Knotty-Cold 0x461645…ffa910
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$299
Unrealized P&L
+$112
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,976
lifetime
Volume
$62.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$978
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-30 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$299
Other
40% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +176 $139 100¢ $176 +$37 06-26 23:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -174 $-179 100¢ $-174 +$5 06-19 14:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +168 $141 100¢ $167 +$27 06-15 13:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +139 $131 100¢ $139 +$7 06-03 12:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $122 66¢ $131 +$9 06-03 20:28
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +100 $96 100¢ $100 +$4 05-30 23:56
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -44 $-39 90¢ $-39 $-1 06-23 19:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -179 $-57 16¢ $-30 +$28 06-08 02:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +107 $32 16¢ $18 $-14 06-06 03:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +24 $6 18¢ $4 $-1 06-29 00:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -603 $-13 0¢ $-1 +$12 06-06 00:38
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -200 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-26 12:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +139 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-12 00:07