Hopeful-Mystery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

281

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:49
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-29 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 07:43
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:37
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:43
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-22 09:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:47
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:03
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:28
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:43
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 64 65f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-19 00:47
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:17
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:34
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:39
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:38
highest temperature in karachi on april 16 2026 32c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:56
highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-15 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd5f990…
10-31 09:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x261ba7…
10-30 09:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb6323d…
10-29 08:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5069ba…
10-28 05:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb9606b…
10-27 08:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95bb2e…
10-26 09:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x016bfc…
10-24 10:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x19fe5f…
10-22 10:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0f7e55…
10-20 04:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa8fb67…
10-19 08:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd442b4…
10-18 08:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x050e2a…
10-17 09:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x988543…
10-16 08:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x871631…
10-15 08:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x185b5e…
10-14 08:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x191b27…
10-13 08:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x090b11…
10-12 08:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4380da…
10-11 07:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5489de…
10-08 08:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e2e73…
10-07 13:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x367f3c…
10-06 07:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf280d7…
10-04 10:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95d923…
10-03 05:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf3aef…
10-02 07:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c7490…
10-01 08:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45707d…
09-30 12:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x267618…
09-29 09:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63f6ac…
09-28 09:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6503a…
09-27 08:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85d6af…
09-25 08:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d6a0e…
09-24 08:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x311fc4…
09-23 05:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2762cf…
09-22 07:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf98cf1…
09-21 08:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61dde4…
09-20 05:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa67787…
09-19 07:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e2d8d…
09-18 01:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b0b23…
09-17 03:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xede506…
09-16 07:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x850928…
09-15 08:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60fbb5…
09-14 08:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x384f98…
09-12 10:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b0d13…
09-11 07:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3220aa…
09-10 02:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x995ecc…
09-09 01:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc191b0…
09-08 01:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfef342…
09-07 08:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9421b4…
09-06 17:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb88c97…
09-06 08:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19ee70…
09-05 09:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x907aa3…
09-04 09:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52bb66…
09-03 09:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa6786…
09-01 06:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4aee91…
08-30 07:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9975a…
08-29 06:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x645962…
08-28 06:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a50ab…
08-27 07:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xba3b15…
08-26 08:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc45d24…
08-25 07:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93418…
08-24 09:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd53d1…
08-23 14:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37df72…
08-22 07:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd93e63…
08-21 03:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7788c8…
08-20 08:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e2fa2…
08-19 08:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x874f1a…
08-18 04:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4825c…
08-17 07:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc84b0d…
08-16 10:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74161e…
08-15 09:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8834c7…
08-14 06:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02213d…
08-13 07:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x495233…
08-12 07:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ef9bf…
08-11 01:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3782f1…
08-10 00:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4626f…
08-09 01:12:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5a102…
08-08 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x386d4c…
08-07 00:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbf8a6…
08-06 00:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5aaf3…
08-05 07:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f4ea0…
08-04 07:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd03765…
08-03 01:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb01a48…
08-02 01:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x275b65…
08-01 00:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e051b…
07-31 07:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x386139…
07-30 06:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe391c6…
07-29 06:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1328b2…
07-28 05:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8b783…
07-27 07:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd88c72…
07-26 06:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x685ac3…
07-25 00:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc793bb…
07-24 08:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dcf60…
07-23 02:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09457d…
07-22 01:41:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb44d35…
07-20 23:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde6e51…
07-20 02:16:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x915a10…
07-18 22:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x172ed8…
07-17 23:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02356e…
07-17 06:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5a05c…
07-16 07:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdae386…