00:49	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x1a1259…
02-13 12:55:09	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x770ab1…
02-13 12:54:59	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x78660f…
02-13 12:54:59	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x4bbbd9…
02-13 12:54:53	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3ce49e…
02-13 12:54:51	fl1 sbr olm 2026 02 20 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x370570…
02-13 11:22:57	will robert downey jr be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x04b845…
02-13 09:41:17	fl1 sbr olm 2026 02 20 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xe0b2db…
02-13 05:47:43	Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xa213ac…
02-13 04:28:33	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xecab54…
02-13 04:17:53	Mezo FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x05ed7d…
02-13 00:46:43	2026 us house election republican odds under 15 by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x3f4c55…
02-12 22:22:57	will tucker carlson interview trump by february 28	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x545764…
02-12 22:10:23	will tucker carlson interview trump by february 28	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xfa62e0…
02-12 21:58:37	will brazils q4 2025 gdp growth rate yoy be between 1pt6 and 1pt9	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xdc4741…
02-12 21:25:41	will tucker carlson interview trump by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8125eb…
02-12 20:09:43	will trump meet with kevin warsh in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x96be00…
02-12 18:50:55	will trump meet with kevin warsh in february 2026	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf85fb9…