Bland-Difference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$392

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-18 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

53% 83% -$648

Crypto

29% 77% +$26

Tech

18% 100% +$231

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$2.2K	1,245	1,245	+0	No	-$5	05-29 05:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	10	$1.8K	981	981	+0	Yes	+$108	07-16 10:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	13	$1.8K	898	898	+0	No	+$2	05-21 09:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	7	$1.8K	894	894	+0	No	+$14	05-18 14:56
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.5K	766	766	+0	No	+$2	03-07 00:59
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$1.5K	762	762	+0	No	+$2	03-01 02:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.5K	763	763	+0	No	+$0	03-01 01:24
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	4	$1.5K	774	774	+0	No	+$24	02-11 10:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.4K	709	709	+0	Yes	+$8	03-12 11:44
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$1.4K	689	689	+0	No	+$2	03-30 08:40
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$1.3K	687	687	+0	No	+$27	03-26 08:42
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	2	$1.3K	1,096	1,096	+0	Yes	-$701	07-19 21:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	4	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	+$23	09-18 05:40
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$1.1K	553	553	+0	No	+$4	05-28 06:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	550	550	+0	Yes	+$35	07-29 18:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$1.1K	587	587	+0	Yes	+$104	06-24 00:19
cbb vamil ncg 2026 03 06	2	$859	430	430	+0	UNCG Spartans	+$0	03-07 02:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$846	874	0	+874	No	+$27	04-07 07:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	6	$799	407	407	+0	No	+$3	06-23 15:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$761	763	0	+763	No	+$2	03-03 14:19
solana above 50 on february 12	1	$757	759	0	+759	Yes	+$2	02-11 11:48
bitcoin above 90k on february 7	2	$618	310	310	+0	No	+$0	02-06 00:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$569	288	288	+0	No	+$5	09-15 07:49
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$423	0	423	-423	No	$0	01-01 00:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	2	$403	202	202	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 15:34
cbb tmrt tenst 2026 03 06	4	$356	180	180	+0	Tennessee State Tigers	+$3	03-07 02:46
will solana dip to 40 february 2 8	1	$310	310	0	+310	No	+$0	02-08 05:34
xrp above 2pt4 on february 4	1	$309	310	0	+310	No	+$1	02-02 15:00
solana above 70 on february 7	1	$309	310	0	+310	Yes	+$0	02-07 12:53
gc above 6000 jan 2026	1	$303	309	0	+309	No	+$7	01-29 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 05:40:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	290	99¢	$288	0x68d179…
09-15 07:49:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0x5ae5b2…
08-05 04:38:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	288	98¢	$282	0xca1742…
08-05 02:20:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0x508196…
08-02 11:22:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	145	96¢	$138	0xae459b…
07-29 19:34:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	580	94¢	$544	0x602ee6…
07-29 18:00:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0x5ba37d…
07-29 18:00:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	294	100¢	$293	0x9354a8…
07-20 11:10:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	256	93¢	$239	0x8c44c9…
07-20 07:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	294	93¢	$274	0xeddf9f…
07-19 21:06:22	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	SELL	1,096	26¢	$285	0xe79b12…
07-16 12:40:43	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	1,096	90¢	$986	0x66b4e5…
07-16 10:40:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	98¢	$287	0x4ab71c…
07-16 10:28:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	98¢	$294	0xbaa815…
07-16 09:40:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x73cc03…
07-16 09:34:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0x5a1190…
07-16 09:09:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbabadf…
07-16 09:04:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xfd95bb…
07-16 09:01:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0xb05075…
07-14 13:35:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x87cb28…
07-02 04:40:35	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd14ac8…
06-24 00:20:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	662	87¢	$576	0x916851…
06-24 00:19:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	587	99¢	$579	0x4afb5d…
06-24 00:19:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	87¢	$278	0x5f989c…
06-23 15:46:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$151	0xba0072…
06-19 01:16:59	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x328401…
06-19 01:16:53	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xab99a6…
06-19 00:25:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xda7a57…
06-17 00:37:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x5c8deb…
06-16 23:32:44	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	129	94¢	$121	0x66f3ed…
06-16 23:32:44	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x2ce476…
06-14 16:28:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x016cea…
06-12 13:11:57	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	187	54¢	$101	0x3102bc…
06-12 13:11:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x1f1351…
