Reckless-Serial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

4,078

Trades

5,133

lifetime

Volume

$541.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% -$13,974

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 33% -$1

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-28 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:45 UTC	3	$7.6K	4,975	4,899	+76	Up	+$2,154	01-12 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:45 UTC	2	$6.7K	4,391	4,391	+0	Up	+$1,779	01-06 00:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:30 UTC	2	$4.2K	2,905	2,905	+0	Down	+$723	01-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$4.1K	2,138	2,138	+0	Up	+$116	05-28 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$4.1K	2,131	2,131	+0	Up	+$110	05-28 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$4.1K	2,124	2,124	+0	Down	+$82	05-28 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$3.6K	3,160	3,160	+0	Up	+$1,650	05-27 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$3.1K	2,947	2,947	+0	Up	+$1,133	05-28 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	7	$3.0K	4,788	1,400	+3,389	Up	-$960	05-30 12:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 09:45 UTC	3	$3.0K	2,032	2,000	+32	Up	+$913	02-03 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$2.9K	1,840	1,840	+0	Up	+$722	05-27 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$2.9K	1,529	1,529	+0	Up	+$114	05-28 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2.9K	1,487	1,487	+0	Up	+$72	05-28 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2.9K	1,476	1,476	+0	Up	+$61	05-28 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:15 UTC	2	$2.8K	1,887	1,858	+29	Down	+$831	01-12 20:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 00:15 UTC	2	$2.7K	1,754	1,754	+0	Up	+$754	01-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$2.5K	1,529	1,529	+0	Up	+$148	05-28 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2.5K	1,304	1,304	+0	Down	+$91	05-28 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$2.5K	1,303	1,303	+0	Down	+$90	05-28 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,254	1,254	+0	Up	+$42	05-28 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,247	1,247	+0	Down	+$35	05-28 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$2.4K	1,594	1,594	+0	Up	+$728	05-28 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$2.3K	1,744	1,744	+0	Down	+$1,127	05-27 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$2.3K	1,226	1,226	+0	Up	+$114	05-28 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$2.3K	1,407	1,407	+0	Up	+$282	05-28 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$2.2K	1,570	1,060	+510	Up	-$150	05-28 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$2.2K	1,150	1,150	+0	Up	+$38	05-28 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$2.2K	1,273	1,273	+0	Down	+$234	05-28 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$2.2K	1,421	1,421	+0	Down	+$230	05-28 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2.2K	1,320	1,320	+0	Up	+$222	05-28 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3f501c…
10-28 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xce0d25…
10-28 07:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1e0fb0…
10-28 07:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x1a052f…
10-28 05:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x3a6e14…
10-28 05:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xb8e555…
10-28 04:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x9dbbdf…
10-28 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xea1495…
10-28 03:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xbb9f7d…
10-28 03:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x17d7a4…
10-28 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xb3c4eb…
10-28 02:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x32e70f…
10-28 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6fd27…
10-28 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xc942ca…
10-28 01:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x229b38…
10-28 01:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x7f270c…
10-28 01:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5abe11…
10-28 01:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x894763…
10-28 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0d937b…
10-28 00:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3df469…
10-28 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x122755…
10-27 23:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x88df5a…
10-27 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfc765d…
10-27 22:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4e4531…
10-27 21:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x949100…
10-27 21:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7bf0e4…
10-27 21:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x32201b…
10-27 20:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xba3321…
10-27 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd210b2…
10-27 19:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x9683f1…
10-27 19:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xba4364…
10-27 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf1acec…
10-27 17:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6a25f1…
10-27 17:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x5dbda0…
10-27 17:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xfc096a…
10-27 16:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x4c10b7…
10-27 16:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x451e10…
10-27 16:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9b15d8…
10-27 15:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xafc511…
10-27 15:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x9f2834…
10-27 15:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcc26f5…
10-27 15:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x1facec…
10-27 15:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x8b914b…
10-27 15:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x6ce7d4…
10-27 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x0f38f7…
10-27 15:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x2977d0…
10-27 15:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xcf9a1c…
10-27 15:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x3f3c0d…
10-27 15:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xa6b6a5…
10-27 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3ea50c…
10-27 14:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xf3957b…
10-27 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xae166f…
10-27 14:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x0fb681…
10-27 14:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x4e1b3b…
10-27 14:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf3d8c3…
10-27 14:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x4a3dca…
10-27 13:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x43fe35…
10-27 13:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x726a47…
10-27 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x9be94d…
10-27 13:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbce536…
10-27 13:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xfdf47d…
10-27 13:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x4e9346…
10-27 13:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x34aaa6…
10-27 13:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x295123…
10-27 13:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xa191d5…
10-27 13:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x31f268…
10-27 12:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xd02d88…
10-27 12:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xe2afa6…
10-27 12:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x68af76…
10-27 11:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x5cc26a…
10-27 11:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x267c69…
10-27 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x30670e…
10-27 11:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x72d5e9…
10-27 10:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xa35db9…
10-27 10:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x186f5c…
10-27 10:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xe39dd6…
10-27 10:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xed4004…
10-27 10:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x6dceb0…
10-27 09:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x08741a…
10-27 08:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x425357…
10-27 08:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x680a13…
10-27 08:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x403290…
10-27 07:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x8e441b…
10-27 07:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x15c9d2…
10-27 07:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x23a2bb…
10-27 07:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xa31dc7…
10-27 06:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xed2e06…
10-27 06:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x71e65d…
10-27 06:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x104080…
10-27 06:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0d4ea8…
10-27 05:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x493214…
10-27 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1331d0…
10-27 05:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x0b39a7…
10-27 04:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7e236b…
10-27 04:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x8cb6ed…
10-27 04:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x6e3194…
10-27 03:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x3ece73…
10-27 03:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x0fa482…
10-27 03:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x2f5eff…
10-27 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x47eed6…