Afraid-Chafe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

578

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-18 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% +$108

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down april 18 2026 7am et	3	$107	66	66	+0	open	—	04-18 11:32
xrp up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	10	$105	66	63	+3	open	—	04-23 00:48
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	2	$105	71	67	+4	open	—	04-26 22:45
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 11am et	11	$105	118	112	+6	open	—	04-21 15:39
ethereum up or down april 21 2026 7am et	4	$104	66	63	+3	open	—	04-21 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	2	$104	69	66	+3	open	—	04-26 22:45
xrp up or down april 19 2026 2am et	4	$102	65	61	+3	open	—	04-19 06:36
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 4pm et	4	$102	65	61	+3	open	—	04-17 20:51
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	2	$102	71	67	+4	open	—	04-26 22:45
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	2	$99	67	61	+7	open	—	04-21 11:23
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	04-15 03:25
ethereum up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	04-15 03:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	7	$77	91	34	+57	Down	+$15	05-12 14:37
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	4	$73	71	22	+49	open	—	05-15 01:36
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 3pm et	2	$72	58	57	+1	open	—	04-08 19:30
solana up or down april 2 2026 2pm et	4	$70	133	0	+133	open	—	04-02 18:35
ethereum up or down april 15 2026 11am et	2	$70	45	45	+0	open	—	04-15 15:46
xrp up or down april 16 2026 7am et	4	$68	45	43	+2	open	—	04-16 11:34
solana up or down april 11 2026 9am et	2	$68	59	56	+3	open	—	04-11 13:19
xrp up or down april 10 2026 12pm et	5	$68	48	46	+2	open	—	04-10 16:41
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 10pm et	4	$67	44	42	+2	open	—	04-13 02:26
solana up or down april 16 2026 6am et	3	$67	49	46	+2	open	—	04-16 10:25
xrp up or down april 11 2026 1am et	2	$67	43	41	+2	open	—	04-11 05:32
xrp up or down april 11 2026 6pm et	4	$66	45	43	+2	open	—	04-11 22:31
xrp up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	4	$66	68	64	+3	open	—	04-15 00:54
xrp up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	2	$66	45	43	+2	open	—	04-09 22:53
solana up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	3	$66	49	47	+2	open	—	04-17 00:21
xrp up or down april 9 2026 8pm et	4	$66	49	46	+2	open	—	04-10 00:38
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1pm et	2	$65	47	45	+2	open	—	04-14 17:48
ethereum up or down april 10 2026 3pm et	4	$65	49	46	+2	open	—	04-10 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 13:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x87869d…
05-18 13:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x043149…
05-18 00:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x0823b8…
05-18 00:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2d8dc7…
05-18 00:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3f5974…
05-17 22:15:07	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x723082…
05-16 07:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xb3fa19…
05-16 07:15:10	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x86f1fa…
05-16 07:15:10	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x1db14b…
05-16 07:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb8cb64…
05-16 07:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0x7fb38d…
05-16 04:35:23	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x9a6fb2…
05-15 19:15:13	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x654e9d…
05-15 19:15:13	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0x4c81bf…
05-15 19:15:11	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x9f4964…
05-15 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x6dc557…
05-15 14:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xaef55c…
05-15 14:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xf6ec61…
05-15 05:35:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x658a2f…
05-15 01:36:38	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xcc5b34…
05-15 01:36:35	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x5af7e3…
05-15 01:35:05	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x90eb7e…
05-15 01:35:05	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	65	84¢	$54	0x4bf178…
05-15 00:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x8de0fe…
05-15 00:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x4a66d5…
05-14 21:15:15	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x070f5b…
05-14 21:15:08	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x1bd70f…
05-14 21:15:06	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x933af3…
05-14 20:15:20	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x60ac9a…
05-14 20:15:20	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0x52f672…
05-14 20:15:08	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xfaacf4…
05-13 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xc400eb…
05-13 11:16:16	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x74a041…
05-13 11:16:16	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x557af1…
05-13 11:15:06	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x355d88…
05-13 10:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x5ecbaf…
05-12 14:37:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xe00b75…
05-12 14:37:51	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0x1b9d8e…
05-12 14:37:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x97bfca…
05-12 14:37:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xe60b9f…
05-12 14:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	52¢	$15	0x0a3534…
05-12 14:35:17	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8b5c56…
05-12 14:35:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	79¢	$29	0xe18e41…
05-12 14:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xe03c28…
05-12 14:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0x9c2200…
05-12 14:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x6c9ab9…
05-12 14:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xa3539a…
05-12 10:35:05	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x2f38f5…
05-12 09:15:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xedceaa…
05-12 08:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0x377975…
05-11 14:35:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0xd6ffbf…
05-11 14:35:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x7082c9…
05-11 14:35:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0xcf90db…
05-11 14:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7bfc51…
05-11 14:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x1daa37…
05-11 03:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x0e51dc…
05-11 03:15:11	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x5eb75f…
05-11 03:15:09	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x1af7b5…
05-11 03:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xbfd8e2…
05-11 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x10a1ff…
05-10 23:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x63a96e…
05-10 22:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xf4bbd2…
05-10 22:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x498c5e…
05-07 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbf2a12…
05-07 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0x549f1a…
05-07 02:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xf7def9…
05-06 14:25:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x92d69c…
05-06 14:25:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xc67ecf…
05-06 14:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x0a4c15…
05-06 14:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x05b4c9…
05-06 13:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0x54aa02…
05-06 13:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x55c637…
05-05 23:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x38c2f7…
05-05 13:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	39	60¢	$24	0x40f5a5…
05-05 13:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x2f6c46…
05-05 13:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x263c7a…
05-04 17:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x6ba9f4…
05-04 16:18:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0xa54168…
05-04 16:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x019548…
05-04 10:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x35f8b7…
05-04 10:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x1d2575…
05-04 10:15:24	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4407bf…
05-04 10:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf257ce…
05-03 23:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x12f16f…
05-03 23:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xb06dbf…
05-01 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0x391470…
04-30 02:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x51e934…
04-27 05:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xf6bc92…
04-27 05:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x7d331b…
04-27 05:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfd8639…
04-27 05:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xede327…
04-27 05:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xb3197c…
04-27 05:15:08	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xc6cf08…
04-26 22:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	67	67¢	$45	0x5a307e…
04-26 22:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	66	68¢	$45	0xa5f707…
04-26 22:45:26	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	67	63¢	$42	0x14928b…
04-26 22:35:12	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xdc1999…
04-26 22:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x6f8d4d…
04-26 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	69	86¢	$59	0xbdcefc…
04-24 11:15:06	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x3cf2c5…