Shocked-Replica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.7%

Resolved

174

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$2.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-09 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	$-3	05-09 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	Down	$-1	05-09 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	Down	$-1	05-09 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-09 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$8	11	0	+11	Up	$-3	05-09 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	Up	$-3	05-09 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$8	11	0	+11	Up	$-3	05-08 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-09 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$8	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-08 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$8	11	0	+11	Down	$-3	05-09 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:17:30	btc updown 15m 1781028900	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x3baf40…
06-09 03:13:09	btc updown 15m 1780974000	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x9c32ec…
06-09 00:21:46	btc updown 15m 1780964100	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3776ee…
06-08 20:09:34	btc updown 15m 1780948800	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1c4341…
06-08 16:33:10	btc updown 15m 1780936200	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x10d81b…
06-08 15:52:24	btc updown 15m 1780933500	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4adc22…
06-08 07:34:40	btc updown 15m 1780903800	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x29179c…
06-08 06:18:16	btc updown 15m 1780899300	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa5e1d1…
06-06 00:32:39	btc updown 15m 1780705800	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x539267…
06-05 10:36:34	btc updown 15m 1780655400	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xf6c169…
06-05 05:21:15	btc updown 15m 1780636500	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x682035…
06-04 15:57:34	btc updown 15m 1780587900	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x7ac51d…
06-04 06:27:07	btc updown 15m 1780553700	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc918d1…
06-03 19:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe681bf…
06-03 09:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc80969…
06-03 08:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xbfd083…
06-02 17:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2fc8ef…
06-02 04:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe05161…
06-02 01:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1183c8…
06-01 16:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x29ba98…
06-01 14:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4093b6…
06-01 14:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4e5a5c…
06-01 13:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8fc038…
06-01 09:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x322c12…
06-01 09:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbe6757…
06-01 00:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x708ece…
05-31 22:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xe75de2…
05-31 22:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe7ddf2…
05-31 21:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x2293f9…
05-31 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x4ec519…
05-31 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbf767c…
05-31 18:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xc989ef…
05-31 04:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xb9f832…
05-31 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x66683b…
05-31 01:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9a42e4…
05-31 00:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xfe3490…
05-30 23:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x6665e3…
05-30 21:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x64a355…
05-30 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x65a4f2…
05-30 12:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x2246ac…
05-30 12:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfe843c…
05-30 10:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x5a5bca…
05-30 03:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xebfb5a…
05-30 02:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xdc1307…
05-29 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xcf539c…
05-29 22:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5a642d…
05-29 20:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xeeb81a…
05-29 18:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xcf9f1e…
05-29 18:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x87032c…
05-29 16:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe92991…
05-29 15:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x8d1b13…
05-29 15:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x3a10b2…
05-29 14:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0e9a88…
05-29 09:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x21d71d…
05-29 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1ea0d8…
05-28 11:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1739cd…
05-27 19:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe23f1d…
05-26 17:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x584b10…
05-26 04:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x158b76…
05-26 03:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xf3eba2…
05-25 20:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xb0654d…
05-25 13:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x74841a…
05-24 11:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9accb4…
05-24 11:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x616051…
05-24 06:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd3a240…
05-24 06:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x44bd1c…
05-23 17:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfde341…
05-23 17:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb53c6b…
05-23 17:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8809cc…
05-23 16:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x4344bf…
05-23 16:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x376b06…
05-23 16:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x9403d5…
05-23 16:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x43d698…
05-23 05:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7d6c71…
05-20 23:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe63eb9…
05-20 23:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xeab965…
05-20 10:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9667c5…
05-20 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x746425…
05-20 10:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x43d004…
05-20 10:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcebfd7…
05-20 09:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x5a5f58…
05-20 09:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa6e45f…
05-20 07:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x21ddfb…
05-20 03:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xbb6ad5…
05-20 03:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9c5343…
05-20 02:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xf6ff6d…
05-20 02:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa9b430…
05-19 16:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdf3113…
05-19 13:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2c2bd4…
05-19 06:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x14c27a…
05-19 06:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd06971…
05-18 06:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x198055…
05-18 06:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x37227e…
05-10 19:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0c78b9…
05-10 18:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x955b94…
05-10 18:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x52ee8e…
05-10 18:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x5675d8…
05-10 18:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1d138e…
05-10 18:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdf9d79…
05-10 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7780fb…