Knotty-Cold 0x461645…ffa910
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$299
Unrealized P&L
+$107
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,940
lifetime
Volume
$60.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.72K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-09 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54% 100% +$299
Other
41% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +326 $296 94¢ $307 +$11 06-07 19:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +300 $279 94¢ $284 +$4 06-04 13:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +350 $278 80¢ $278 $-0 06-08 11:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +213 $185 96¢ $203 +$18 06-03 10:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +300 $141 60¢ $178 +$37 06-09 16:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $122 70¢ $141 +$19 06-03 20:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +139 $131 98¢ $137 +$5 06-03 12:06
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 05-30 23:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -179 $-57 29¢ $-51 +$6 06-08 02:41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +107 $32 28¢ $30 $-2 06-06 03:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -603 $-13 1¢ $-8 +$5 06-06 00:38
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -8 $-7 86¢ $-7 +$0 06-07 12:28