Reckless-Serial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

4,143

Trades

5,195

lifetime

Volume

$541.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% -$13,994

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 33% -$1

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:45 UTC	3	$7.6K	4,975	4,899	+76	Up	+$2,154	01-12 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:45 UTC	2	$6.7K	4,391	4,391	+0	Up	+$1,779	01-06 00:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:30 UTC	2	$4.2K	2,905	2,905	+0	Down	+$723	01-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$4.1K	2,138	2,138	+0	Up	+$116	05-28 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$4.1K	2,131	2,131	+0	Up	+$110	05-28 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$4.1K	2,124	2,124	+0	Down	+$82	05-28 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$3.6K	3,160	3,160	+0	Up	+$1,650	05-27 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$3.1K	2,947	2,947	+0	Up	+$1,133	05-28 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	7	$3.0K	4,788	1,400	+3,389	Up	-$960	05-30 12:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 09:45 UTC	3	$3.0K	2,032	2,000	+32	Up	+$913	02-03 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$2.9K	1,840	1,840	+0	Up	+$722	05-27 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$2.9K	1,529	1,529	+0	Up	+$114	05-28 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2.9K	1,487	1,487	+0	Up	+$72	05-28 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2.9K	1,476	1,476	+0	Up	+$61	05-28 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:15 UTC	2	$2.8K	1,887	1,858	+29	Down	+$831	01-12 20:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:15 UTC	2	$2.7K	1,754	1,754	+0	Up	+$754	01-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$2.5K	1,529	1,529	+0	Up	+$148	05-28 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2.5K	1,304	1,304	+0	Down	+$91	05-28 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$2.5K	1,303	1,303	+0	Down	+$90	05-28 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,254	1,254	+0	Up	+$42	05-28 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,247	1,247	+0	Down	+$35	05-28 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,594	1,594	+0	Up	+$728	05-28 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$2.3K	1,744	1,744	+0	Down	+$1,127	05-27 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$2.3K	1,226	1,226	+0	Up	+$114	05-28 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$2.3K	1,407	1,407	+0	Up	+$282	05-28 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$2.2K	1,570	1,060	+510	Up	-$150	05-28 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,150	1,150	+0	Up	+$38	05-28 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$2.2K	1,273	1,273	+0	Down	+$234	05-28 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$2.2K	1,421	1,421	+0	Down	+$230	05-28 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,320	1,320	+0	Up	+$222	05-28 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xc91d35…
10-28 20:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xdf6de2…
10-28 20:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x18c5e5…
10-28 19:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdd6a96…
10-28 19:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc56b03…
10-28 19:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xb0fccd…
10-28 19:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xdb4b3b…
10-28 19:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x4e829c…
10-28 19:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x98828e…
10-28 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x6622b8…
10-28 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x776374…
10-28 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x48e81f…
10-28 18:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xca7428…
10-28 18:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2b828d…
10-28 18:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x56ed75…
10-28 18:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xbfebfd…
10-28 18:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x45b6af…
10-28 18:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x881861…
10-28 18:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xbbdb53…
10-28 18:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9e3882…
10-28 18:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfe6283…
10-28 18:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x628da5…
10-28 17:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa6729e…
10-28 17:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6de8a0…
10-28 17:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1f5b82…
10-28 16:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeb171c…
10-28 16:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x1449fd…
10-28 16:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1d45bd…
10-28 15:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x71faf6…
10-28 15:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xc57d2c…
10-28 15:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x297d7f…
10-28 15:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xa83e04…
10-28 15:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x2625c2…
10-28 14:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x34b31a…
10-28 14:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x38ece7…
10-28 14:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x33212f…
10-28 14:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe836d5…
10-28 14:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x03b4cb…
10-28 14:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xf02335…
10-28 14:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x506202…
10-28 14:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xa7276a…
10-28 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x9ed3aa…
10-28 13:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x6e68b8…
10-28 13:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xcab106…
10-28 13:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc729dc…
10-28 13:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xeec536…
10-28 13:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9f0370…
10-28 13:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe2a8f7…
10-28 13:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x95399a…
10-28 12:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x58a65a…
10-28 12:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb78f96…
10-28 12:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9e9822…
10-28 12:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xf40f7a…
10-28 12:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5bed2b…
10-28 11:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x249b17…
10-28 11:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x84b117…
10-28 09:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb8b1f5…
10-28 08:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x331d72…
10-28 08:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x3d1b90…
10-28 08:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9a962b…
10-28 08:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xb468d0…
10-28 08:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3f501c…
10-28 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xce0d25…
10-28 07:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1e0fb0…
10-28 07:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x1a052f…
10-28 05:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x3a6e14…
10-28 05:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xb8e555…
10-28 04:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x9dbbdf…
10-28 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xea1495…
10-28 03:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xbb9f7d…
10-28 03:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x17d7a4…
10-28 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xb3c4eb…
10-28 02:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x32e70f…
10-28 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6fd27…
10-28 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xc942ca…
10-28 01:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x229b38…
10-28 01:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x7f270c…
10-28 01:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5abe11…
10-28 01:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x894763…
10-28 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0d937b…
10-28 00:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3df469…
10-28 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x122755…
10-27 23:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x88df5a…
10-27 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfc765d…
10-27 22:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4e4531…
10-27 21:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x949100…
10-27 21:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7bf0e4…
10-27 21:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x32201b…
10-27 20:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xba3321…
10-27 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd210b2…
10-27 19:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x9683f1…
10-27 19:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xba4364…
10-27 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf1acec…
10-27 17:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6a25f1…
10-27 17:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x5dbda0…
10-27 17:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xfc096a…
10-27 16:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x4c10b7…
10-27 16:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x451e10…
10-27 16:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9b15d8…
10-27 15:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xafc511…