Left-Contrary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.1%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$8.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-19 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Crypto

21% 29% $-61

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	4	$1.9K	1,549	1,549	+0	open	—	02-02 23:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$1.6K	1,394	1,394	+0	open	—	01-15 17:21
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$1.4K	3,633	0	+3,633	open	—	02-02 23:35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	12	$953	918	918	+0	open	—	01-27 14:13
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	2	$390	1,887	1,887	+0	open	—	01-19 22:57
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$320	413	413	+0	open	—	01-23 02:51
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$267	568	568	+0	open	—	01-23 02:52
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$198	147	147	+0	open	—	05-14 09:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$140	362	0	+362	open	—	05-14 09:36
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$124	75	75	+0	open	—	05-14 18:00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$115	122	122	+0	open	—	05-14 07:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$112	79	79	+0	open	—	05-14 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$106	71	71	+0	open	—	05-14 07:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$88	177	77	+100	open	—	05-14 08:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$80	62	62	+0	open	—	05-14 16:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$72	53	53	+0	open	—	05-14 07:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$63	53	53	+0	open	—	05-14 19:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$60	119	0	+119	open	—	05-14 08:36
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$60	129	0	+129	open	—	05-14 18:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$59	95	95	+0	open	—	05-14 08:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$50	214	0	+214	open	—	05-14 16:23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$42	124	37	+87	open	—	05-14 09:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$42	33	33	+0	open	—	05-14 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$39	237	0	+237	open	—	05-19 16:52
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$32	70	0	+70	Down	$-32	05-12 05:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$30	74	0	+74	open	—	05-14 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 07:23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 07:38
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 19:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	05-14 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	203	15¢	$29	0x9e70d7…
05-19 16:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd125ed…
05-19 16:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x38c9a5…
05-19 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xaffa9a…
05-14 19:09:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	53	89¢	$48	0x445962…
05-14 19:05:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	29¢	$15	0x7b79c7…
05-14 19:01:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x61802a…
05-14 18:10:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb39d08…
05-14 18:10:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0xf4f406…
05-14 18:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x8a4ee9…
05-14 17:57:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x8a9ee1…
05-14 17:34:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xa54569…
05-14 17:32:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xd48be0…
05-14 17:30:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xe96655…
05-14 16:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x73e0a8…
05-14 16:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbd685a…
05-14 16:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x3d2b19…
05-14 16:41:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x093a64…
05-14 16:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xedf2da…
05-14 16:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x949a8d…
05-14 16:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5555fe…
05-14 16:23:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9a6646…
05-14 16:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x2f1cb4…
05-14 16:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x7b98c8…
05-14 09:36:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xb4ea0b…
05-14 09:36:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	133	45¢	$60	0x8b50ce…
05-14 09:35:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	96	63¢	$60	0x1276a4…
05-14 09:29:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	147	88¢	$130	0x7c3f26…
05-14 09:25:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x23adbe…
05-14 09:25:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x720f61…
05-14 09:04:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	87	20¢	$17	0x3d7470…
05-14 09:02:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x9003d0…
05-14 09:01:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x898c52…
05-14 08:46:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	95	31¢	$29	0x348ed5…
05-14 08:46:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x96828d…
05-14 08:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0xead222…
05-14 08:36:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7f34d5…
05-14 08:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0xcd5e07…
05-14 08:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x93286c…
05-14 08:18:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf8c87e…
05-14 08:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x38ef3f…
05-14 08:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x86d8c5…
05-14 08:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	77	86¢	$66	0x49251a…
05-14 08:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x20be41…
05-14 08:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x8fb17d…
05-14 07:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x49427c…
05-14 07:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa40a6a…
05-14 07:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x50c51b…
05-14 07:46:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x361b78…
05-14 07:45:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xc4d4ea…
05-14 07:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xcaf6f2…
05-14 07:38:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xbe02fa…
05-14 07:35:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xd643b0…
05-14 07:29:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	122	78¢	$95	0x4943f3…
05-14 07:27:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x261af8…
05-14 07:26:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x4ffe1d…
05-14 07:25:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xa7b04c…
05-14 07:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xffdaaf…
05-14 07:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0xe7445b…
05-14 07:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x569e4b…
05-14 07:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa0b921…
05-14 06:53:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc27090…
05-13 20:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x461b8c…
05-12 05:43:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa2efc2…
05-12 05:42:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xfc5378…
05-12 05:41:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x515552…
05-12 05:41:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb07e78…
05-06 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x653fc7…
05-06 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0c923f…
05-05 18:20:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdbf6a5…
05-05 18:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x369662…
05-05 18:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc1bc9c…
05-05 18:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x580ae1…
05-05 16:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x3654f2…
05-05 15:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xba5dd6…
05-05 15:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa3f713…
05-05 15:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7f478b…
05-05 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xcb9888…
05-05 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb5d92e…
05-05 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x285f0f…
05-05 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x17309c…
05-05 12:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x90cf78…
05-05 12:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x75592d…
05-05 12:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x41cb4a…
05-05 12:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1c07c7…
05-05 11:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9ec633…
05-05 11:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x11e83c…
05-05 10:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa80a6d…
05-05 10:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc9c567…
05-05 10:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x58fb80…
05-05 09:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xe1a41c…
05-05 09:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3957c9…
05-05 07:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xdce9dd…
05-05 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfc7358…
05-05 03:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x924013…
05-05 03:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2583b5…
05-05 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x18b70e…
05-05 02:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x21b1bf…
05-04 23:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb1e64a…
05-04 22:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x2f3c94…