Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$184

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 10-23 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

47% 50% -$22

Politics

34% — —

Crypto

20% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+13	$10	86¢	$11	+$1	10-15 12:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	+43	$10	24¢	$10	+$0	10-15 12:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+26	$10	34¢	$9	-$1	10-19 06:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 15?	3	$31	46	19	+28	Yes	-$9	10-15 13:02
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	3	$29	111	100	+11	Yes	+$5	10-22 07:16
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	1	$25	28	0	+28	Yes	-$25	10-16 03:14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	4	$22	44	44	+0	No	+$8	10-17 21:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$17	143	143	+0	open	—	10-20 15:41
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	2	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	10-23 14:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	10-19 06:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	10-15 12:20
katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	1	$10	144	0	+144	Yes	-$10	10-16 17:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	10-15 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	-$1	10-19 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$1	10-19 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	-$1	10-19 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	-$1	10-19 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Down	-$1	10-19 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 14:01:08	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x06b93a…
10-22 12:11:03	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdfe2f2…
10-22 07:16:45	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x107259…
10-22 07:15:47	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x2997da…
10-20 15:41:20	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	5¢	$7	0xe83209…
10-19 06:33:57	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x022cd6…
10-19 06:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe9cc0c…
10-19 06:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa0c127…
10-19 06:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x832f96…
10-19 06:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaa9963…
10-19 06:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7a294…
10-17 21:40:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x215612…
10-17 17:58:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1b7bc5…
10-17 17:07:26	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	No	SELL	38	29¢	$11	0x9adc42…
10-17 07:57:00	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6c4566…
10-16 17:54:09	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0x16ad69…
10-16 03:14:12	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x59e273…
10-15 13:02:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3aab3a…
10-15 12:55:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0xd6abfa…
10-15 12:37:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdf04b1…
10-15 12:20:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x042a86…
10-15 12:16:01	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x228019…
10-15 12:11:04	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb0f715…
10-15 12:08:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x53b82f…