Square-Straw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$322

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

248

Trades

1,201

lifetime

Volume

$9.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-29 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

100% 43% -$330

Sports

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or below on June 29?	16	$342	213	213	+0	Yes	+$84	06-29 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 20?	5	$257	201	201	+0	Yes	+$137	06-20 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?	14	$240	181	181	+0	Yes	+$121	07-08 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	14	$237	173	173	+0	Yes	+$103	06-28 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 5?	9	$189	141	141	+0	Yes	+$93	07-05 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?	9	$131	93	93	+0	Yes	+$55	06-27 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?	3	$112	238	0	+238	No	-$112	07-03 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?	5	$110	69	69	+0	No	+$28	07-07 03:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?	3	$105	69	69	+0	No	+$33	07-08 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 18?	27	$104	315	0	+315	No	-$104	08-18 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 6?	31	$95	170	0	+170	Yes	-$95	07-06 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	10	$90	196	0	+196	No	-$90	08-13 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1?	16	$89	162	0	+162	No	+$73	06-01 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?	2	$89	183	0	+183	No	-$89	08-16 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6?	8	$87	223	0	+223	No	+$136	08-05 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?	9	$82	53	53	+0	No	+$24	07-06 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?	12	$79	249	0	+249	Yes	-$79	08-07 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 3?	11	$79	208	0	+208	Yes	-$79	06-02 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?	7	$76	176	0	+176	No	+$24	07-12 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11?	15	$75	234	0	+234	Yes	+$159	06-11 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?	14	$74	218	0	+218	Yes	+$144	07-15 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?	4	$73	47	47	+0	No	+$17	07-07 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	7	$70	205	0	+205	No	-$70	08-08 20:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 4?	14	$68	216	0	+216	No	+$148	06-03 22:09
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4?	1	$68	135	0	+135	No	+$68	08-03 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 9?	12	$67	206	0	+206	Yes	+$139	06-09 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 22?	1	$66	184	0	+184	No	-$66	06-22 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?	7	$66	157	0	+157	No	-$66	06-25 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 30?	8	$65	181	0	+181	Yes	+$116	06-30 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4?	1	$61	132	0	+132	No	+$71	08-03 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	33	38¢	$13	0xecaa89…
10-28 18:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xed9fa3…
10-28 18:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x48cd96…
10-28 18:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x98a3f6…
10-27 08:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xa58c51…
10-26 18:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xd62d1d…
10-26 18:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3eb944…
10-26 18:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	53	32¢	$17	0x3a8ac6…
10-26 18:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0xb14bc2…
10-26 06:20:51	highest temperature in madrid on october 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0x92a87d…
10-26 02:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x74366d…
10-25 22:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d3846…
10-25 18:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x59e05c…
10-25 06:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x0bb266…
10-23 22:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2e1ca1…
10-23 18:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0a0158…
10-23 18:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xe072b2…
10-23 18:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0xb3e811…
10-23 06:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 24?	No	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x9ffefe…
10-22 18:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0xeabfa9…
10-22 18:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xe9b73c…
10-21 18:21:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x558ea1…
10-18 22:13:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xb8daee…
10-18 19:43:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8bbd15…
10-18 19:06:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xfec59c…
10-18 18:29:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x8aeb3c…
10-18 18:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 20?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x291273…
09-15 13:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x1fd23a…
09-15 07:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x820bff…
09-15 07:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x2350a3…
09-15 07:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x9dccb6…
09-15 06:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x5c01a1…
09-14 21:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x769953…
09-14 07:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x39dbd0…
09-14 06:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb7fdbb…
09-14 06:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8b55ef…
09-14 06:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x22110d…
09-13 20:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x7454c3…
09-13 19:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x97ee46…
09-13 19:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7d2e9d…
09-13 19:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x519ecd…
09-13 19:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x947d09…
09-13 00:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	17	38¢	$7	0xba2c73…
09-13 00:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x7c5add…
09-13 00:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x3ef32a…
09-13 00:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x819392…
09-13 00:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x37e7d1…
09-12 20:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xf9e8b9…
09-12 20:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	29	40¢	$11	0xa04e7d…
09-12 20:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x8880ce…
09-12 20:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 13?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3116b3…
09-12 19:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 13?	No	BUY	42	28¢	$12	0x58b760…
09-12 18:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 13?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf0bff7…
09-12 13:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbf8cf0…
09-12 13:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x3e1fa8…
09-12 13:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x8a9640…
09-12 12:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3cead5…
09-12 12:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcb7972…
09-12 09:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xb7225f…
09-12 09:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd1f5f9…
09-12 09:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xcabdc5…
09-12 09:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x62071b…
09-12 09:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x619558…
09-12 08:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xd28603…
09-12 08:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf9dadc…
09-12 08:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x304944…
09-12 07:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x85d433…
09-11 21:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xc40d5d…
09-11 19:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	93	37¢	$34	0x33b9d5…
09-11 19:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x305e62…
09-11 18:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac2d14…
09-10 23:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x33f589…
09-10 23:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x95ffdb…
09-10 21:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x2c5891…
09-10 21:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x471467…
09-10 19:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x703543…
09-10 03:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xcb123d…
09-10 02:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x5da77f…
09-10 02:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xb1f4d0…
09-10 02:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xcc0b6c…
09-10 02:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x6d1116…
09-10 02:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x12f271…
09-10 02:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	No	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xc65ff2…
09-10 00:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x20ce5e…
09-09 23:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x264d07…
09-09 23:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x086ab3…
09-09 23:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc600a5…
09-09 23:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x0896fb…
09-09 21:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x58892e…
09-09 20:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xba9ad2…
09-09 18:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7c4f1f…
09-09 18:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2b6dc5…
09-09 18:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x954c25…
09-09 18:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x160357…
09-09 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xac8d06…
09-09 06:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xadfbdb…
09-09 03:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6db48f…
09-09 01:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x43dbe1…
09-09 00:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x5a3de9…
09-08 23:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5744d2…