06-10 07:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0xcaa7f8…
06-09 08:05:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x716e8d…
06-09 08:05:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x607c38…
06-09 08:05:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1056eb…
05-29 05:13:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	84¢	$134	0x463d15…
05-29 05:12:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	220	63¢	$138	0xc139f2…
05-28 06:55:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	93¢	$204	0xb4bf24…
05-28 06:54:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	427	80¢	$342	0xa50e97…
05-28 06:54:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	553	99¢	$549	0xd4d41b…
05-25 14:38:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	407	98¢	$398	0x878460…
05-25 14:37:30	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	553	99¢	$546	0x9b7ab2…
05-25 09:50:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	303	92¢	$279	0x404f78…
05-25 09:43:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	92¢	$102	0x1cd251…
05-25 09:43:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	92¢	$105	0xc1c1c7…
05-25 09:39:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x0217f3…
05-25 09:36:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc72e6e…
05-25 09:36:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc1a32d…
05-25 09:10:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x290452…
05-25 08:54:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbebb5d…
05-25 08:46:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcc4e90…
05-25 08:37:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	425	92¢	$391	0x76af7d…
05-22 01:06:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,026	86¢	$882	0xb01df0…
05-21 09:45:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x5b8f1b…
05-21 09:26:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	343	99¢	$339	0x274b25…
05-21 08:54:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x040bdd…
05-21 08:52:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$395	0x38ecf0…
05-21 08:48:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5da4c4…
05-21 08:40:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x27540e…
05-21 08:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x837ba3…
05-21 08:28:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x76f997…
05-21 08:26:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x411a84…
05-21 08:07:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x13a025…
05-21 08:04:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2a4d2c…
05-21 07:51:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2acd9f…
05-19 07:14:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	898	99¢	$885	0x0328aa…
05-18 15:34:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xbba934…
05-18 14:56:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	432	99¢	$428	0x3b30a6…
05-18 14:55:37	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	143	99¢	$141	0xb7b5a1…
05-18 14:54:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x203943…
05-18 14:52:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x729ce9…
05-18 14:52:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4a2787…
05-18 14:52:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbbeebf…
05-18 14:52:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$199	0x1f10e1…
05-06 01:18:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	894	97¢	$872	0x91ea65…
04-07 07:05:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	874	97¢	$846	0xd12891…
03-30 08:40:12	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	689	100¢	$688	0x0d9f72…
03-27 00:50:49	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	689	100¢	$686	0xd878b4…
03-26 08:42:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0xf8478b…
03-25 04:01:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	542	100¢	$540	0xe9661b…
03-12 11:46:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	542	97¢	$523	0xdc8fda…
03-12 11:44:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	676	99¢	$672	0x1e4140…
03-09 01:13:55	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	146	93¢	$135	0x2cf0fb…
03-08 00:09:31	bitcoin above 80k on march 9	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xd40483…
03-07 02:47:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	676	99¢	$666	0xe25931…
03-07 02:46:27	cbb tmrt tenst 2026 03 06	Tennessee State Tigers	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x8bc2d2…
03-07 02:45:53	cbb tmrt tenst 2026 03 06	Tennessee State Tigers	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd983d5…
03-07 02:45:09	cbb uwg queen 2026 03 06	Queens (NC) Royals	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xd97e35…
03-07 02:44:55	cbb tmrt tenst 2026 03 06	Tennessee State Tigers	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2d8118…
03-07 02:44:37	cbb vamil ncg 2026 03 06	UNCG Spartans	SELL	430	100¢	$430	0x6139d2…
03-07 02:28:39	bitcoin above 80k on march 9	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x6103be…
03-07 02:27:33	cbb tmrt tenst 2026 03 06	Tennessee State Tigers	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0x0fe7f6…
03-07 02:27:25	cbb vamil ncg 2026 03 06	UNCG Spartans	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0x21cbba…
03-07 02:27:09	cbb uwg queen 2026 03 06	Queens (NC) Royals	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x43fd9b…
03-07 00:59:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	766	100¢	$764	0x94d8f7…
03-05 15:43:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe6c86f…
03-04 16:00:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	766	100¢	$763	0x6986da…