Surprised-Seller — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$852

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$122

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-21 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Crypto

27% 100% +$3

Politics

18% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	+61	$59	97¢	$59	$-0	06-21 05:49
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	No	+60	$59	96¢	$57	$-2	06-20 12:35
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	06-15 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 21:57
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	05-07 15:35
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	48	48	+0	open	—	06-12 16:19
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	5	$90	48	43	+5	open	—	06-15 16:59
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	05-25 20:49
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$59	61	0	+61	open	—	06-21 05:49
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	06-20 12:35
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-05 07:17
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$48	51	0	+51	open	—	05-07 14:09
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	1	$48	50	0	+50	Yes	+$2	05-05 06:35
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 22:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 17:06
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 05:49:20	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x41a7e5…
06-20 12:35:32	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x6ea77a…
06-19 15:26:07	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xd918af…
06-15 16:59:33	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x19d450…
06-13 20:54:19	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0547c9…
06-12 16:19:00	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x5e70be…
06-11 22:16:48	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa21827…
06-11 22:16:42	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3940e2…
06-04 03:58:16	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xc3f4f6…
05-30 03:57:04	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x00858f…
05-25 20:49:26	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xae168f…
05-15 22:04:45	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x27fad7…
05-08 21:57:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x227188…
05-07 15:35:52	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x8a5a83…
05-07 14:09:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x4073f7…
05-07 14:03:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xa0b2c2…
05-05 12:08:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xb8e866…
05-05 07:26:30	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd440d3…
05-05 07:17:26	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1e7bd7…
05-05 06:35:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x82abb0…
04-30 22:14:18	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9c7b59…
04-30 17:06:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x4cc3c1…
04-30 16:38:34	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x479209…
04-30 15:51:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71d20c…
04-30 15:34:08	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x577195…
04-20 12:45:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xce0fa0…
04-15 14:26:02	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x865c1a…
04-15 06:58:02	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xa7dbdf…